Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Friday - August 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/6/1)-(1/3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/3/6/4)-(9/6/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4)-(9/6/8/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4)-(9/6/8/1)-(4/3/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-4   WIN (9/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/1)-(9/6/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/1)-(9/6/8/1)-(9/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/8/1)-(4/3/1/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/1)-(4/3/1/6)-(3/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/6)-(3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/6)-(3/2/4)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/5/6)-(4/8/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/8/3/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (4/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/9)-(4/8/3/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/9)-(4/8/3/9)-(4/8/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANCEWITHMYFATHER Jul23         (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 4.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LATTE DA by TIZNOW)
RESOLUTE         (clement migue)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00    
  (by AMERICAN CHANCE out of FILLE WOLF by WOLF POWER (SAF))
GRAB MY TAB Jul23 Jul04       (cheeks katy)MARTINEZ W 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of RAISING AIDA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
EXPO CITY Jul23         (harty eoin)POSTON K 110 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DUBAI LIFE by DUBAWI)
A MILLION DREAMS Aug02 Jul11       (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.00    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of SO BEAUTIFUL by ARCH)
CAPARBIA         (cobb margaret)BAYS BROOKE 110 8.00 6% 14.70    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of BLUE HEN HOCKEY by NOBLE'S PROMISE)
 
PID-2   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-11:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK N REWARD Jul22 Jul04 Jun23 Jun11 May21 (hayes le)GALLARDO A 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
I'M HEADING EAST Jul07 Jun03 May20 Feb28 Nov13 (kulp l)SPIETH S 123 2.00    
HALF BIRTHDAY Jul16 Jun18 May29 May03 Apr02 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  FLOAT AWAY Jul28 Jul04 Jun23 May21 Oct24 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 8.00    
URBAN COWGIRL Jul22 Jun23 May26 Mar29 Feb26 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
STARSHIP BELMONT Aug04 Jul09 May20 Apr18 Mar19 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 123 1.80 29% 2.40    
 
PID-3   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANEFIELD Jul16 Jul03 May04 Oct28 Oct10 (kleine bernar)DELGADO DAVID 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR Aug06 Jul15 Jun18 May28 Oct24 (hoffman mark)ALLEN D 124 15.00    
BEAR CREEK Aug04 Jul16 Jun04 May19 Apr04 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
HE'S ON THE FLY Jun16 May28 Oct07 Sep11 Aug05 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LORD OF LEGENDS Aug04 Jul15 Jul03 Jun16 Oct02 (schaber debb)ALENCAR WALBER 124 30.00    
SUMMERFEST Jun30 Jun10 May28 May13 Dec26 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
TRUTH AND HONESTY Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 Mar26 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00    
REJECTED AGAIN Jul30 Jul15 May08 Apr29 Apr16 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00    
KEYSTONE HANK Aug06 Jul03 Jun16 May28 Oct07 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 3.50    
 
PID-4   08/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS BUCCANEER Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May26 Apr13 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 8.00 6% 16.20    
CLAPPING Dec16 Nov28 Oct16     (stidham )GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
I'M NO ANGEL Aug04 Jul08 Jun16 May27 May03 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 10.00    
OUTSIDER Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 May27 Jun26 (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
I LUCKED OUT Jul28 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 Mar21 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ O 123 5.00    
WHY NOT ME Mar28 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec24 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  TEMPUS Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 Oct21 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 12.00    
PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Jul29 Jul14 Jun17 May21 Apr25 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 4.50 8% 12.30    
UNCLE TRULY Jul03 May27 Apr19 Mar07 Jan26 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
PID-5   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER WAVE (IRE) Jul22 Jul03 May25 May11 Apr20 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 12% 7.40    
SPANISH CARA (IRE) Jul14 Jun03 Mar28 Mar07 Dec29 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 123 3.00    
MRS. MANICOTTI Jul30 Jun30 Jun10 May26 Feb05 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.50 24% 3.10    
DOWN IN THE BAYOU Jul30 Jul08 Jun23 Jun16 Jun02 (brooks e)MARTINEZ W 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
PERFECT PINK Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 May20 Apr26 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00    
JOYS OF SUMMER Jul30 Jun23 Jun02 May19 Nov07 (rojas l)SPIETH S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRIPLE SECRET Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 Jun10 May26 (russell )MARTINEZ A 118 6.00    
TOVIA Jul30 Jul20 Jul02 Jun02 May19 (herrington c)BELISARIO JUAN 113 20.00    
 
PID-6   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAURYA Jul19 Jun11 May28 Apr16 Aug16 (danner k)GALLARDO A 125 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MANDA BAY by EMPIRE MAKER)
MOMS TRIBUTE Jul15 Jun03 May19 Nov12 Oct12 (brafford mich)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 3.00 7% 13.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of HALLOWEEN FUN by EL PRADO (IRE))
GOING STREAKIN Jul30 Apr05 Mar15 Feb08 Jan11 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
  (by ASTERN out of AURA ROSE by UNCLE MO)
SMARTY PANTS Jul28 Jul02 Jun15 Jul29 Jul10 (norris stephan)ALLEN D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  LUCKY WHITE         (morrell )MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
  (by CARACARO out of CONQUESTADORY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MS. AVENTINA Aug30         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DESERT DUCHESS by HARD SPUN)
CELESTIAL SPEED Jul05         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of BROKEN BLUES by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  LIST         (hamm timothy)STOKES J 120 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ZEENUT by MINGUN)
 
PID-7   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEREVER WE ARE Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 May27 Oct06 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 118 3.00    
U AIN'T THAT LUCKY Jul15 Jun07 Dec21 Nov29 Oct07 (danner k)GALLARDO A 123 6.00    
FLEUR DELACOUR Jul21 Jun25 Oct24 Oct09 Sep23 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 123 3.50 38% 1.70    
ANHINGA Jul28 Jul07 Jun17 Jun04 Mar07 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 5.00    
UNBRIDLED PEACE Jul07 Jun17 May26 Apr19 Mar28 (arriagad)MARTINEZ A 118 1.80 25% 3.00    
AWESOME EMPRESS Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 May28 May04 (guciardo john)MORALES PABLO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUESUP GREENSDOWN Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 Jun29 Jun15 (bourke john)BAYS BROOKE 118 10.00    
DONYAJUANITA (FR) Jun15         (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 4.00    
FILLYRULES Jul28 Jul04 Jun25 Jun10   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 4.50 8% 10.90    
CHRIS'S KITTY Jul14 Apr12 Mar08 Dec11 Oct23 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  HOPE SHE COMES Jul14 Jun30 Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 (schaber debbie)FOX CHRIS 125 10.00    
SADIE WAR LADY Jul28 Jun25 Jun03 Apr28 Oct02 (thompson marc)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
ENGLISH INDY Jul14         (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
TAKE CHARGE BOO         (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 125 8.00 21% 3.80    
MARKET ORDER Feb01 Aug27 Aug07     (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.