Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - July 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (8/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/5)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/5)-(1/2/3)-(6/3/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(6/3/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/3/2/9)-(8/3/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/9)-(6/3/2/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/9)-(6/3/2/5/9)-(6/3/2/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/9)-(8/3/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/9)-(8/3/9/5)-(4/8/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/9/5)-(4/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/5)-(4/8/6/1)-(8/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/6/1)-(8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/1)-(8/1/6)-(5/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/6)-(5/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6)-(5/7/8)-(1/8/2/6/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/8)-(5/7/6/8)-(5/7/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/8)-(1/8/2/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/8/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/6/9)-(1/8/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/6/9)-(1/8/2/6/9)-(1/8/2/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERATION DAY Jun13 Apr10 Feb26 Jan29 Jan04 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 2.00    
STRONG DECISION May08 Feb27 Feb07 Sep14 Aug26 (rodriguez frank)PELTROCHE F 118 20.00    
CICATRIZ Jun29 May03 Mar27 Feb05 Jan15 (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00    
BLUEBILITY TOO         (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 10.00 33% 2.00    
DICE ARM Jul05 May24 May10 Apr24 Feb08 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
FEEL THE BOLT Jun27 Jun15 Jun08 May24 May03 (mohan d)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 8.00 6% 14.90    
SWEET MANHATTAN Jul05 Jun13 Jan22     (gilles)RIOS-CONDE JR 118 12.00    
CAN I GET AWITNESS Jul05 Jun27 Jun07 May01 Mar20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
CT-2   07/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU YEARS Jun24 Jun07 May16 Apr04 Mar01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
IMPRESSIONISM Jul12 Nov21 Sep28 Aug20 Aug02 (runco jeff )CESPEDES JHORMA 117 10.00 8% 11.30    
LUCKY BOP Jul03 May17 Apr05 Mar20 Feb22 (craig lewis )DIAZ JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
AIM'S JUBILEE Jun20 May31 May17 Apr25 Mar20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50    
SCR  MAGICALLY VANISHED Jul18 Jun13 May24 Apr26 Apr12 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
MITOLE CANDY Jun20 May31 May01 Apr05 Mar20 (collyer d)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
LOOK AHEAD Jun28 May23 May10 Apr26 Apr18 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
 
CT-3   07/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU ROTTEN JOKER Feb22         (jones michae)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
BIRCH BAY Jun21 May23       (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50 13% 6.70    
SUPER MOUNTAINEERS Jul12 Jun21 May31     (caison l)LARROSA G 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
EL PROFETO Jun27 Oct26 Oct18     (aylor willia)DIAZ JR 122 15.00    
JUBA'S TAJ Jul18 Jun27 Jun21 Jan11 Dec07 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 118 2.50    
BOLD BOOMER Jul18 Jun28 Jun21     (wilhel)RIOS-CONDE JR 118 6.00 32% 2.20    
A REASON TO PARTY Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May23 Apr25 (grigsby ant)CESPEDES JHORMA 111 3.50    
BLAZE FOR DAZE Jun27 May29 May10 May03 Apr19 (scott h)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
INTENTION TO ZIP Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May09 Apr19 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   07/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKSKIN SUZIE Jun27 Jun05 May17 Feb07 Jan02 (comi w)HO WESLEY 116 12.00    
LATE NIGHT SPIRIT Jun28 Jun19 Jun07 Oct12 Aug24 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 124 10.00    
SUNSHINE HAZEL Jun27 Apr24 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 31% 2.20    
SCR  CAYUGA Feb27 Jan18 Jan10     (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 50.00    
BREAKING BULLET Jun27 Jun07 Apr24 Apr03 Mar13 (walters dav)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 8.00 6% 15.40    
AUNT JO Feb06 Jan25 Dec13 Nov20 Nov13 (smith m)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
HIDDEN RIVER Jun27 Jun12 Apr24 Mar13 Feb19 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 50.00    
LOVELY LUCY Jun27 Jun12 Apr24 Apr03 Mar13 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
INSTAGRAND GIRL Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 May11 Apr12 (murdock)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 2.00 10% 8.60    
 
CT-5   07/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE TO CARO Mar28 Mar07       (brown )RIOS-CONDE JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
MOONLIGHT MISTRESS Apr23 Mar30       (perry l)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
COUNT THE FLOWERS Jun27 Jun21 Apr26 Apr03 Mar07 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 4.50    
STARCASTLE         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 1.80 69% 0.50    
SCR  BURNING SPIRIT         (atkins mich)CESPEDES JHORMA 115 10.00    
RUNAWAY GOLD Jul10 Jun07 May02 Apr03 Mar06 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MODEST KAY Jun12 May02 Apr18 Apr03   (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 30.00    
EYESONTHECANDY Jun27 Jun12 May15 Apr17 Mar21 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 116 3.50 7% 13.50    
TINA'S BACK Jun27 May29 May02 Apr03 Mar21 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.00    
 
CT-6   07/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIELDSTONE Jun23 Jun09 Nov19 Nov05 Oct18 (hetrick kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
MR. MOX Jul19 Jun27 Apr23 Mar20 Jan30 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
SCR  JESTER'S SONG Jul17 Jun22 Jun06 Apr13 Aug17 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50    
BONNIE BILL Jul03 Jun14 May23 May09 Apr18 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
TYCOON (GB) Jul03 Apr14 Mar25 Mar04 Feb24 (calhoun amanda)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY May01 Apr05 Mar15 Nov15 Oct09 (mckee cynthi)DIAZ JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE WOLFMAN Jul12 Jun22 May31 May10 Apr04 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 10.00    
OZONE Jul19 Jul03 May01 Apr04 Feb21 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.20 54% 0.90    
 
CT-7   07/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASENJOHNATHAN Jun12 Feb28 Jan16 Dec07 Nov06 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
BOLD DESERT Jun27 Jun21 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 (johnson dewa)BATISTA A 116 30.00    
SCR  EASY PASS Jul19 Jun14 May31 May10 Apr23 (groves janice)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
WISH ON JUBA Jun27 May30 May09 Apr23 Mar13 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 2.50    
GIMMETHATSUGAR Jun27 May30 May10 May02 Apr04 (petty kristy)ACOSTA D 116 2.00 41% 1.50    
SHARPASADIAMOND Jul11 Jun21 Jun06     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50    
LIFE IS DAILY Jun28         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
CANDY MAN CAN Apr05 Mar13 Feb22     (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   07/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUR GUIDE Jun28 Jun05 May22 Apr10 Mar13 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 117 4.50 53% 0.90    
ICE BAR Feb05 Dec13 Oct10 Jun13 Mar30 (cundith s)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 8% 11.70    
MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Jul12 Jun22 Jun15 May09 Mar29 (mohan d)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 6.00    
FEARNOUGHT Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May23 May09 (clatterbuck fr)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
SCR  TWIXTER Jul04 Jun13 May22 Apr25 Mar28 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
ROL AGAIN DANCER Jul04 Jun20 Apr24 Apr03 Feb21 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 12.00 6% 16.50    
WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD Jun01 May03 Apr06 Mar24 Mar07 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80    
RIDICULOUS Jul03 Jun13 May02 Apr24 Apr04 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 9% 10.60    
ICETECA Jul04 Jun13 May22 May02 Apr05 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BESOTTED Jul04 Jun20 May29 Mar15 Feb21 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
11  BONDED (IRE) Jun26 Jun13 May17 May02 Apr05 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
SCR  ADMIT NOTHING Jul05 Jun25 Jun01 Mar29 Mar08 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00    
SCR  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Jun26 Jun06 May22 May02 Apr10 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.