Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Sunday - August 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/3/4)-(7/5/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(7/5/1)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-3   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(1/2/3)-(4/2/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(1/9) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-5   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEHR SCHOEN Aug05 Jun30 Jun10 May18 Apr27 (warner robert)KERR CHEYENNE 115 8.00 16% 5.20    
2  CANADIAN AVRO Jul27 Jul08 Jun05 May18 May04 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 35% 1.90    
3  RED SNEAKERS Aug01 Jun27 Jun13 May23 Dec15 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 120 1.80 ★    
4  UNDER SURVEILLANCE Aug05 Jul13 Jun27 Jun20 May24 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 3.00    
5  SHORT STORY LONG Jul27 Jul07 Jun24 May23 May11 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.00    
 
FE-2   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M C JACKHAMMER Aug05 Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 124 4.50    
2  DREAM ON BABY Aug08 Jun27 Jun13 May29 May16 (mord)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.00    
3  PALACE PRINCE Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun24 Jun15 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
4  HICKSY Aug11 Jun15 Jun03 May04 Sep02 (hum)DENNIS JEREMIAH 124 10.00 16% 5.10    
5  SUNYANI Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 May27 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
FE-3   08/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPERIAL STAR Aug05 Jul21 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHAKO Aug12 Jul21 Jan27 Jan02 Dec20 (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 10.00    
SCR  DELIRIO Aug05 Jul08 Nov21 Nov01 Sep24 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 5.00    
SCR  FOREST WOODSMAN Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May18 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50    
5  BEST IN CLASS Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 May27 Oct21 (humb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
6  PLAY THE DOTS Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 Dec15 Nov30 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50    
7  BINGO'S GRIND Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 May11 Apr26 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 115 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
FE-4   08/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA AND ME Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May27 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
2  ALWAYS A WAY Aug05 Jun30 Jun10 May27 Nov15 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
3  FOREST FLASH Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Jun10 Oct22 (albu ken)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PAPERBACK HERO Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May27 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 124 4.00    
5  COMMANDER JOE Jul07 Jun10 Nov28 Nov03 Oct15 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00    
6  BILL NEEDLE Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun23 May27 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 12.00    
 
FE-5   08/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARD A GHOST Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Dec13 Nov23 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
2  STAR SCHOLAR Jul27 Jul07 Jun24 Jun10 Dec13 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 25% 3.10    
3  SPEEDY BULLEIT Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Sep27 Sep13 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  VIDEO EVIDENCE Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 Jun08 May27 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
5  HAPPY QUAD Jun27 Jun08 May17 Dec13 Nov24 (willi)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 1.80    
6  SCREEN LEGEND Jul27 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 Dec15 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00    
 
FE-6   08/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY IN JAIL Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 Dec06 Nov22 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  HELANA Aug04 Jul10 Jun21 May29 May10 (keen)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
SCR  INITTOWINIT Jul14 Jul07 Jun20 May23 Oct31 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
4  THE FIERY ONE (GB) Jul05 Jun19 May22 May10 Feb14 (chirco)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.50    
SCR  FAITHFUL GIFT Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 Jun15 May27 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00    
6  ALWAY'S ROSIE Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 Oct14 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 15.00    
SCR  WICKEN CENTS Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 Oct08 Sep16 (benne)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 20.00    
SCR  IMPECCABLE TIMING Jul13 Jun26 Jun10 Nov29 Oct31 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
9  PRINCESS ROSINA Jul31 Jul10 Nov02 Sep15 Aug10 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 8% 11.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.