Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Monday - July 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/4)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CTM-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTM-5   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTM-6   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(2/4)-(1/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/4/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CTM-8   WIN (1/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-2   07/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGAL ASSASSIN Jul04 Jun13 May30 Oct26 Oct12 (heggie rod)FOSTER R 123 4.50    
2  THISCATSGOTSPEED Jun27 Oct20 Oct12 Sep22 Aug30 (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 3.50 ★    
3  MY MUNNINGS MODEL Jul07 Jun24 May30 May09 Nov29 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.00    
4  TRAPEZE Jun27 Jun06 May23 Oct26 Oct13 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  H K RAPPER Jul07 Jun15 Nov02 Oct20 Oct13 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
CTM-3   07/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEENS OVER JACK'S Jul04 May16 May03 Jun22 Aug13 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 3.50    
2  VANTASTICCANAVERAL Jul05 Jun15 May09 Oct06 Sep07 (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.50    
3  WHATWOMENWANT Jul05 May23 May09 Sep14 Aug23 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 1.80 39% 1.50    
4  HANDSOME HENRY May30 Nov03 Oct20 Oct13 Sep22 (grieves ron)FOSTER R 123 8.00 21% 3.80    
5  JUST KEN Jun27 Jun07 May24 May10 Mar17 (o'hagan coll)NATERA KEIHTON 120 2.50    
 
CTM-4   07/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAWCHUK Jul04 Jun24 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 (davies dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  OAK BAY QUALITY May30 May16 Oct12 Sep22 Aug30 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 3.50    
3  EH TEE EM Aug26 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Sep09 (ellefs)STEADMAN LEON 123 8.00    
SCR  ALBERTA BERBON Jul05 Jun06 May10 Oct26 May25 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 1.80    
5  TIME 'N TIME AGAIN Jul11 Jun24 Oct08 Sep09 Aug11 (bell ken)LUNAN RICHARD 123 6.00 40% 1.50    
6  BUCK SPRINGS Jul04 Jun24 Apr26 Nov02 Oct12 (smith craig )FOSTER R 118 10.00    
 
CTM-5   07/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARREST May31 Apr16 Mar19 Feb20 Jan25 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 1.80 ★    
2  TORIADOR Jun28 May31 May17 Oct19 Oct06 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00    
SCR  YOU'RE THE CAUSE May30 Apr02 Feb18 Jan25 Dec31 (buf)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00    
4  FOUR O SIX CREED Jun27 May30 Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 (kingston kar)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  NORTHERN FORCE Jun07 May16 May03 Aug24 Aug09 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 6.00    
SCR  TOOL TIME Jun28 May16 May03 Mar24 Mar03 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00    
 
CTM-6   07/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COUNTRIFIED Jul04 Jun24 Jun06 May30 May10 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 123 4.50    
2  GO SPEED RACER GO Apr08 Mar07 Jan30 Dec16 Oct30 (wyness james)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 3.50 ★    
3  LONESOME CAT Jun28 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 Aug24 (ward anderso)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLY EMPEROR Jul05 Jun07 May17 May17 Mar13 (vanoverschof ro)CARTER KYLE 123 8.00    
5  WILL IS CHILL Jul02 Jun18 May28 Sep16 Aug27 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 123 10.00 25% 3.00    
6  MAD LUTHER Jun28 Jun13 May24 May10 Mar31 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50    
7  JUMEIRAH COAST Jun27 Jun07 May16 Oct27 Oct12 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.00    
 
CTM-7   07/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOW AND ZEN Jun24 Jun13 May23 May09 Mar17 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00    
2  HARD DIAMOND Jul04 Jun24 May24 May10 Jun08 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  VIOLENT VIOLET Jun28 May09 Nov03 Sep28 Sep07 (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 118 8.00    
4  CAPE'S LEGACY Jul04 Jun24 Jun06 May23 May09 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARBOR DANCER Jul04 Jun13 May30 May16 Oct20 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.50    
6  DETERMINED FREEDOM Jul04 Jun13 May30 May10 Mar09 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.50 ★    
SCR  STONE HOUSE Jul07 Jun27 Jun07 May10 Oct12 (brown r)NELSON DANE 120 5.00    
 
CTM-8   07/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MIEZIE Jun24 May23 May03 Oct26 Oct05 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
2  TYBOLA         (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHITU MEISTER         (biggs sey)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 120 6.00    
4  BET ON WHITE Jul07 Jun06 May23 May10 Oct26 (robertso)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  KATHLEEN         (smith robe)LAHOE RUJA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ZONE CONTROL Jul07 Nov08 Oct24 Sep22 Sep08 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00    
7  PATRIOTIC FREEDOM Jun24 Jun06 Oct05 Aug03 May25 (henson rober)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.00    
SCR  CARAVALLA Jul07         (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 115 10.00    
9  WESTERN SUNSET Jun24 May23       (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.