Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Great Falls
Sunday - July 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GF-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/5) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-4   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
GF-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/1) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
GF-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/6) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
GF-8   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/4/6) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GF-1   07/13/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEO Jun22 Jun14 Dec29 Nov23 Nov02 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00    
CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Jun21 Jun14 Apr16 Mar13 Jan15 (fitzpatrick )JOURNET JARRED 126 7.00    
IMMORAL May30 May11 Apr19 Apr06 Mar22 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126 1.60 59% 0.70    
HENNING Jul22 Jul15 May20 Feb11 Jan21 (schmitt bill)ANDROS CORRINE 126 5.00 17% 5.00    
PRIVATE TRAX Jul28 Jul20 Jun14 May27 May05 (dennis cli)BAD JOSSIAH 126 4.00    
 
GF-2   07/13/2025 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARADISE POKER Jun15         (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.50    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of TWO TO TANGO by TAPIT)
PHARAONIC PHOENIX Jun22 Jun06 May17     (nelson )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 117 3.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of PHARAONIC PRINCESS by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
MR MAKUNOUCHI Jun29 Jun08 Jun06 May10 Mar14 (mccracken ro)JOURNET JARRED 126 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
ENSIGN OF HOPE Jun21 May17       (nelson bucks)BANDA F 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BARONIAL out of A J DA TEACH by SIDEBURN)
AMERICAN TANGO Jun15 May17 Mar26 Mar17 Mar10 (fitzpatric)BAD JOSSIAH 122 2.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of GO ARGENTO by EXCHANGE RATE)
SHE'S ON FIRE Oct19 Sep17 Aug28 Aug04 Jul22 (wippert haro)ANDROS CORRINE 121 8.00 26% 2.90    
  (by TEXAS WILDCATTER out of PIKE PLACE MARKET by AFTER MARKET)
 
GF-4   07/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HINT OF FRIPPERY Jun22 May17 May11 Feb26 Feb03 (nelson bu)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
INZAWAY Jun28 Apr02 Mar25 Mar13 Feb26 (dennis cli)BAD JOSSIAH 126 2.00    
SENSIBLE LUTE May16 Mar12 Feb05 Jan22 Jan08 (nelson bucks)ANDROS CORRINE 126 3.00    
 
GF-5   07/13/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFESBEENGOODTOME Mar27 Jun15 May27 Apr23 Mar16 (dennis cli)BAD JOSSIAH 126 2.00    
BIG SWAG Jun22 Jun13 May30 Apr19 Apr02 (oliver d)ANDROS CORRINE 122 1.60 68% 0.50    
EL OCHO Mar27 Mar13 Feb18 Jan21 Dec11 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00    
 
GF-7   07/13/2025 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prince Purse ($7.7K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY WITH PADDY Jun20 May31 May10 Oct19 Sep29 (birdrattle)BAD JOSSIAH 126 10.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TIME OF INNOCENCE by PALACE MALICE)
CHRISTINE'S JACK Jun29 Jun01 Oct12 Sep29 Jul28 (smith jackie)GAMEZ M 126 3.50 8% 12.00    
  (by MUSKETIER out of KISSAMEE GLITTER by TEXAS GLITTER)
WE CALL HIM DOC Jun21 May30 May23 May10 May03 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 1.60 67% 0.50    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of PEGGY BARR by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  TOOLITTLETOOLATE Jun08 May18 May04 Apr19 Apr01 (nordlund pat)ANDROS CORRINE 126 5.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of JET SET GIRL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
DELTA DELTA Jun07 May31 May18 May04 Jan14 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of DELTA SENSATION by THUNDER GULCH)
CONTRABAND Sep12 Sep06 Aug09 Jul18 Jul11 (calfrobe )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of SIERRA PASSION by OUR EMBLEM)
 
GF-8   07/13/2025 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAW THE FOUL Jun08 Apr18 Mar30 Mar21 Mar08 (smith jackie)GAMEZ M 126 3.00    
SOUTH SEA Jun21 May31 May18 May11 Jul28 (nelson bu)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00    
BEYOND COMPARE Jun08 Jun01 Apr19 Mar23 Mar09 (nordlund pat)ANDROS CORRINE 126 4.00    
EPIC DRAMA May18 May04 Apr06 Mar21 Mar07 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 3.50    
REGAL REDWOOD May16 Apr16 Mar27 Mar13 Feb20 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 66% 0.50    
FASCINATED Jun13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 (gibbs tyler)BANDA F 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.