Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Energy Downs
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EDR-7   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-8   WIN (3/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EDR-9   WIN (3/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EDR-10   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EDR-7   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME MO MONEY Apr17 Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 Jan30 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 126 2.00 61% 0.60    
SHE'S SO FANCY Apr11 Mar30 Feb23 Nov15 Oct25 (robles ri)IRONEYES R 128 8.00 15% 5.70    
GETTIN TWO COZZY Oct06 Sep07 Aug31 Jun28 Jun01 (moody doug)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 12.00    
BY REQUEST Apr12 Mar30 Mar21 Mar14 Mar02 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
ILA VEIW TOO Apr28 Apr17 Mar24 Mar05 Feb12 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 128 5.00    
SCR  PLUM CREEK Apr28 Mar24 Feb13 Dec29 Jun22 (barrio sergi)SERRANO KEIVAN 128 4.50    
LADY WOLF Dec06 Oct27 Oct12 Sep07 Aug11 (dillenbeck b)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 2.50    
 
EDR-8   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11K) 35 ALL PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL SIETE LEGUAS Apr28 Apr15       (kemper ka)RIVAS CARLOS 128 4.50    
  (by SMOKEM out of RIVER KISS by AWESOME GAMBLER)
ZIP IT KAREN Sep28 Sep22 Aug25 Aug11 Jul20 (greene casey)VIRGEN JESUS 121 12.00    
  (by FIVE SEASONS out of ASTORMISLAUNCHED by STORM CREEK)
SCR  TRACK ROBBER Apr02 Feb27 Feb12 Apr24 Mar28 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 128 1.60 59% 0.70    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of ASSYRIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
SULA PEAK ROAD Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Aug27 Jul23 (christensen)VORRATH VALENTE 128 8.00 7% 12.90    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
CHICKEN NUGGET Apr24 Mar12       (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 126 12.00    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of LUCK AT TEN by LUCKY PULPIT)
CHIEF HARLAN May03 Apr12 Mar21 Mar08 Feb14 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of QUEEN OF RACES by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
NOBLE LAKER         (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 126 12.00 7% 12.90    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of NOBLE DANCER by ALFRED NOBEL)
THREE SEVENS May03 Apr12 Mar21 Feb23 Feb07 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 128 2.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of OUR SAMMI by SCHRAMSBERG)
 
EDR-9   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Derby Club Sprint Purse ($26.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMANTE ELEGANTE Apr24 Apr10 Mar20 Feb03 Dec04 (barrio se)IRONEYES R 121 10.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
PRIZELESS May11 Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 Feb22 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 128 10.00 11% 7.70    
  (by LANGFUHR out of JUST CALL ME JANET by PURE PRIZE)
DURANGO JESS Jan03 Dec09 May19 May05 Apr13 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DURANGO by FIRST SAMURAI)
PACO'S PICO Mar18 Mar03 Feb18 Feb04 Jan27 (pierce micha)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PICO DUARTE by AT THE THRESHOLD)
CEREBRO Nov18 Oct06 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 (matt wendell)SERRANO KEIVAN 128 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ESTRADA'S GIRL by GOLDEN MISSILE)
PRAYER OF JABEZ Apr09 Mar22 Feb11 Jan23 Jan06 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 128 1.40 20% 3.90    
  (by STANFORD out of ALWAZABRIDESMAID by KAFWAIN)
SUNRISE MISCHIEF Sep21 Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (story shaun)TEETER NAKIA 128 5.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of PLEASING SUNRISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
EDR-10   05/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SO TRUE May09 Apr26 Apr19 Mar02 Jan30 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 126 12.00    
TEXAS WENDY Apr19 Mar24 Feb17 Dec26 Sep10 (denny tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  HOT JAMMIES Apr28 Mar06 Feb08 Nov02 Oct11 (matt wendell)SERRANO KEIVAN 128 10.00    
JERSEY SUNSET Apr20 Apr04 Feb23 Jan01 Oct06 (dillenbeck b)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 3.50    
CATRIANNA Mar21 Feb20 Jan30 Jan10 Dec17 (bolen bradley)COATES R 128 3.00 33% 2.00    
THIRSTY MAMA Feb28 Jan20 Jan03 Dec01 Nov01 (story shaun)TEETER NAKIA 126 5.00    
LOTSA STEEL Apr24 Mar25 Feb11 Jan21 Jan02 (kemper ka)VALENZUELA A 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.