Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (5/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/3/4)-(1/4/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/4/2)-(6/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-3   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/5)-(7/3/6/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (6/5)-(7/3/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(7/3/6/1)-(6/7/3/4) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
ASD-5   WIN (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/3/6/1)-(6/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/1)-(6/7/3/4)-(8/5/7/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(8/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/4)-(8/5/7/1)-(3/5/4/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-7   WIN (8/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/5/7/1)-(3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-8   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC APPEAL Jul02 Jun17 May28 Sep16 Sep03 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 121 20.00    
LINDA'S MAP Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Dec05 Nov17 (moreno carlos)DAWKINS DANE 115 2.00    
APPLE FEST Jul08 Jun09 May18 Mar23 Feb18 (hrymak br)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.20    
WAITINBYTHENILE Jul02 Jun17 May28 May14 Mar21 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOUND FOR HEAVEN Jul02 Jun17 May28 May14 Sep17 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 117 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
ASD-2   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC CHROME May31 Mar31 Mar06 Jan15 Dec31 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00    
MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Jun14 May31 May09 Apr18 Mar23 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
DISTINCTIVE DEB Jul08 Jun25 May27 May13 Apr08 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
DAMN THE TORPEDOES Jul08 Jun25 Sep18 Sep04 Aug28 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 15.00 10% 9.30    
ISLAND HIGH Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May28 May14 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00    
SUMITUP Jul08 Jun10 May27 May13 Apr13 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 123 2.00    
 
ASD-3   07/22/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACTING Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 May21 Mar22 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 1.00 44% 1.30    
CHARMING CHARLIE Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 May28 May13 (delaronde lee)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00 10% 8.90    
FAST TRAFFIC Jul09 Jun23 Jun01 Apr26 Feb02 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 6.00    
WRONG DIRECTION Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 May21 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
CAPTIVE KITTEN Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May27 Sep24 (morse victoria)BELLE SHAVON 122 30.00    
SHAMAYIM Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May28 May12 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00    
RIDE EM Jun18 Jun10 Jun03 Sep16 Sep04 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 117 25.00    
 
ASD-4   07/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIZETTE Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 Sep09 Aug14 (ellis andre)HEWITT ROGER 114 50.00    
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
FRANKLY Jul14 Jul02 Jun02 May20 Sep09 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 10.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PLAIN BROWN by SIGHTSEEING)
AMPLIFY Jul08 Jun03       (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 119 20.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of COHERENT by DANZIG)
SCR  MINI GLAZED DONUT Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May20 Aug27 (husbands tiffany)ALI RONALD 114 15.00    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SWEET CINNAMON BUN by POWER BROKER)
TWOLEFTTOLOAD Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May20 Aug27 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 114 5.00 12% 7.20    
  (by SPECULATING out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
NIKKITYSPLIT Jul08 Jun17 May20     (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 0.20 62% 0.60    
  (by SPECULATING out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
ASD-5   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENNIGAN Jul08 Jun10 May27 May13 Mar25 (laing )LEWIS ANTHONY 122 25.00 9% 9.60    
VALID DEFENCE Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May27 Aug26 (anderson )SEECHARAN A 122 20.00    
BRINSON Jun17 May18 Apr28 Apr15 Mar24 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
PRIX DE WEST Jun24 May10 Apr11 Mar09 Mar01 (laing sherr)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 15.00    
PICKIN' RIFFS Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 May21 Sep16 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 124 7.00    
KENTUCKY JAKE Jul08 Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 Sep24 (rawson fr)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
KARANTHOS Jun24 May30 May10 Mar29 Mar15 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 1.60 26% 2.80    
EL MUZN Jun24 May27 May13 Sep24 Sep11 (desjarlais ryan)ALI RONALD 122 30.00    
 
ASD-6   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE MAKER Jul08 Jun18 Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 4.50    
CAJUN BERTI Jul08 Jun24 Sep18 Sep09 Aug14 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 30.00    
FOUR ACES HIGH Jul02 Jun11 May28 May14 Nov01 (morse vic)SEECHARAN A 124 20.00 14% 6.00    
MAIBELLA Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May27 May14 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
OHTANI Jul02 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Jul12 (gardipy jr)PRUITT CIERA 119 40.00    
MOON CONNECTION Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May20 Sep23 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 0.80 50% 1.00    
ORCADIAN STORM Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May28 Nov15 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jul02 Jun10 Jun03 Sep24 Sep09 (desjarlais r)BENNETT MATHEW 124 25.00    
 
ASD-7   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCEOFTHEPRAIRIE Jun17 Jun02 Sep17 Aug27 Jul29 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
ATABOYCOOKIE Jun17 Jun02 Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 25.00    
MR. SPLASH Jul02 Jun02 May20 Aug28 Aug12 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 12.00    
BOTTLE CAPS Jul08 Jun17 Jun02 Mar31 Mar10 (williams de)TOWNSEND SHAVON 119 2.50    
BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 May20 Aug28 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
AIR FORCE RESERVE Jul08 Jun17 Jun02 May20 Sep24 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 117 20.00    
HEYSWEETDARLIN Jul08 Sep09       (hunter judy)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.50 10% 9.20    
ACKNOWLEDGE Jun22 May29 May09 Mar22 Jan19 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
ASD-8   07/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVAGE LOVE Jun25 Jun02 Sep23 Sep10 Jul09 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Jul15 Jul01 May28 May14 Sep18 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 20.00    
ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 Jul30 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
DONNAS FINAL WORD Jul02 Jun15 May18 Apr11 Mar30 (ellis an)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 4.00 13% 6.80    
MISS Z Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May13 Aug26 (mustard d)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
COMPRESSED ENERGY Jul06 Jun29 Jun14 May21 Jan25 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 123 2.00    
SPARKLING SILVER Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Sep23 Sep18 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 123 10.00    
DRILL BABY DRILL Jul01 Jun17 Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.