Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(5/7/3/1)-(6/2/5/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-2   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(6/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(6/2/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-3   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/2/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/6/2/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-4   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(4/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(4/6/2/1)-(2/9/1/8/10) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-5   WIN (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/6/2/1)-(2/9/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/1)-(2/9/1/8/10)-(5/6/8/7) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (2/9/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/8/10)-(2/9/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/8/10)-(2/9/1/8/10)-(2/9/1/8/10) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/1/8/10)-(5/6/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/8/10)-(5/6/8/7)-(8/4/1/5) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (5/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/8/7)-(8/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-8   WIN (8/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5/6)-(8/4/1/5/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO MAMBO Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec31 Dec12 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 119 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of RUSSKIY LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
2  GO FER Jul09 Jun11 Jun02 May14 Sep17 (williams de)TOWNSEND SHAVON 119 2.00 26% 2.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DELIZIA by DISTANT VIEW)
3  RYTHMOFTHERAIN Jul09 Jun18       (hunter judy)CUMBERBATCH R 119 4.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of CAUGHT MY EYE by HANSEL)
4  SPIKE IT RICH Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May21   (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by NONIOS out of THEIRBANKINGONME by CENTRAL BANKER)
5  ROCKY TOP MISCHIEF Jul02 Jun18 Jan29 Jan15 Jul03 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.00 29% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL RELATIVITY by COWBOY CAL)
 
ASD-2   07/29/2025 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASANT TIME Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04   (thompson )SEECHARAN A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUNDANCE SALLY Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May28 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 25.00    
3  TURN IT LOOSE Jul15 Jul02 May20 Sep18 Aug27 (hunter judy)TOWNSEND SHAVON 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  JUST SPECULATING Jul15 Jun04 May21     (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 20.00    
5  HIBERNATION Jul15 Jul02 Jun18     (hrymak br)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.20 60% 0.70    
6  NOT TRUE Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 Sep23 (johnson marion)PRUITT CIERA 114 2.50    
7  LITTLE EDDIE Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04   (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 119 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
ASD-3   07/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOL DEL SUR Jul14 Jun18 Jun03 Apr19 Apr05 (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 5.00    
2  PODEROSO EQUS Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 May27 Nov03 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
3  FAST TRAFFIC Jul22 Jul09 Jun23 Jun01 Apr26 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 8.00    
4  REALLY SLOW Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May20 (morse vi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 30.00    
5  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Apr02 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 3.50 9% 9.80    
6  GALLANT OAK Jul16 Jul02 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 (dickey elton)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
7  ORCADIAN STORM Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May28 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-4   07/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS RAIN Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Sep24 Sep04 (rawson fred)BELLE SHAVON 121 20.00    
2  EAST COAST COWGIRL Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 Sep18 Jul29 (hunter ju)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50    
3  BEREA Jul05 Jun13 May24 May09 Mar28 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  LOAD ABROAD Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May13 Sep23 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.20 19% 4.30    
5  KATE'S PRINCESS Jul08 Jun24 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (stanford mari)CUMBERBATCH R 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  SERAPE Jul09 Mar14 Mar07 Feb28 Feb01 (fraser lorne)DAWKINS DANE 121 30.00    
7  BETTY JO Jul16 Jul09 Jul01 Jun20 May30 (gourneau )SEECHARAN A 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
 
ASD-5   07/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DO NOT Jul23 Jun22 May11     (gourneau )SEECHARAN A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WILL TO PAR Jun19 May21 Mar30     (homer jason)PARRIS SACHIN 119 10.00 19% 4.30    
3  STANFORD STAR Jul02 Apr19       (homer jason)DAWKINS DANE 119 40.00    
4  BRAINIAC Jul13 Jun28 Jun11 May24 May03 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.20 35% 1.80    
SCR  MOMMAS EDITION         (cizik larry)BELLE SHAVON 119 25.00    
6  SILVERCREEK KID Jul02 Jun02 May21 Sep18 Sep03 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 1.60 25% 2.90    
7  GHOST YA Mar10 Feb18       (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 119 15.00    
8  MIDNIGHT CHEER Jul09 Jun11 May28 May21 Aug28 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 20.00    
 
ASD-6   07/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYBER STORM Jul08 Jun10 Apr30 Apr08   (williams de)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 3.50 9% 10.40    
2  SHE'S A ROWSKI Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 May27   (rowe michael)CUMBERBATCH R 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  CUNDI Jul08 May02 Mar30 Mar08 Feb21 (fraser lo)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00    
4  SHIZETTE Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 Sep09 (ellis andre)HEWITT ROGER 117 50.00    
5  TWILIGHT RIDE Jul08 Jun10       (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 40.00    
6  IT'S NOT THE LAW Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 May20 Apr30 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 25.00    
7  JUMILLA Jun18         (brown jared)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 30.00    
8  BUBBLY TALKIN Jul14 Jun23 Sep09 Aug14   (hunter judy)ALI RONALD 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  FORGOT THE ROSES Jul02 Jun17 May20 Apr23 Apr02 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
10  PIONEER'S TIGRESS Jun10 May27       (jordan jennife)BALROOP SVEN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COLLECTOR'S GRACE         (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 20.00    
 
ASD-7   07/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BY REQUEST Jul23 Jul09 May31 May17 Apr12 (gourneau jer)BENNETT MATHEW 117 6.00    
2  SWEETNESS TO Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Aug14 Jul03 (constant )SEECHARAN A 121 25.00    
3  ALMOST GOT LUCKY Jun17 May20 Mar26 Mar03 Jan08 (stanford )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 8.00    
4  SNEAKY SITUATION Jul09 Jun23 May27 May14 Oct27 (laing sherry)BALROOP SVEN 117 5.00    
5  YELLOW BIRDIE Jul08 Jun10 May27 May13 Sep02 (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 1.20 69% 0.50    
6  UNKNOWN CALLER Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 May10 Apr25 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 4.00 8% 12.10    
7  SUBLIME EUPHORIA Oct08 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 (gardipy raymo)PARRIS SACHIN 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  OFFLEY SPECIAL Jul14 Jun25 Jun11 May28 May14 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-8   07/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW'S BAK Jul08 Jun04 May14 Jan09 Dec17 (hunter judy)ALI RONALD 122 4.00 11% 7.80    
2  DRAGON DREW Jul14 Jun25 Jun10 May21 May14 (ellis andre)PRUITT CIERA 119 20.00    
3  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Jul16 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 122 30.00    
4  IMPERIAL HORNET Jun14 Apr19 Mar28 Feb28 Jan03 (keplin j)HEWITT ROGER 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  BEST OF GREELEY Jul08 Jun10 May21 May13 Apr06 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 10.00 7% 12.90    
6  MEKO MAKEE Jul08 Jun23 Jun04 May20 Dec06 (husbands tiffa)DAWKINS DANE 124 5.00 ★    
7  PLEASE THE COURT May18 Mar28 Mar13 Mar07 Jan30 (keplin st)SEECHARAN A 122 12.00    
8  MARKET KING Jun23 Jun10 May27 May13 Dec09 (duncan murr)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 1.50 44% 1.30    
9  GRACIOUS KAT Jul09 Jun07 May18 May03 Apr19 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.