Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Elko County Fair
Saturday - August 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELK-1   WIN (6/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8)-(6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-3   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(3/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(3/5/2)-(7/6/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ELK-4   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(7/6/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
ELK-5   WIN (7/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
ELK-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
ELK-8   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELK-1   08/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWISTIN WITH LINDA Aug06 Jul10 Jun14 Jun06 May26 (hernandez j)CERVANTES OSCAR 117 6.00    
  (by AFRASHAD out of GIACOMINA by MATTY G)
SCR  VEGUITA Aug10 Jul27 May24 May17 May03 (nolazco j)JENSEN P 119 10.00    
  (by TOUCHDOWN KY out of ZOOM TO THE TUNE by HERE COMES CHARLIE)
SCR  RUNAWAY ANNIE Aug17 Aug16 Aug24 Aug18 Sep02 (nolazco jesus)ARANA MINOR 119 8.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of ANN'S INTUITION by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  HER LITTLE INDIAN Aug16 Aug03 Jul19 Sep21 Sep02 (hadley jo)IRONEYES R 124 4.00 14% 6.30    
  (by INDIAN BRUT out of HER AGAIN by TRAPPER)
5  GRIZZLED Aug16 Aug02 Jun29 Jun15 Nov17 (mitchell chris )CORTEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of HANNAH GOT EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  SWININGDWNTHELN Aug17         (scudder mike)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of CINDYS SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
7  SIX MOR DITTOS Aug17 Jul27       (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 117 4.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MAGNA DITTOS by MAGNA GRADUATE)
8  DYIN A THIRST Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 Apr10 Nov15 (doming)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 117 12.00 14% 6.30    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EDAMAME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
ELK-3   08/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONOS MAN Aug10 Nov01 Oct13 Sep08 Aug25 (gurnick el)ELLIS DEVON 125 10.00    
2  SUNDAY FUNDAY Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 Jun20 Sep28 (gibbs tyler)CERVANTES OSCAR 125 8.00    
3  ROMAN RUSH Aug09 Jun29 Jun15 Jun07 Oct07 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  DISCO DANZING Aug16 Aug09 Jul20 Jul13 Sep22 (luna cesa)JENSEN P 125 4.50    
5  NOOGE Aug17 Aug02 Jun20 Oct11 Sep01 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 4.00    
6  GONZAGA BAY Aug17 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 Jun20 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 125 6.00 8% 12.20    
7  WILLY B Aug17 Aug02 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 (mcneel)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 125 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
ELK-4   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDIN SOLO Aug15 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 Jun22 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 4.00    
2  STAR OF STARS Aug10 Jul27 Jul19 Jul12 Jun15 (gibbs tyler)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIZE LORD Jul26 Jul13 Jul05 Jun14 May16 (vickery bret)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 8.00 36% 1.80    
4  KEEN JAMES Aug17 Aug09 Jul10 Jul04 Jun29 (crystal dustie)ELLIS DEVON 124 4.50    
5  MY BUDDY MEL Aug17 Jul26 Jul20 Jun28 Jun21 (estrada benedito)ALAYA ERIC 124 10.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  THEGREATGENERATION Aug15 Aug10 Aug03 Jul27 Jul11 (ortiz cresen)VASQUEZ CARMEN 124 2.00    
 
ELK-5   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURE MESA Aug09 Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 Jun07 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 4.50    
2  IT'S LATER BURT Aug09 Aug07 Jul10     (mccracken)JENSEN P 125 4.00    
3  HORNS N HALOS Aug16 Aug02 Jul27 Jul05 Jun15 (amezcua ruben)CORTEZ LUIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUN TAY Aug16 Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 Jun06 (estrada benito)ALAYA ERIC 117 2.00    
5  KIJANI Aug15 Aug09       (crystal dustie)ELLIS DEVON 125 10.00    
6  GOODBYE NOW Aug17 Aug03 Jul05 Jun13 May26 (mitche)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 3.50 7% 12.80    
7  SUENO REAL Aug16 Aug02 Sep01 Aug04 Jul20 (hadley jo)IRONEYES R 125 2.50 69% 0.50    
8  JUST N JACK Aug03 Jul20 May30 May16 May10 (jensen mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELK-7   08/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE'S THE THING Aug07 Jul11 Jun29 Jun22 Jun07 (tschirgi bri)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.00    
2  MORE THAN LIKELY Aug02 Aug31 Aug17 Mar17   (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  LATEST ATTRACTION Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Sep07 (hadley jo)IRONEYES R 124 12.00    
4  EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Aug17 Apr22 Apr01 Mar19 Feb25 (mitche)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
5  CALIFORNIA BLING Aug16 Aug09 Jul06 Jun28 Jun08 (estrada benedito)ALAYA ERIC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BYE BYE BROOKY May11 Sep29 Aug30 Jul21 Jun30 (young brent)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
 
ELK-8   08/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T NO SISSY Aug09 Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Aug16 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 Jun14 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
3  TIZ CURLY JOE Aug08 Jul11 Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 (tschirgi brian)ELLIS DEVON 124 5.00    
4  BENDETTIJOE Aug10 Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 Jun20 (christoffer)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CUCINA Aug17 Aug15 Aug02 Jul26 Jul12 (scudde)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 1.60    
6  BAYOU CHROME Aug16 Aug03 Jul27 Jul11 Jul06 (estrada benedito)ALAYA ERIC 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
7  MR MAKUNOUCHI Aug07 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (mccracken)JENSEN P 124 3.50    
8  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Aug15 Aug03 Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.