Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - July 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/6)-(4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/6)-(4/7/6)-(1/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-2   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(1/2/7)-(5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-3   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(5/2)-(9/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(9/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(9/8/2)-(1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-5   WIN (9/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/2)-(9/8/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/8/2)-(9/8/4/2)-(9/8/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/8/2)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/8/2)-(1/6/5)-(10/5/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(10/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(10/5/8/6)-(4/2/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-7   WIN (10/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/8/6)-(10/5/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/8/6)-(10/5/8/6/2)-(10/5/8/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/5/8/6)-(4/2/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FP-8   WIN (4/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/8)-(4/2/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/8)-(4/2/9/8)-(4/2/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   07/08/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWN ROYAL KID Jun21 May24 May13 Apr26 Dec04 (martinez ral)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00    
ANUNKA Jun07 Oct24 Oct12 Sep24 Aug31 (breaux danita)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00    
HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY May08 Jun01 May11 Apr20 Apr06 (young ter)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
DAPPER DUDE Jun19 May29 May15 May01 Apr17 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
SPOONMAN Jun07 May24 May13 Apr24 Mar16 (burdess te)SIMPSON M 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
CUTADAY Jun21 Jun07 May24 May13 Nov02 (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LELAND JOHN Jun07 Oct24 Sep10 Aug24 Aug10 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
CUCUY Jun15 May29 Apr27 Apr13 Mar02 (higgins dennis)FELIX E 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
 
FP-2   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETHY Jun24 May27 May13 Apr29 Jul23 (randazzo c)LOPEZ A 124 2.50    
MISS DUTTON Jun28 Jun10 May27 May13 Oct31 (martinez-lina)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.50    
NEXT TIME YOU WIN Jun24 May31 May13 Apr29 Oct26 (nesbitt amy)WALES T 124 6.00    
MAYLEN Sep21 Jul15 Jun27 May30 May02 (leonard ii)FELIX E 124 5.00 47% 1.20    
SCR  LIFE OF SATURDAYS Jun24 May13 Apr29 Oct31 Oct17 (randazzo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00    
JERSEY GOLD May27 May13 Apr29 Dec19 Nov27 (nesbit)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ABBMAR Jun24 Jun10 May20 May06 Apr22 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
FP-3   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATALIA'S RAP Jun24 May27 Oct29 Sep28   (becker scott)FELIX E 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
GHALY POSSE May27 May06 Oct31 Oct22 Aug31 (becker scott)WALES T 124 4.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  COALY Jun14 May24 Apr22 Oct31 Oct12 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 5.00    
LYLAH RENEE Jun14 Apr19 Feb13 Oct29 Sep26 (leonard george )ORTIZ ALVIN 118 6.00    
TIME BREAK Jun03 May06 Apr22 Oct24 May11 (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 124 10.00    
CANTOO Jun03 May06 Oct31 Oct19 Oct05 (wainwright jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50    
VASARIAH'S IMAGE Jun03 May10 Oct29 Aug27 Aug03 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 8.00 8% 11.70    
 
FP-4   07/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO HEARTED Jun12 May29 May08 Apr10 Feb08 (sandrowski j)FELIX E 126 2.00    
MISS TENA MARIE Jun21 May27 Apr22 Oct26 Oct12 (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 9% 10.70    
BLAZE BEAUTY Jun21 May31 May10 Apr22 Oct31 (essenprei)ULLOA JOAN 126 4.00    
TARTARIA May27 Apr18 Mar21 Mar03 Feb08 (leonard george )ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00    
TORTUGA ISLAND Jun21 Apr10 Feb07 Dec22 Nov27 (becker scott)WALES T 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
FP-5   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCKINZIE MAGIC Jun14 Apr25 Mar20 Mar09 Jan25 (leonard ii)FELIX E 120 12.00    
ELLIE DELI Jun10 May15 Apr29 Jul28 Jun30 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMY Z Jun25 May29 May02 Apr04 Dec20 (martin)BAILON JADHIR 124 2.50    
BIG SALLY Jun21 Jun08 Apr22 Oct26 Oct12 (becker sco)SIMPSON M 126 3.50    
SCR  PLAY TWENTY Jun17 May27 May06 Apr22 Dec16 (watkins j)ULLOA JOAN 124 10.00    
SCR  MORNING LINE NEWS Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug11 Aug04 (alonso)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 8.00    
TINA'S TAPIZAR Jun17 May27 Apr29 Oct31 Oct08 (manley steve)WALES T 124 6.00    
JOLIE RULER Jun08 May15 Apr13 Sep21 Sep05 (martinez ralph)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
AWESOME SUNDAY Jun21 Jun08 May25 May15 Apr13 (alonso fernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.50 33% 2.10    
 
FP-6   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINEGAR HILL Jun17 May19 Apr05     (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 61% 0.60    
GUN IT AND RUN IT Jun17 Jun03 Oct01 Sep14 Aug27 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00    
JUSTICEONEMORETIME Jun23 Jun03 Apr30 Apr16 Nov14 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.00    
GONNA PICK DOMENIC Jun17 May31 May03 Apr13 Mar22 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 5.00    
BRAHMS JR. Jun17 May24 Nov02 Oct17 Sep03 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD TO BE PRINCE Jun08 May22 Apr20 Apr03 Feb20 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 2.00 15% 5.50    
 
FP-7   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONICUS Jun21 May24 May10 Jul20 Jun22 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 124 20.00    
BIGFOOT SIGHTING Jun15 May25 May11 Apr24 Apr06 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  AMERICAN CAUSE Jun21 May29 May17 Mar29 Mar08 (clay p)BAILON JADHIR 124 10.00    
GOVENOR HANK Jun21 May24 Dec29 Aug24 Jul15 (manley steve)FELIX E 120 6.00    
Q B NINE Jun03 May06 Mar28 Mar15 Feb05 (manley steve)WALES T 126 4.50 20% 4.00    
SWEET LA CREMA Jun21 May24 May10 Apr18 Feb26 (wilborn kevin)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00 10% 9.20    
PLUNDER Jun19 Jun05 May22 May04 Apr10 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 126 10.00    
KING ANTHONY Jun21 May04 Mar30 Mar08 Feb15 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
SKYLANE Jun10 May24 May10 Apr26 Nov02 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 20.00    
10  HEART N SOUL Jun13 Sep11 Jul11 Jan25 Jan05 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
FP-8   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I DID THE MATH Jun21 Jun03 May20 May06 Apr22 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 3.50    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
RAZ ON FIRE Jun21         (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by FIRING LINE out of RAZAMAJAZIL by JAZIL)
SCR  MAYA'S WARRIOR Jun03 May10 Oct31 Oct12 Sep28 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 120 20.00    
  (by DURANGO KID out of CONQUEST CLASSIC by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
CHANCE TAKER Jun14 May06       (becker scott)FELIX E 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by GHAALEB out of TURTLE PIE by WILD ZONE)
HOT T'MATER Jun21 Oct12 Sep28 Sep10   (essenpreis)SIMPSON M 120 10.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LIMEHOUSE DANCER by LIMEHOUSE)
IMA MIDNIGHT LADY Jun21 May06       (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of MIDNIGHT FLASH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
HOOTIE HOOT Jun21 May20 May06     (huerta jose)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 15.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of HOOT'S LAST RUNNER by GHAALEB)
KISSES FOR WEEJ May15 Apr24 Oct14 Sep30   (mcewen billy )SANTOS ADEMAR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MARY JEANS WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
TAXDAY PEYTON         (becker scott)WALES T 120 6.00 19% 4.10    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MOSTLY LIES by HONOUR AND GLORY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.