Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - July 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/6/5)-(2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(2/5/1)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/5/3)-(4/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(5/1/2)-(1/8/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/10)-(1/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/10)-(1/8/10)-(1/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/31/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCIENCE (IRE) Jul16 Jun13 May30 May03 Mar28 (adams l)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00    
HINK'S PALADIN Jul16 Jun20 May24 May09 Apr21 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNTROUBLED Jun04 May13 Mar19 Feb12 Dec29 (caramor)PILARES P 123 2.50    
MCVICKER Jul16 May29 May16 Mar06 Oct13 (livers c)RODRIGUEZ A 125 1.40 15% 5.80    
JARETH Jul16 Jun25 Jun14 May16 Mar31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
BTP-2   07/31/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STICKY NOTE Jun20 Oct14 Aug26     (cowans willia)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.80    
NO PROOF Jul12 Jul01 Jun14 May21 Nov04 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 8.00    
MIGHTY MO Jun20 May30 May17 May09 Apr30 (evans mic)CORREA L 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
ICONIC ROCK Jul03 Jun26 Jun13 May27 May08 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 4.50 20% 3.90    
RYNO WRECKER Jun14 May23 May02 Apr18 Apr06 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 123 3.00    
 
BTP-3   07/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFF HEART Jul17 Nov02 Oct10 Sep21 Sep03 (eubanks richar)PAULY SUMMER 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
MIDNIGHT NOIR Jul19 Jul09 Jun28 Jun05 May27 (donjuan sergi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.00    
PRAY FOR THE BEAR Dec27 Dec13 Nov08 Oct20 Sep18 (bahena is)CORREA L 121 3.50    
LYLA'S LUCKY BOY Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 Jun05 Mar26 (curto beve)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 5.00    
ROJO SKY Jul10 Jun28 Jun20 Jun07 May24 (spanabel ke)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
IMPROBABLE CAUSE Jul12 Jun24 Jun14 May28 May09 (vaughn terry)MURGIA A 121 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
BTP-4   07/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOHAKU Jul12 Jun05 May21 Mar29 Mar15 (alessi james)PENA L 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
ONLY THE GOOD Jul18 Jun28 May28 May08 Mar21 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 1.60 34% 1.90    
PERMIT TO CARRY Jul18 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May07 (ortiz-ruiz)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 4.50    
SCR  SCUBA Jun27 Jun20 Jun05 May15 Apr11 (green troy)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
GUCCI MAN Jul03 Jun12 May28 May12 Mar01 (castanon jo)MORALES ROBERTO 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
I JUST DON'T NO Jul05 Jun26 Jun05 May24 May14 (hall os)PILARES P 123 2.50    
 
BTP-5   07/31/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAUHATCHIE Jul03 Jun14 May24 Jan30 Jan04 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) Jun26 Mar13 Jan26 Dec01 Nov08 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 123 1.60    
PARTYVICIOUS Jul09 Jun24 May25 Apr25 Apr09 (gonzalez )CORREA L 121 10.00 13% 6.70    
ZADDY Jul12 Jul01 Jun19 Jun07 May24 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 114 8.00    
MANCHESTER Jul20 Jun14 May31 Feb28 Feb07 (johnston rebecca)MURGIA A 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
JACKSON'S ROAR Jul12 Jul01 Jun07 May16 Apr30 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 3.50    
SCR  ON PALM SUNDAY Jun17 May12 Mar21 Feb13 Jan23 (wilson david )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.50    
SCR  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Jul23 Jul04 Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 12.00    
 
BTP-6   07/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE TUFFY Jul05 Jun14 Jan23 Dec21 Nov14 (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 123 6.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Jun27 Jun13 May21 Mar28 Feb23 (alessi ja)CORREA L 123 5.00    
WEST COAST CRUISER Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 May21 Oct15 (jarvis kat)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 10.00 8% 11.70    
BOURBON STATE Jul18 Jul09 Jun13 Apr29 Mar27 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 114 3.00 26% 2.80    
GOD OF WINE Jul12 Jun20 Jun06 May10 Apr16 (cristel j)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
ONORE Jun27 May27 Apr27 Mar22 Feb12 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 1.80 23% 3.40    
 
BTP-7   07/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NERVANA Jul16 Jun22 May18 Apr18 Mar12 (rivera xavi)FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
HECTOR B Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 Feb01 Dec04 (melancon paul)JURADO EDDIE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKE PRICE Jul12 Jul01 Jun12 May14 May03 (schuette sheryl)LARA VICTOR 118 8.00    
SKY KEY Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 May21 May05 (melancon paul)MURGIA A 123 10.00    
CAN'T YOU SEE Jul17 Jun28 Jul11 Jun12 Apr25 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.20 42% 1.40    
SATISKY Jul10 Jun19 Jun07 May09 Mar19 (cross r)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 4.00    
 
BTP-8   07/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO LUCYS Jul16 Jul03 Jun08 May27 Jan17 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 118 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  JACK'S SUMMER Jul17 Jul03 May14 Feb05 Nov14 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 123 10.00    
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 Oct17 Sep19 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
RYE SMILE Jul08 Jun12 Apr25 Mar20 Feb27 (orantes )RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.00    
SCR  DIFFERENTLY Jul02 May08 Jan26 Dec15 Dec05 (combs bentle)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 6.00    
SCR  ZIGGZAPPA Jul08 Jun04 May15 Mar19 Feb05 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00    
SCR  COVENANT LADY Jun15 May13 Jan16 Dec28 Oct17 (granitz antho)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Jun19 Apr27 Mar30 Feb20 Dec26 (manning john )SOSA LAUREANO 123 10.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  ISA LEI Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Mar19 Feb23 (estvanko ri)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 15.00    
10  FILLMORE EAST Feb27 Feb06 Jan23 Jan02 Dec05 (moreno tito)MOJICA JR 123 20.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  ICE QUEEN Jul03 Jun04 Apr02 Feb01 Jan04 (alessi james)PENA L 123 12.00    
12  SHAMU Jul16 Jul03 Jun11 May23 May10 (orantes y)CORREA L 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.