Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/1)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/1/7)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(2/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/6/3)-(2/5/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(7/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3)-(7/2/3/4)-(3/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   07/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPY TOWN Jun16 May28 Apr24 Mar19   (d'alessandro r)COA J 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of UNBROKEN SPIRIT by CANDY RIDE)
STIMULI Jul02 May06 Apr24 Apr11 Mar08 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of STARRY ROSE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
GORZO Jun21 May25 Apr17 Mar28 Feb08 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of GEMINI WITCH by GEMOLOGIST)
ALL APAULOGIES Jun28 Jun15       (breed r)NAVARRO J 120 6.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of TWOFER by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  SOLO FLIGHT Jun03 May12 Apr28 Apr05 Mar08 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SKY GAL by SKY MESA)
WISECRACKER Jul01 Jun03 May21 May06 Nov27 (reed a)HARKIE K 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of G NOTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
FL-2   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVORCED OF COURSE Jul02 Jun04 May26 Apr28 Mar23 (d'alessandro r)COA J 118 8.00    
WHO'S GOT THE TIP Jul02 Feb07 Jan17 Nov11 Sep23 (d'alessandro ralp)RUSSELL C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TALE OF THE TAIL Jul02 Jun03 May19 Feb28 Feb15 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 4.00    
ACCELERINA Jun12 May11 Mar28 Mar07 Feb02 (rodriguez ru)HARKIE K 124 2.00    
SILENT SANDY Jul01 May26 May08 Nov21 Oct06 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  ALLEY'S SONG Jul02 May27 May01 Apr24 Apr04 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50    
 
FL-3   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE VINO Jul02 May21 May12 Apr29 Jan31 (mur)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SKYLER'S STARSHIP Jul02 Jun02 Nov20 Oct23 Oct07 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
STORMIN SAMMY Jun25 Jun08 May06 Apr28 Mar13 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 117 3.00    
STARS N STONES Jun25 Jun02 May19 May06 Nov19 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
PUCKISH Jun25 May19 May05 Feb28 Nov18 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00    
 
FL-4   07/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRODUCTION CREDIT Jun26 Jun11 May28 May14 Apr29 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
BAY BANK Jun26 Jun11 Oct14 Sep16 Aug27 (saul dana)COA J 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
STONE GUITAR May28 Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
SON OF DARKNESS Jul01 Jun11 May26 Nov20 Nov05 (pettine)NAVARRO J 124 8.00    
SCR  HEADS OR TAILS Jun26 May14 Dec12 Nov27 Oct24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50    
SMOKIN' ALONE Jun26 Jun11 May28 May14 Nov20 (sabine micha)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
MACDONOUGH Jun26 Jun10 May06 Nov25 Oct28 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 6.00 8% 12.20    
 
FL-5   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACERX Jul08 Jun04       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TWEET STREET by QUALITY ROAD)
CHICAGO CHARLIE Jul02 Jun10       (gutierr)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of STONEFIELD SOUTH by GRINDSTONE)
REAL ELEVE Jan26 Jan02 Nov14 Oct05   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SNOWSTORM (GB) Jul08 Jun04 Jul08 Jun19   (dixon k)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STORMY PERON by HARD SPUN)
PAINTING STONES Oct14 Sep09       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of PINCELADA by WILDCAT HEIR)
NOT MY TYPE Nov26 Nov18 Oct28 Oct01 Sep09 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 4.50 10% 9.20    
  (by CATOMIZE out of MY EXCESS by PARTNER'S HERO)
STORMY'S DREAMING Jun02 Apr24 Mar21 Feb15 Jan17 (baker charlton)PEREZ E 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of STORMY'S SMILE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MY KINDA CRAZY Jul08 Jun04       (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 10.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of SAME KINDA CRAZY by POSSE)
 
FL-6   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH BOY AL Jun26 Jun09 Nov26 Oct18 Sep25 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 10.00 11% 8.50    
BROCKMONINOFF Jun11 May28 Nov20 Oct21 Sep02 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
FLASH KISS Oct14 Sep18 Aug21 Jul23 Jun24 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Jun30 Jun11 May26 May06 Nov25 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 124 5.00    
FRANK'S ART Jan15 Jan01 Dec15 Nov22 Nov01 (d'alessandro r)COA J 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
TRAPPE THE DREAM Jul01 Jun09 Nov26 Nov18 Nov05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Jul02 Jun11 Jun03 Feb09 Jan18 (grusmar)CINTRON YALEXAMARIE 117 10.00    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jul01 Jun11 May28 May14 Apr29 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
SCR  BARFLY Jun09 May26 Apr29 Nov20 Nov11 (thompson g)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
10  CENTRAL LOVE Jun26 Jun11 May26 May14 Apr29 (lopez arcad)CAMILO D 124 25.00    
 
FL-7   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVIVALISM Jun18 Jun02 May19 Apr28 Apr03 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 118 8.00    
SCARAMANGA (IRE) Jun13 Mar29 Mar14 Mar02 Jan10 (potts wayne)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
PASCHAL MOON May19 Apr13 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 3.50 9% 10.50    
G MUNNING Jul02 Jun16 Jun03 May19 Apr28 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 8.00 7% 12.70    
THE DELAWARE BOYZ Jul02 Nov20 Oct28 Oct07 Aug28 (buc)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00    
ENTICING PROSPECT Jul02 Jun18 May03 Apr05 Nov20 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00    
LOVE THAT BIRD Jul02 Jun03 Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
BIG RICH Jul02 May28 May17 Apr26 Apr12 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 15.00    
 
FL-8   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTAUK MEMOIRS Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr05 Mar14 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 4.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
SALT SPARTAN Jun16 Jul19       (bartlett william )PEREZ E 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PASTEL GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
MAGIC BEACH Jun15 May03 Apr11 Apr05 Mar08 (rice linda)COA J 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MAGIC MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
RAGTIME PRANKSTER Jun30 Jun16 May08 Mar28 Mar01 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 120 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SILLY SISTER by BROKEN VOW)
EX MACHINA         (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TIZNOW'S SMILE by TIZNOW)
SCR  GRAY HAIRED GUS Jun30 Jun04 May21     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of COMET OF LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  LIKE A BOSS Jun16         (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 120 2.50    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of VICTORY ON THE MT. by VICTORY GALLOP)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.