Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/5/4)-(5/3/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/3/4)-(3/6/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/6/2)-(2/5/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/5/1)-(7/6/4/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADDI BUG May18 May10 Apr26 Apr11 Mar21 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.50    
2  DREAMING OF HOPE Dec14 Nov15 Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIGNATURE RING Jun10 Oct31 Oct14 Oct01 Sep10 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.00    
4  JULIE'S MIST Jun24 May27 Dec12 Nov14 Sep20 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 124 2.00    
5  SILVER BULLET LADY Jun24 May10 Nov01 Sep26 Sep07 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
FE-2   07/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT STORY LONG Jun24 May23 May11 Dec08 Nov23 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  THE DREAM LISTENER Jun10 May23 May11     (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00    
3  FOREST FLASH Jun10 Oct22 Oct07 Oct01 Sep02 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00    
4  LE GRAND GARCON Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 (steer tom)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RYE'S MY GUY Jun23 Jun03 Dec14 Nov17 Nov08 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
FE-3   07/07/2025 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYMATHES CORRECT Jun23         (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LADY SARAH by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  P T BEAUCETTE Oct01 Aug26 Aug13 Jul15 Jun25 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 117 3.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of BEAUCETTE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
3  BRITISH SEA Jun26 May27 Oct10 Aug15 Jul20 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 30% 2.40    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
4  BEST IN CLASS Jun24 May27 Oct21 Oct07 Aug27 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRIVATE CLIENT by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  THE GREAT P J Jun23         (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of KISSES FOR HENRY by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
6  GLINTINDADDYSEYE Jun26 May30 May11 Apr26 Dec15 (williams noel )JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of MOONLITE GLINT by BOLD N' FLASHY)
7  WANNA'S LEGACY May30         (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 120 12.00    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of WANNA WIN by LEMON DROP KID)
 
FE-4   07/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDER JOE Jun10 Nov28 Nov03 Oct15 Oct05 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80    
2  MOBILIZER Jun24 Jun10 May27 Oct15 Oct01 (keen howard)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  PALACE PRINCE Jun24 Jun15 May27 May18 Apr21 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
4  STAR SCHOLAR Jun24 Jun10 Dec13 Nov17 Nov01 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 6.00    
5  FORESTER HUMOR Jun27 Jun13 May18 Dec15 Nov28 (holder tedsto)KERR CHEYENNE 117 5.00    
6  ATTESTATION Jun23 Jun03 May04 Apr27 Feb26 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 12% 7.30    
 
FE-5   07/07/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONHRO'S GAMBLE Jun10 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Oct14 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  SO CALLED VACATION Jun20 May25 May17 Dec08 Nov22 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  PLAY THE DOTS Jun24 Dec15 Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50    
4  SPEEDY BULLEIT Jun23 Sep27 Sep13 Jul19 Jun23 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 3.00    
5  IF YOU INSIST Jun24 Apr27 Dec08 Nov24 Nov08 (fourni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
FE-6   07/07/2025 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID GIZMO Jun21 May27 Dec12 Nov24 Oct31 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
2  MAIKEN THE VIKING Jun23 Oct21 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 5.00    
3  SILENT PATSY Jun23 Dec05 Nov07 Oct03 Sep12 (thompson va)HUSBANDS S 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOWN'S A BREEZE Jun15 May27 Jul07 Feb12   (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  HOLIDAY IN JAIL Jun23 Dec06 Nov22 Nov03 Oct14 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
6  BRILLIANT DISGUISE Jun10 May11 Apr22 Feb26 Jan28 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  KNOTTY AND NICE Jun23 Dec12 Nov22 Oct31 Sep17 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  INITTOWINIT Jun20 May23 Oct31 Oct14 Sep10 (dixon patrick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00    
SCR  LINDA'S OPAL Jun23 Jun03 May16 Dec01 Nov09 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.