Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - July 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/5/2)-(4/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/2/3)-(6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/2)-(4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/8)-(6/2/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/7/6)-(9/8/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(9/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (9/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/4)-(9/8/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/8/4)-(9/8/4/3)-(9/8/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY'S EMPIRE Jun26 Mar25 Mar04 Feb08 Jan07 (szczepans)CORREA L 123 3.00    
WHAT A RUSH Jun12 Feb11 Jan25 Jan08 Oct02 (cline c)MURGIA A 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
PARTY POOPER Jun21 May22 May03 Apr08 Mar24 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 1.60    
CHIEF BUCKEYE Jul01 Jun12 Jun26 Nov24 Oct28 (salcedo ramon)HERMAN NOEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET LEMON DROP Jul01 Jun12 May22 Apr10 Mar25 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 8.00    
 
BTP-2   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICELESS PICTURE Jun28 Jun07 May19 May08 Apr09 (ocasio )PILARES P 123 5.00    
EARLY BLOOMER Jun28 Jun12 Aug15 Jul25 Jun12 (barker scott )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.60 33% 2.10    
CHICA CHULA Jun18 May24 Feb26 Feb06 Jan23 (calvo kelsie)JURADO EDDIE 123 6.00 29% 2.50    
I'M LEGIT Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Dec07 (melancon paul)MURGIA A 123 3.00    
DANZANITEAWAY Jun21 May24 Dec19 Nov13 Oct28 (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00    
 
BTP-3   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN CECIL Jun26 Jun05 Jul22     (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50 39% 1.60    
UTOPIAN TREASURE Feb21 Nov02 Sep21 Sep11 Aug21 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 125 10.00 10% 9.00    
FAST LUCK Jun28 Jun11 May24 Jan13 Dec12 (short thoma)FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 1.80    
ROJO SKY Jun28 Jun20 Jun07 May24 Apr27 (spanabel kell)SOSA LAUREANO 121 5.00    
WEGOTJACKSBACK Jun26 Jun11 May24 May14 Oct23 (townley s)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
NUTHIN FANCY Jun11 Jan25       (hale jr)MURGIA A 121 6.00    
 
BTP-4   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST CHANCE DANCE Feb15 Oct30 Oct05 Sep26 Sep11 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00    
WHY LOOKY HERE Jun21 Jun07 May17 Apr23 Nov15 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 123 2.50 14% 6.00    
CHAR Jun25 Jun11 May21 May03 Mar26 (jarvis kathy)OUZTS W 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
FLOWERY PATH Jun18 Jun07 May23 May03 Apr18 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 3.50 54% 0.80    
CAJUN GAL Jun14 Apr18 Apr04 Mar07 Feb09 (tsirigotis jame)PENA L 125 5.00    
MO ICE FORTHE LADY Jun21 Jun07 May23 Mar15 Feb12 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.00    
 
BTP-5   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KAJUS May28 May09       (caramori c)HERNANDEZ N 121 5.00    
PAIRED EXCHANGE Jun20 Sep18       (albright raqu)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00 29% 2.40    
IMMORTAL LION Jun07 Mar31 Mar03 Jan14 Dec06 (bush s)MURGIA A 125 8.00    
SCR  MODERN DAY WARRIOR Jun20 Mar13 Jul03 May23 May02 (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.00    
WILDING LANE Jun28 May28 May15 Apr24 Mar27 (ciardullo r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00    
LYTE CRUDE Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 Nov14 Oct12 (short w)JURADO EDDIE 125 10.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  STARSHIP D'ORO Jun20 Jun13 May24 May08 Mar19 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00    
WE GOT THIS Jun28 Jun13 Apr06 Mar09 Feb21 (curto jea)OUZTS W 125 10.00    
SCR  COMMANDER'S COIN Jun19 May26 May13 Apr15 Nov05 (douglass d)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 15.00    
 
BTP-6   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SURVIVOR Jun18 May28 Apr04 Mar15 Feb09 (alessi james)PENA L 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
ICE MINISTER Jun26 Oct23 Oct03     (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00    
HURRICANE DUDE Mar27 Feb15 Feb01 Jan17 Dec22 (hamm timo)CORREA L 123 5.00    
EGYPTIAN KING May07 Mar20 Feb23 Jan29 Dec04 (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
BENITO Jun18 Jun07 May23 Sep25 Sep14 (dailey ronald)COURT J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Jun28 Jun05 May14 Mar29 Mar20 (townley steve)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00    
SATISKY Jun19 Jun07 May09 Mar19 Jul10 (cross r)MURGIA A 123 3.00    
 
BTP-7   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY GIRL Jun18 May19 Mar19 Feb14   (hernandez)CORREA L 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
MIRO MOGO Jun27 Jun12 May23 May15 Feb26 (barker scott )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00    
SCR  PRIX Jun26 May22 Apr04 Jan08 Dec24 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00    
CHIC N DA WADDA May28 May09 Apr23 Mar13 Feb27 (mcguire lin)MURGIA A 123 8.00    
COURT STAR Jun13 May24 Sep13 Aug24 Feb17 (tsirigotis jame)PENA L 125 5.00    
UP THE ODDS Jun27 May23 May08 Feb26 Jan29 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
FACTUALITY Jun26 Jun04 May09 Apr23 Mar14 (shetron phylli)PAULY SUMMER 116 2.00 11% 8.10    
 
BTP-8   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERHAUL Jun19 Apr09 Mar28 Feb26 Jan31 (alessi james)PENA L 123 8.00    
WEST COAST CRUISER Jun27 Jun13 May21 Oct15 Sep25 (jarvis kat)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 6.00    
DIAL HIM UP Jun20 May28 May21 Apr30 Apr09 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00    
HEAVY HITTER Jun21 Jun06 May17 May08 Apr13 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS PHAROAH Mar29 Mar14 Jan26 Dec21 Oct07 (waltz brian)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00    
JOE FROM KIEV Jun07 Apr26 Apr04 Mar22 Dec06 (curto beverly)SOSA LAUREANO 123 15.00    
SCR  JACKSON'S ROAR Jul01 Jun07 May16 Apr30 Mar09 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 5.00    
STAY LOST May31 Mar28 Mar06 Jan24 Dec19 (corrigan )CORREA L 118 4.50 30% 2.30    
CANDY NUN May17 Feb27 Feb06 Dec14 Nov06 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.