Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (2/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/10)-(2/7/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/10)-(2/7/10/9)-(2/7/10/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/10)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/7/10)-(3)-(2/4/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(2/4/7/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/4/7/9)-(5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/9)-(2/4/7/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/9)-(2/4/7/9/8)-(2/4/7/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/7/9)-(5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/9)-(5/7/1)-(4/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(4/3/7)-(4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(4/5)-(1/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ABARRIO Jun11 May26 May02 Apr23 Mar28 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 121 12.00    
GOLD ASPEN Jun18 Mar27 Mar07 Jan06 Nov29 (kreiser c)CORA D 125 8.00 46% 1.20    
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Jun19 Aug21 Jul19 Jul10 Jun25 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 123 12.00    
SCR  ATOMICO Jun26 May30 May15 Mar22 Jan12 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 123 6.00    
SCR  MAX BARLEY May17 Apr13 Mar13 Dec11 Nov20 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 123 3.50    
THE MAN TO SEE Mar21 Oct31 Sep16 Aug28 Aug21 (dowling willia)CONNER TYLER 123 12.00    
TWO MINUTES APART Jun21 Jun01 Feb09 Jan17 Jun01 (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE Jul01 Oct29 Oct12 Oct05 Sep20 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00    
UNCLE GEORGY Jun19 May24 Apr13 Mar28 Feb21 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00    
10  WORK FROM HOME Jun19 Nov08 Oct23 Oct03 Aug28 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 14% 6.40    
 
PEN-2   07/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUBTIMSIAM Jun05 May17 May02 Mar28 Mar13 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 3.00    
DIVINE ARMOR Jun06 Apr29 Apr06 Mar01 Feb08 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 123 2.00    
MASTER OF NONE Jun05 May10 Apr25 Apr05 Mar23 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 116 3.00 50% 1.00    
CLOUD MUSIC Jun28 May24 May17 Feb28 Feb08 (gorham mic)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 3.50    
SWEET SPITE Jun19 May23 May08 Mar13 Feb21 (fields kevin)FLORES E 123 4.00    
 
PEN-3   07/11/2025 7920ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CONQUEST Jun26 Jun18 Sep11 Aug26 Aug16 (smith lawre)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 30.00    
CURLINGTON May01 Mar13 Jan08 Dec27 Nov06 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 121 5.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  T REX Jun26 Oct19 Sep07 Aug16 Jul26 (rogers w)CORA D 121 10.00    
BODECREAM Jun26 May18 Nov17 Oct10 Sep04 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50 8% 11.10    
RIVERBOAT BANDIT Jun25 Jun07 May23 Feb21 Jan08 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 119 30.00    
DEBATE Jun26 Jun06 May16 May01 Mar28 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
BARLEEWON Jun25 Jun06 Sep22 Sep11 Sep05 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAKETUMI Jun27 May25 Aug01 Jun11 May28 (dowling w)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
RIP THORN Jun06 May01 Dec08 Aug04 Jul15 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LONELY RIDE Jun28 Jun14 Mar28 Feb08 Dec28 (padilla )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 6.00    
11  SACHMO Jun26 Jun13 Nov10 Oct10 Sep25 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
12  YES POINT Jun19 Jun01 Mar31 Mar05 Jan29 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 119 12.00    
 
PEN-4   07/11/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 SOFT Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOSHANAH Jun27 Jun13 May16 Feb08 Jan12 (horlacher kyle)CHUAN MARTIN 125 10.00 6% 15.90    
AFANDI Jun27 Oct20 Oct10 Oct03 Jul19 (dunham g)AGUILAR M 125 15.00    
ANAITA Jun13 May16 Feb05 Dec04 Sep14 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 6.00    
ORGANIZED CHAOS Jun27 Jun13 May29 Aug30 Jul13 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 3.50    
CHAPA Jun15 May12 Mar14 Aug16 Jul18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 125 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Jun25 May20 Oct18 Aug29 Aug15 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 125 8.00    
GIFT OF GAB Jun21 Jun07 May16 Apr19 Oct20 (stettinius suz)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  THREE POLKS Jun26 May29 May02 Feb27 Feb07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.00    
 
PEN-5   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FREEZE KAZ Jun13 Feb07 Dec20 Dec04 Sep14 (albright am)INIRIO J 125 8.00    
ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jun27 May30 May09 Apr24 Mar21 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 125 10.00    
LAFITTE'S FLEET May08 Feb21 Jan23 Dec12 Nov13 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 6.00 32% 2.10    
GANGLY Jun20 Oct30 Sep21 Sep01 Jul12 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 125 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jun27 Jun13 May08 Mar27 Mar06 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 125 1.40    
A T M AWESOME Dec19 Nov29 Oct30 Aug23 Aug02 (zalalas michael)CORA D 125 15.00    
TRIVISTA Jun13 May21 May08 Apr25 Mar28 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 20.00 6% 16.60    
 
PEN-6   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROTHER CONWAY Jun28 Jun06 Apr26 Jun15 May25 (magee kie)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50    
YULETIDE GALLOP May29 Apr21 Mar28 Feb24 Jan30 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 3.00    
SUNNY BREEZE Jun14 May21 Nov25 Sep21 Aug24 (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00    
SHERIFF RONNIE Jun11 May30 Apr11 Mar09 Jan26 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50 39% 1.60    
TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Dec03 Nov04 Oct15 Sep23 Aug21 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   07/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULLRING BULLY May15 Mar20 Mar07 Feb06 Jan02 (gazzier kristy)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 72% 0.40    
TRUE FAITH Jun26 May26 May11 Apr25 Apr13 (walters henry)RODRIGUEZ YAN 116 2.50    
BELLS RUN Jul03 Jun11 Jul03 Jun18 May10 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
DONNELLY'S HOLLOW Jun26 Jun12 May03 Apr16   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
MARCHIN INTO APRIL May28 May05 Apr23 Apr02 Mar25 (arce josue)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
COVE BAY BOY Jun26 May30 May15 Apr25 Mar27 (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.