Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (8/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/7)-(8/9/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/9/7)-(8/9/1/7)-(8/9/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/9/7)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/9/7)-(6/1)-(3/6/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(3/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/4/9/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/2)-(3/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/2)-(3/4/9/8)-(5/2/10/11/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-4   WIN (3/4/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/8)-(3/4/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/8)-(3/4/9/5/8)-(3/4/9/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/9/8)-(5/2/10/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/8)-(5/2/10/11/1)-(7/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/2/10/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/10/11/1)-(5/2/10/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/10/11/1)-(5/2/10/11/1)-(5/2/10/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/10/11/1)-(7/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/2/10/11/1)-(7/4)-(6/8/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/4)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(6/8/1)-(2/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-7   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1)-(2/1/4)-(8/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MTH-9   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASS FAILED Jun20 Jun08 Mar29     (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 ★    
SCR  LANDOFHOPEANDREAMS Jun26 Jun06 Aug12 Jul10 Jun15 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00    
3  AERIALIST May16 Apr17 Apr06 Dec13 Nov29 (reynolds patri)MOYA F 119 20.00    
SCR  IMAGINE ERIN Jun07 May31 Feb12 Jan27 Oct15 (bertone joann)RANGEL JOEZER 123 15.00    
5  MISS YOUNG LADY Jun21         (rabadan serg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50    
6  WILDCAT FIRE Jun21 May18 Apr25 Mar22 Dec26 (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50    
7  MAGGIES BREW Jun21 May31 Mar28     (pimental joh)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BONITA DIAMOND Jun21 May25 Apr30 Apr19 Mar26 (villanueva sergi)LEON SONNY 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
9  LOVE IN THE HILLS         (marquez cesar)OCASIO M 117 15.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  TRUMPS GIRL Jun21         (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
MTH-2   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTOR'S DREAM May02 Apr26 Sep07 Aug25   (gomez pompeyo)AGUILAR JEAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  JACE IS NO JOKE Jun14 May31 May18 Mar20 Jan24 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
3  ATENTION TO DETAIL Jun29 Jun08 May18 Jan04 Dec07 (breen kell)RIVERA R 119 2.50 ★    
SCR  PRETTY SIXXY Oct30 Sep28 Jul27     (delgado a)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 109 20.00    
5  CANDY'S MAJESTY Jun20 Jun07 May23     (martinez a)AGUILAR M 119 4.50    
6  AZTECA WARRIOR Jun22 Jun01 May14     (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 119 1.40 39% 1.60    
 
MTH-3   07/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AL AMEEQ Jun21 Jun05 May24 Apr21 Feb28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 5.00    
2  IKIGAI Jun27 May31 May17 May09 Apr12 (hernandez enri)CAMACHO SAMY 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Jun14 May17 May04 Apr18 Mar23 (wilson )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
4  GINS AND TINS Jun27 May17 Oct22 Sep14 Aug11 (synnefias pa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 9% 10.40    
5  LIKE WHAT I SEE Jun29 Jun08 Oct25 Sep28 Sep15 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
6  POINT LIAM Jun22 May31 Apr13 Mar14 Feb26 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
7  CAPTAIN QUICK Jun22 May31 Oct04 Sep21 Sep08 (milne joan)OLVER MADISON 121 20.00    
SCR  LEVEE WAS DRY Jun21 May31 Apr25 Mar28 Mar07 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 122 6.00    
9  VAMOS VIEJO Jun22 Mar22 Feb02 Dec08 Oct19 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
 
MTH-4   07/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVOLVING D'ORO         (breen kell)RIVERA R 117 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AZZEDINE by MR. GREELEY)
2  ROSIES PINOT Jun21         (delgado jose )JARA FERNANDO 117 15.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of STRIKE RED by SMART STRIKE)
3  STORMY CITY Jun01         (owens jr)LEON SONNY 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of UPSET CITY by CITY ZIP)
4  ONLY YOU         (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by BELONG TO ME out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
5  SPECTACULAR GREY         (delgado alex)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ROSE GREY by THE FACTOR)
6  BETTER WITH VINO         (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ORBS BABY GIRL by ORB)
7  FOREVER HUSTLIN Jun21         (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MISS COBBLESTONE by AFLEET ALEX)
8  CLARIVIDENTE         (jimene)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AGUADILLA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  ROSIES CORNET Jun21         (delgado h)SUTHERLAND C 117 4.50 17% 4.90    
  (by VOLATILE out of UP IN THE AIR by MINESHAFT)
 
