Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(5/6/2)-(3/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(3/7/4)-(6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(6/3)-(8/6/1/2/9) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(8/6/1/2/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(8/6/1/2/9)-(1/2/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-5   WIN (8/6/1/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/2/9)-(8/6/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/2/9)-(8/6/1/2/9)-(8/6/1/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/1/2/9)-(1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/2/9)-(1/2/3)-(8/1/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(8/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(8/1/5/2)-(2/7/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-7   WIN (8/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/2)-(2/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/2)-(2/7/4/6)-(4/3/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(4/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/27/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURF'S UP May18 Apr20 Aug03     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.80 68% 0.50    
SCR  MAGIC BAY Jun28 Jun05 Apr15 Feb27 Jan29 (velazquez danie)BOWMAN ADAM 119 15.00    
3  NAVY CHIEF (IRE)         (ward a)ESPINOZA V 119 2.50 8% 11.00    
4  FERATOVIC Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 May31 May18 (huston ror)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 30.00    
5  TARTARIAN Jun15 Apr27 Mar12 Feb12 Jan18 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAN WITH THE MONEY Jul05 Jun05       (lake a)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
7  CHILI BILLY         (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 ★    
8  NEONATE Jun22         (alvarado diane)SUTHERLAND C 119 12.00    
 
MTH-2   07/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO VIDI VICI Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 May02 Mar22 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50    
2  AYMAN Jul06 Jun12 May15 May08 Apr20 (ward dan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLATTERS CHANCE Jun29 May25 Apr13 Mar07 Feb05 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 123 4.50    
4  CHANGE YOUR NAME Jul20 Jun08 Apr24 Apr05 Feb15 (dougherty dev)OLVER MADISON 123 5.00    
5  JACE IS NO JOKE Jul12 Jun14 May31 May18 Mar20 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  ZHU DADDY Jul11 Jun09 May17 Mar08 Jan24 (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
MTH-3   07/27/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($22K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCH (GB) Jul12 Jun14 May24 May03 Apr13 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
2  ATTA PARTY Jun27 Mar08 Feb02 Jan17 Dec07 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
SCR  GINS AND TINS Jul12 Jun27 May17 Oct22 Sep14 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  LEVEE WAS DRY Jun21 May31 Apr25 Mar28 Mar07 (delgado jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 6.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  BOURBON BOSS Jul18 May16 Apr26 Mar27 Feb15 (pino michael )JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00    
6  TATUM Jun18 May07 Apr21 Mar26 Mar19 (kirby jo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00    
7  SPEED FIGURES Jun29 Jun12 Apr27 Feb15 Jan26 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  TAP IN FORMATION Jul09 Jun16 May26 May13 Apr15 (rodriguez ir)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
 
MTH-4   07/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAGA'S HAMSOME May11 Apr19 Mar09 Feb21 Feb07 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 ★    
2  MARGARITA DAZE Jun28 Jun01 May04 Apr11 Feb15 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50    
3  SECURITYLIGHTNING Jun14 May17 Apr19 Mar16 Feb09 (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  TOXIC GIRL Jul10 Jun21 May24 May02 Apr03 (jimenez jose)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50    
SCR  MY VANILLA Jun27 May25 Feb07 Jan17 Nov07 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
6  MISSPENT Jun15 Jun01 Apr25 Apr05 Feb28 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
MTH-5   07/27/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIBORA (URU) Jun19 Apr18       (ward a)FLORES R 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of TOUCH AND SMILE by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  BRAMBLE BLAST         (dini mike)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of REGAL ROSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  L'ECLAIR         (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of BREAKAWAY DIXIE by MARINO MARINI)
4  EZ YOURS         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 117 12.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of YOURS TRULY by POINT OF ENTRY)
5  DR. PATTEN         (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 117 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FORMALITY by HONOR CODE)
6  ROYAL TESTAMENT May10         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 117 5.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TRUE TESTAMENT by HANSEN)
SCR  JUSTAMOMENTPLEASE         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 117 10.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of LOOK AT ME GO by PARADING)
8  MUFFIN MUSIC         (ward a)ESPINOZA V 117 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLASHY AMERICAN by FLASHY BULL)
9  SENGA         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of BETA LEO by A.P. INDY)
10  STRIKING FINALE         (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SOUPER STRIKING by BRILLIANT SPEED)
11  NATURES FURY         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 117 10.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of LA VITA BELLA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BETTER WITH VINO Jul12         (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ORBS BABY GIRL by ORB)
 
