Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Friday - August 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (4/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/9)-(4/7/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/9)-(4/7/5/9)-(4/7/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/9)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9)-(4/3/6)-(4/7/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/7/8)-(3/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8/3)-(4/7/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(3/2/6)-(9/6/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(9/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(9/6/8/4)-(5/1/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-5   WIN (9/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/4)-(9/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/4)-(9/6/8/4)-(9/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/8/4)-(5/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/4)-(5/1/4/8)-(2/8/6/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/8)-(2/8/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/8)-(2/8/6/4/7)-(6/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/8/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/4/7)-(2/8/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/4/7)-(2/8/6/4/7)-(2/8/6/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/6/4/7)-(6/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MTH-8   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEW WAY May04 Apr16 Mar16 Feb16 Dec28 (wilson )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
LIL MISS LOLLIPOP Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May03 Apr06 (yanez reynal)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00    
FUEGO K Jul17 May14 Apr05 Mar09 Feb06 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
PRINCESS IRENE Jul26 Jul04 Jan30 Dec12 Aug29 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 119 3.00 59% 0.70    
FOOTNOTE Jul13 Jun20 Feb16 Jan20 Nov30 (sanchez loz)LEON SONNY 119 4.00    
SCR  CAJUN DOVE Jul16 Apr29 Dec16 Oct09 Jan06 (truehart jenni)MOYA F 123 20.00    
JAM'S PAPER MOON Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 Feb19 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 123 3.50 13% 6.80    
HOP FOR HELGA Jul18 May12       (truehart jen)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
LOST IN THOUGHT Jul24 May25 Oct29 Sep08 Jul02 (aro c)JARA FERNANDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-2   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IKIGAI Jul12 Jun27 May31 May17 May09 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 111 15.00    
CATHEDRAL BEACH May10 Mar28 Feb28 Feb08 Nov06 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
LORD WINSALOT Jul23 Jul01 Jun06 May28 May13 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
MAGICAL WARRIOR Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 May31 Apr02 (ness jamie)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
JEBOLOGIST Jul16 Jul07 Jun16 May28 May17 (pino michael)TORRES L 114 3.00    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jul20 Jun16 May24 May10 Apr23 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOBBY'S CANDY Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 Jun10 May21 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00    
 
MTH-3   08/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENGA Jul27         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00    
  (by BLAME out of BETA LEO by A.P. INDY)
SCR  MY BLUE LINE (GB)         (weaver ge)VARGAS A 117 4.00    
  (by BLUE POINT out of SAMDANIYA by MACHIAVELLIAN)
STARLIT SKY Jul05 Jun05       (weaver george)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
FITZ RIGHT         (brown c)LEON SONNY 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of I'M A LOOKER by HENNY HUGHES)
DR. PATTEN Jul27         (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 117 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FORMALITY by HONOR CODE)
ROSIES PINOT Jul12 Jun21       (delgado jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 12.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of STRIKE RED by SMART STRIKE)
RADAR LOOP Aug01         (dini mike)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of HYPERLOOP by EMPIRE MAKER)
MAMA LENCHITA         (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ROOM FOR ME by HARLINGTON)
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAST Jul27         (dini mike)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of REGAL ROSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
MTH-4   08/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING OF THE CROSS         (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 3.50    
IT'S THE MUSCLEMAN         (ramirez jose)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 9% 9.90    
GRANDE FELINO         (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
LITTLE THEODORE Jul13         (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
ALWAYS HONEST         (jimenez j)VARGAS A 118 4.50    
GAEL T         (jimen)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 12.00 9% 9.90    
FOLLOW THE FELLOW Aug08 Jul13       (spina charles)SUTHERLAND C 118 3.00    
 
MTH-5   08/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN CATALINA Aug01 Jun27 Jun15 Mar11 Jan08 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 121 20.00    
SCR  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Jun21 May24 Apr26 Mar28 Feb13 (shivmangal lo)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00    
RUNWAY LIGHTS Jul16 May25 Apr13 Mar26 Mar08 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00    
QUEEN OF SOUL Aug01 Jun27 May18 Apr26 Mar15 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED HAIRED GAL Aug01 Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May18 (flores-)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
BECKETT'S MAP Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May24 Apr20 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 117 4.50 18% 4.60    
IMELDA'S SAVER Jul04 May23 Sep22     (ramirez jose)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
SERENE KATHLEEN Aug01 Jun27 Oct04 Sep14   (schultz l)VARGAS A 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
SUNDAY TIFF Jul13 Jun04 Mar09 Feb16 Dec20 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  SECURITYLIGHTNING Jul27 Jun14 May17 Apr19 Mar16 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 117 10.00    
 
MTH-6   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Aug01 Jul18 Jun08 May11 Apr13 (rabadan serg)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
NOBLE FISH Aug01 May24 Apr11 Mar06 Jan31 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 4.00    
NICOLE'S KING Jul23 Jul02 Feb10 Jan29 Dec18 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 121 6.00    
HATMAKER GIZMO Jul05 May12 Mar21 Feb24 Jan07 (sanchez l)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
MYSTIC LUTE Jul23 Jul02 Apr13 Feb26 Jan31 (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
JERRY'S TURN Aug02 Jul06 Jun22 May31 Apr24 (hills timothy)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00    
PRIME MOTIVE Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 Jun08 May29 (rabadan sergio)LEON SONNY 120 4.50    
MR RAMIREZ Aug01 Jul12 Jun12 May03 Apr19 (ramirez jose)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-7   08/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKE THE BOMB Aug06 Jun21 Oct19 Oct11 Oct05 (mancilla carlos )LEON SONNY 121 5.00    
MICRO BREWSKY Jun08 May18 May03 Mar26 Feb23 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
BEAN MACHINE Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Jun01 May11 (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 121 5.00    
EARL OF DASSEL Jul14 Apr25 Mar29 Mar07 Feb15 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
PAPA FUNNY Aug02 Jun15 Mar07 Dec11 Nov01 (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
LAKE CHAPALA Aug02 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 Mar16 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
TIME TESTED Jul17 Jul08 Jun15 May21 May05 (smith everton)CORREA JULIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
BRAMBLE BLAZE Aug02 Jul06 Apr13 Mar16 Feb05 (dini mike)OLVER MADISON 121 3.00 19% 4.40    
BOCA GUY Jul05 May31 May17 Aug15 Jul26 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 119 15.00    
 
MTH-8   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOAR RICHARD Jul13 Jun22 May18 Apr05 Mar19 (margotta a)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 4.00    
GO YOSHIDA Jul27 Jul06 Jun08 May25 Sep15 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50    
GOD WITH US Jul06 Jun20 May11 Apr18 Mar28 (wilson )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 4.00 17% 4.90    
WE MISS NEIL Jul09 Jun16 May13 Apr16 Mar11 (linder louis)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEO'S LEGACY Aug14 May29 Dec19 Nov25 Nov04 (simoff andrew)LEON SONNY 117 12.00    
SOCIAL HOUR Jul23 Jun19 May23 Mar21 Jan11 (dutrow richard)MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.00 47% 1.10    
FROSTED BULL Jul18 May26 May04 Apr06 Mar15 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.