MTH-5   07/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LECANTO Jun28 May11 Nov12 Oct28 Oct05 (marquez cesare)AGUILAR JEAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
2  CHAZ THE CHIEF May31 Nov03 Oct18 Aug09 Jul14 (david a)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of I AIN'T P T by A.P. INDY)
3  HURRICANE JERRY Jul26         (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LEE out of TSUNAMI STRYKER by FAIRBANKS)
4  FRANKIE G Jun28 Jun15 Aug31 Jun16 Jun01 (cash j)MOYA F 123 10.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of GINNY G by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  HAPPY OFFERING Jun28 May31       (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by QURBAAN out of AFRAAH by HARD SPUN)
6  T V MAN Jun29 Jun15 May31 May11 Oct18 (frangella jam)JARA FERNANDO 123 5.00    
  (by KING PUMA out of SUMMER STING by INTENSITY)
SCR  BILLY'S LEGACY Jun15 Jul14       (wilson tony)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BILLYSCRYSTALBALL by PARK AVENUE BALL)
8  FERATOVIC Jun28 Jun15 May31 May18   (huston ror)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 116 15.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CASSIDY'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  RUM'S PRIDE         (pantaleo josep)SUTHERLAND C 119 8.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of BAY RUM by CABLE BOY)
10  PERROTTO Jun28 Jun15 May31 May11 Oct18 (huston k)OLVER MADISON 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
  (by REDESDALE out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
11  U DIRTY DOG Jun15 Aug25 Jul27 Jul04 Jun02 (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 6% 15.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
SCR  RANUNCULUS Jun28 Oct05 Aug31 Jul21 Jul07 (wilson ton)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 116 5.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
 
MTH-6   07/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE EXCHANGE Jun20 May02 Aug28 Aug08 Jul13 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
SCR  VIKING QUEEN Jun27 Jun06 May21 Apr27 Apr11 (richards renaldo)LEON SONNY 124 3.50    
3  SUMMARY JUDGMENT Jun07 May25 May11 Apr09 Mar17 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00    
4  I BELIEVE IN MAGIC Jun28 Jun01 Apr18 Apr02 Mar02 (bernardini ju)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  PEACH PERFECT Jun16 Jun02 May13 Apr14 Mar05 (abrams jack)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00    
6  FABULOUS CANDY Jun20 Apr11 Mar05 Feb02 Jan17 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 ★    
7  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Jul03 Jun14 Jun06 May30 Apr27 (simone micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
MTH-7   07/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Blue Sparkler Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISCUITWITHTHEBOSS Jun15 Dec13 Oct26 Oct12 Sep15 (russell britta)CAMACHO SAMY 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of CANDY STRIPER by TWIRLING CANDY)
2  NOT TOO LATE Jun29 May16 Apr12 Mar08 Feb22 (st uriah)LEON SONNY 122 12.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of DONNA GETYOURGUN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  SERENE SPIRIT Jun01 Oct06 Aug17 Jul13   (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MISERICORDIA by DANSILI)
4  STORM CHANGER Jun14 Apr13 Mar08 Feb08 Dec14 (synnefias dimitrio)NO RIDER 122 8.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of STORMIN SISTAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  WIN N YOUR IN May31 Mar30 Feb01 Jan11 Nov30 (david a)NO RIDER 122 6.00 ★    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of HELLO ROSIE by SECRET HELLO)
6  ANNASCAUL May10 Nov02 Sep14 Aug14   (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 116 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of EPPING FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  GATA BRAZIL Jul11 Jun15 May10 Apr18 Mar21 (russell brit)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of AMERICAN STORY by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  ROJA Jun15 May25 Apr11 Mar08   (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 116 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of REDMEANSGO by RED RANSOM)
SCR  LAURICE Jul11 May10 Apr11 Mar23 Feb05 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 116 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MAJOR Z by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  TWIRLING BEAUTY Jun07 Apr27 Mar15     (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 116 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STRATEGIC DREAMS by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  FLAT OUT TIME May02 Mar16       (weaver george)NO RIDER 116 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FLAT OUT SPEED by FLAT OUT)
 
MTH-8   07/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONELY RIDE Jun28 Jun14 Mar28 Feb08 Dec28 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Jun27 May17 Apr30 Apr05 Mar21 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Jul05 Jun15 Jun08 May26 May03 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
4  HENRYTHETHIRD Jun27 Jun06 May17 Apr25 Mar26 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 7% 13.20    
5  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Jun28 May24 May10 Apr23 Mar22 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50    
6  INBOUND Jun20 Jun08 May11 Apr26 Mar02 (ramirez ricardo )LEON SONNY 124 5.00    
SCR  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Jul01 Jun07 May23 May03 Feb28 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 124 15.00    
8  JADES JAY Jul05 Jun15 May28 May20 Apr13 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 124 3.00    
 
MTH-9   07/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LISTEN Jun20 Jun01 May10 Oct04 Aug09 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 17% 4.70    
2  K D KAKES Jun07 May19 Apr29 Apr14 Mar25 (padilla esteb)RANGEL JOEZER 121 20.00    
3  REASSESS Jun28 Jun13 May15 Apr17 Feb20 (crowell susa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 ★    
4  MEXICAN SUGAR Jun28 May11 Mar28 Mar09 Feb20 (coletti edward)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
5  MYSARIA Jun28 May01 Apr18 Feb22 Feb01 (hills timo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 10.00    
6  HEAVENS EXPRESS Jun22 Mar16 Mar01 Jan15 Jan01 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LADY COLLECTED Jun22 Jun01 May18 Apr30 Mar16 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 115 12.00    
8  ADA MAY Apr24 Apr09 Mar13 Feb09 Jan17 (dutrow richard)PENNINGTON F 117 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MISS NEO Jan12 Oct29 Oct07 Aug11 Jul21 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.