Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - July 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (9/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/8)-(9/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/8)-(9/6/3/8)-(9/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/3/8)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3/8)-(1/2/5)-(4/3/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/3/9/6)-(6/1/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/9/6)-(4/3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/9/6)-(4/3/9/6)-(4/3/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/9/6)-(6/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9/6)-(6/1/2/8)-(4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/8)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/8)-(4/5/6)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/6/2)-(1/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/31/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THICK AND JUICY Jul10 Jun19 May30 May01   (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
RUN HELWIG RUN Jun07 May22 Mar26 Mar06 Feb07 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
KEVIN MAC Jul03 Jun11 May03 Apr23 Mar10 (kravets bruce )ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  BIG DOSSER Jul22 Jun29 Jun18 Jun03 May20 (caban e)CORREA JULIO 122 15.00    
HIGHS N GOES Jun19 May17 Nov06 Oct04 Sep03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
ENGLISH DADDY Jun28 Jun14 May17 May07 Apr23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE Jul01 Oct29 Oct12 Oct05 Sep20 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00    
WIZARDOFEZ Jul05 Jun12 May30 May03 Mar14 (rozell ron)AGUILAR M 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
GENTLE BREEZE Jul05 Jun08 Nov03 Oct05 Sep12 (allard edwa)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-2   07/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALLAD OF WARRIOR Jun30 Jun19 May23 Apr24 Mar13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 1.40 22% 3.50    
ROAN BURGUNDY Jul23 Jul07 Jun10 May28 Apr29 (arce josue)GONZALEZ MELVIS 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
UNIFIED BY CANDY Jun11 May07 Mar27 Feb28 Jun04 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 121 3.00    
PARTY AT SAM'S Jun19 May30 May08 Apr16 Mar17 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00    
STRAWBERRY TREAT Jun27 Jun20 Jun06 Aug16 Jul19 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   07/31/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYCROFT Jun28 Nov22 Nov01     (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00    
CALL MEE REX Jul04         (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 20.00    
SCR  KATISCHUO Jul04 Jun20       (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
QUAMASH Jun20 May30 May22 Apr09 Mar27 (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 6.00 44% 1.30    
LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Jul16 Jul09 Jun12 Jun07 May15 (beattie san)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 6.00    
LEMON BREEZE Jul12         (reck r)FLORES E 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHOCOLATE BROWNIE         (matz mich)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
COME ABOUT Jun20 Jun12 May22 Nov20 Nov09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 15.00    
GORDITO Jun28 Jun06 Apr18 Mar22 Mar01 (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   07/31/2025 3300ft TURF RC3 YIELDING Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOSHANAH Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 May16 Feb08 (horlacher kyle)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
FLAMINGO WAY Nov05 Sep10 Aug26 Jul08 May20 (aristone phi)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00 13% 6.60    
GIFT OF GAB Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 May16 Apr19 (stettinius suz)CEDENO CAROL 123 4.00    
SUGAR BEE Jun29 Jun07 Apr27 Jan23 Jan04 (milosev)BRICENO GREGOR 121 6.00    
TIME FOR AN ANGEL Jun27 Oct21 Oct03 Jul16 Jun25 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
MYSTIC SEAPORT Jul19 Jun13 May12 Aug31 Jul20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 38% 1.70    
SCR  COME TO MAMA Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 May26 Apr27 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 121 12.00    
FIONA'S MAGIC Jun28 May03 Mar30 Mar02 Feb03 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 121 15.00 5% 17.90    
 
PEN-5   07/31/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERBOAT BANDIT Jul11 Jun25 Jun07 May23 Feb21 (cifarelli f)INIRIO J 121 20.00    
COVE BAY BOY Jul11 Jun26 May30 May15 Apr25 (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 8.00    
KHOPESH Jul21 Jul02 Jun03 May21 May05 (guerrero melec)CORREA JULIO 121 4.00    
SUNDAY GILT Jul16 Jun21 May24 May01 Mar09 (kreiser c)CORA D 118 1.60 63% 0.60    
NOTMYFIRSTRODEO Jul04 Jun19 May30 Apr13 Mar21 (salzman t)RODRIGUEZ R 118 1.40 9% 9.50    
DOS DE OROS Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 May19 (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   07/31/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARDY CHOICE Jun26 Jun13 May31 Apr28 Apr01 (kreiser c)CORA D 123 3.00    
THIRSTY PAPPY Jul08 Jun09 Jun02 May12 Apr29 (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
COPPERHEAD CREEK Jul09 Jun16 May15 Apr24 Mar14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
CURLINGTON Jul11 May01 Mar13 Jan08 Dec27 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 121 3.50 69% 0.50    
SCR  SWEET SPITE Jul11 Jun19 May23 May08 Mar13 (fields kevin)FLORES E 121 6.00    
ABADIN Jul06 Jun13 Apr17 Mar22 Feb21 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 1.80 7% 13.90    
RUN CORY RUN Jul23 Jun30 Jun02 May26 May19 (betancourt e)TORRES L 114 12.00    
 
PEN-7   07/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN MAN Jun18 May09 Mar21     (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
NAUGHTY SQUIDWARD May15 Mar20 Jan08 Dec12 Nov20 (montford leslie)FLORES E 125 20.00    
WAY OF THE WARRIOR Jul04         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKIN WILD Jul09 Jun18 May26 May07 Apr14 (penaloza mi)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 8.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MANHATTAN CHARLIE Jul16 Jun12 May29     (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 15.00    
MY LITTLE CAIBO Jul05 Jun27 Jun11 May24 May03 (ag)GONZALEZ JORGE 122 2.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT DREAMER Jul09 Jun07 May27 May20   (pino v)ADORNO ABNER 122 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.