Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Miles City
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MC-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-7   WIN (2/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MC-9   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MC-3   05/17/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COZZOLANI May11 Apr18 Mar10 Feb15 Jan09 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 7.00 5% 19.00    
FESSY May11 May04 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
QUEEN OF THE ICE May11 May04 Oct06 Sep13 Sep07 (ducheneaux jami)WOOD DAKOTA 124 5.00    
FULL MOON BEACH May11 May04 Mar29 Mar16 Nov01 (brewer j)MARTINEZ R 124 2.50    
BIG BLUE NOTE May11 Jan29 Dec27 Dec02 Jul27 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
MC-4   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM TRAP May11 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb15 (johnson robert )WOOD DAKOTA 119 2.50    
LETS ROCK N STROLL May16 May11 Mar28 Mar22 Mar01 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
ROCHESTER'S FINEST May04 Apr26 Apr18 Mar28 Mar15 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 4.00    
COOL RIDE Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb20 Jan31 (cross ken)IRONEYES R 124 7.00 21% 3.80    
HAYNESPUN May11 May04 Feb20 Jan24 Dec19 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
MC-5   05/17/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN SMITTY RUN Mar04 Feb20 Jan01 Dec09 Nov11 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
DRUMADOON May11 Apr04 Mar15 Mar01 Oct20 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
WOODY'S CHOICE Mar28 Mar14 Feb23 Jan26 Dec01 (brewer jr)DELORME L 124 8.00    
LADY CREATIVE May04 Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 (johnson a)MARTINEZ R 119 4.50    
HIT'EM UP Jul27 Jul21 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 (crooked dal)WOOD DAKOTA 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
CLEARING CUSTOMS Sep06 Sep01 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (hadley to)IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
 
MC-7   05/17/2025 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Thoroughbred Maiden Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ART'S RED WAVE May11 Mar14 Sep15 Sep01 Aug24 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 119 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PERFECT ART by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
HINT OF FRIPPERY May11 Feb26 Feb03 Jan06 Dec18 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 117 1.40 34% 1.90    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KATY'S REVENGE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
RACHELLE'S MEMORY Aug03 Jul20 Jun09     (hurley )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119 9.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of SWEETEST NICKI by NICK (CHI))
PHARAONIC PHOENIX         (nelson bucksh)JIMENEZ DAVID 117 12.00 16% 5.40    
  (by PROTONICO out of PHARAONIC PRINCESS by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
ENSIGN OF HOPE         (nelson bucks)BANDA F 117 10.00 16% 5.40    
  (by BARONIAL out of A J DA TEACH by SIDEBURN)
WHEELER COUNTY KID May11 Apr11 Mar28 Mar16 May03 (brewer jr)DELORME L 124 8.00    
  (by QUIEN out of DEUCE COUPE by ROANOKE)
FINBARFUREY May11 May04 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 (hurley tris)MCKENZIE CONNIE 124 3.50    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of AUTOMATIC AUDIT by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
 
MC-9   05/17/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP C/G PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ENDER May11 Jun24 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 (hurley tris)MCKENZIE CONNIE 124 9.00    
AMERICAN TANGO Mar26 Mar17 Mar10 Dec17 Nov25 (fitzpatri)IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
COLLINS AVE Sep22 Sep07 Sep02 Aug16 Jul20 (evans kash)WOOD DAKOTA 124 1.40 34% 1.90    
DAAHERS BULLY May04 Sep18 Sep09 Jul21 Jul13 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 10.00 21% 3.70    
W F JAZZ CAT Oct06 Sep13 Sep06 Jul14 Jun22 (duchene)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
DANCE FOR RANSOM May11 May04 Nov16 Oct27 Oct18 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  CAPTAIN DON May11 May04 Mar21 Mar07 Feb22 (brewer j)MARTINEZ R 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.