Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - August 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/8/4/5)-(1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-2   WIN (2/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/5)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/5)-(1/4/3)-(6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/4/2)-(7/2/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(7/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(7/2/9)-(5/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (7/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/9)-(7/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/9)-(7/2/9)-(7/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/9)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9)-(5/4/3)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/5/2)-(2/8/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-7   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-8   WIN (2/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/3)-(2/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/3)-(2/8/9/3)-(2/8/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   08/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I DID THE MATH Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 Jun03 May20 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
IMA MIDNIGHT LADY Jul22 Jul08 Jun21 May06   (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 120 4.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of MIDNIGHT FLASH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
LAUREN'S WAR Jul26 Jun29 Oct29     (rednour jr)WALES T 126 10.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
ENCHANTED MOMENT Jun24 May20       (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PERUVIAN out of SHE AIN'T A SAINT by MEADOWLAKE)
PASSING PASSION Jul26 Jun24 Jun03 May10 Aug27 (fridley s)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by PAYNTER out of UPTEMPO by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  RAZ ON FIRE Aug10 Jul08 Jun21     (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 5.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of RAZAMAJAZIL by JAZIL)
 
FP-2   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SNOW GLO Aug09 Jul05 Jun03 May06 Dec03 (castro isi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
TILL May20 Dec26 Dec04 Oct31 Sep10 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
SONG OF VICTORY Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 Jun03 May10 (delong ben)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 15.00    
MOON RIDGE Aug05 Jul05 May20 Apr26 Sep27 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
HUCKLEBERRY HUSTLE Jul05 Jun03 May13 Apr29 Oct29 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISTY SUNDAY Jul06 Jun19 Dec01 Oct15 Sep18 (alonso fe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 8.00    
LITTLE SASSER Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May20 May06 (durham mike)LOPEZ A 126 10.00    
LAST GASP (SAF) Jul26 Apr22 Mar30 Mar14 Jan23 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 15% 5.80    
 
FP-3   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 May06 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 1.50 48% 1.10    
SCRAPPY PATCH Aug02 Jul13 Jul01 Jun21 May06 (durham mike)LOPEZ A 126 4.50    
BETTY'S SECRET Jun10 May20 Apr22 Oct29 Oct15 (randazzo ted)FELIX E 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
GREEN CHILE Jul29 Jul10 Jun13 May06 Jan30 (delong ben)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
LIFE OF SATURDAYS Aug05 Jun24 May13 Apr29 Oct31 (randazzo ted)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 10.00    
DELTA LADY (CHI) Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May20 May06 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.50    
 
FP-4   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE BURN Jul26 Jul06 Jun19 May11 May01 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 2.00    
SARAH'S BOY BLUE Jul22 May25 Oct26 Sep15 Aug30 (clay p)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
PERFUMER Jun26 May31 May20 Oct26 Oct15 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00    
PONTUS Aug09 Jul19 Jun28 Jun03 May17 (plasters lori)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  KANITHAPPEN Oct15 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 Sep26 (mcdonnell be)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
SMOOTH N SILKY Aug02 Jun14 May05 Apr15 Mar15 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
FP-5   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROYAL BLOOD Jul01 Jun10 Feb06 Jan16 Nov21 (bentler don)FELIX E 124 4.50    
BREAKFASTRUN Jun17 May27 Oct01 Sep16 Aug18 (delong be)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
CRAZY DIXIE Jul26 Jul01 Jun17 May31 Aug07 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 2.50    
SCR  BACKSTAGE BAMBI May13 Oct31 Oct15 Jun22 Jun11 (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
BOGGALITA Aug05 Jul05 Jun17 May24 May10 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 120 10.00    
SCR  ISABELLA'S BEAUTY Jul06 Jun17 Oct22 Oct03 Sep12 (castro isi)SIMPSON M 124 8.00    
K O AMERICAN PIE Aug09 Jul12 Jun10 May27 May13 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
BOUJI IS A WORD Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (schlenk k)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 12.00    
SKIP THE FORMALITY Jul01 Oct15 Oct01 Sep10 Jul06 (wells duane)WALES T 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-6   08/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER SHARPIE Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 May24 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 8.00    
SCR  PAYNT BY LETTERS Aug02 Jun19 Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 (castro isid)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50    
MAJOR CONTENDER Aug05 Jul05 Jun24 May31 May03 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
DOUBLE THUNDER Jul31 Jul17 Jun01 May18 May04 (young r)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
LUCKY BOSS Aug02 Jul19 Jun07 May03 Apr11 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 1.50 28% 2.60    
CARL G Jul22 Jul05 Jun24 Jun10 May16 (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
 
FP-7   08/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPELLMAKER         (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
ADIOS KID Aug09 Jun28 Jun07 May10 Apr26 (delong ben)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STASHU Jun04 May16 Mar27 Nov08 Oct17 (wainwright john)FELIX E 122 6.00    
SMOKEN BOY Jun28 Jun07 May14 Mar29 Feb27 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 33% 2.00    
XAVI Jul22 Jun17 Jun03 May10 Apr19 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 23% 3.40    
FARLEY HALL Aug08 Jul22 Jun26 Jun05 May16 (manley steve)WALES T 122 4.00    
GOVENOR HANK Jul26 Jul08 Jun21 May24 Dec29 (manley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.00    
 
FP-8   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMAND RANSOM Aug07 Jul20 Jul12 Jun26 Jun10 (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 15.00    
SWAGGY GEORGE Jul15 Jul01 Jun07 May17 Apr26 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 2.50 52% 0.90    
KARAYEL Jun10 Apr26 Nov02 Sep14 Jul20 (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUN THE TABLE Aug02 Jun24 Jun03 May06 Oct29 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.50    
SCR  MODAZZLE Jul19 Jul05 Jun10 May20 May03 (castro isi)SIMPSON M 126 3.50    
TRY TRY AGAIN Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 May08 Apr27 (alonso fernando)REYES FRANK 126 10.00    
SCR  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Jul19 Jul01 Jun07 May03 Dec28 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 6.00    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 May24 Sep12 (delong ben)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 8.00 17% 4.80    
LAYTON THE DAY Jul19 Jul01 May20 Apr26 Oct26 (plasters lori)FELIX E 126 10.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  FIVE STAR RUN Jul22 Jun09 Oct26 Oct15 Oct01 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.