MTH-6   07/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKSON'S LEGACY Jul09 Jun16 May28 May12 Apr16 (ramirez silvi)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00 28% 2.50    
2  WICKED MELODY Jun22 May16 Apr27 Apr12 Mar16 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  FULLY COMMITTED Jul18 Jul06 Jun14 May25 Apr23 (ramirez silvino)LEON SONNY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EMPIRE SKY Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Nov16 Oct04 (yanez reyn)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 8.00    
SCR  TAVERN TIME May11 Apr11 Mar05 Nov07 Oct06 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00    
6  REAL BLUES Jul06 Jun16 May01 Apr12 Mar23 (ness jamie)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00    
7  GO YOSHIDA Jul06 Jun08 May25 Sep15   (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50    
 
MTH-7   07/27/2025 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Colleen Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECTACULAR GREY Jul12         (delgado alexi)JARA FERNANDO 118 8.00 28% 2.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ROSE GREY by THE FACTOR)
2  SLICK MERLIN Jul04         (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CRAFTY COED by CRAFTY FRIEND)
3  FIRE ON THE WIRE Jun13 May22       (delgado jorge)NO RIDER 116 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of CAMARIA by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  THANK YOU AMY Jul12 Jun18       (potts g)SUTHERLAND C 118 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
5  GERRARDS CROSS Jun06         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SPANISH CONCERT by CONCERTO)
SCR  CLOWNING AROUND Jun19 May22 Apr06     (ward a)NO RIDER 118 6.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of AVENTURE LOVE by ORPEN)
SCR  SANTINA         (ward a)ESPINOZA V 116 4.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SANTA GUAPA by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  SPINELLI Jun05         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 43% 1.40    
  (by UPSTART out of TOWN GRAD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  NACHO PROBLEM Jun29 Jun08 May03     (green j)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
  (by WAITING out of NACHO MAMA by BRETHREN)
10  GOLDEN BEACH Jul11         (dini mike)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
11  PULSTAR Jul12 Jun06       (ward a)NO RIDER 118 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELLERUE by QUALITY ROAD)
 
MTH-8   07/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO'S VINO MESA Jul11 May11 Apr11 Mar16 Feb19 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
2  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Jul11 Nov24 Sep21 Aug31 Nov22 (simone micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
3  SOFSTER Jul11 Jun14 Jun07 Aug24 Jul21 (ramirez silvi)OLVER MADISON 124 5.00    
4  WILLFUL DESIRE Jun15 May13 Mar29 Feb07 Jan03 (pino michael)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00 9% 9.70    
5  FROSTED DIAMOND Jul16 Jul01 Jun15 May28 May03 (padilla hu)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 5.00    
6  SMOOTH PEBBLE Jun20 Jun11 Apr27 Jun23 Jun01 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Jul11 Jun17 May21 May05 Dec09 (brown howard )RIVERA D 121 4.50 11% 8.50    
 
MTH-9   07/27/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS RUMMIKUB (FR) Jul05 May24 Apr11 Mar08 Feb08 (moreno-barba)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50    
2  A COZY THING Jul06 Jun01 May17 Dec13 Aug14 (einhorn k)VARGAS A 117 12.00    
3  AUTHENTICATE NOW Jul05 May24 Apr30 Apr05 Mar15 (dini mike)RUIZ ELISEO 117 4.00 13% 6.60    
4  TURF ROCKET Jun14 Apr26 Nov10 Oct24 Sep07 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  WINE AND ROSES Jun02 Apr26 Jan24 Dec27 Oct21 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
6  MIA VITA Jul05 Jun15 Apr18 Mar29 Feb07 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 12% 7.40    
7  VICTORY GIRL Jul05 Jun15 May24 Apr19 Mar29 (pimental joh)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00    
8  LADY EMBRACE Jun27 May04 Apr11 Mar21 Feb16 (martin f)LEON SONNY 117 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.