Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - May 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(4/5)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/4/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/4/6/3)-(5/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/3)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/3)-(5/1/4)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/3/5)-(2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(2/3)-(6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   05/08/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECKITUP Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 Dec31 (bravo-)GONZALEZ JR 120 4.00    
SWEET SPITE Mar13 Feb21 Jan08 Dec18 Nov29 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 3.50    
SCR  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Feb21 Jan08 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 120 15.00    
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Apr15 Mar27 Feb21 Jan29 Jan02 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
GRATED COCONUT Mar13 Feb21 Oct16 Sep25 Jul19 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Mar13 Feb21 Nov08 Oct31 Aug23 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
EYES ELEVEN Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 Jan31 Nov08 (mancilla ca)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-2   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARUMA Apr16 Nov27 Nov06 Oct05 Sep04 (padilla hug)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 3.00    
BELLA PRIMA Mar20 Feb20 Jan09 Dec04 Oct25 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 2.50    
WHEN YOUR STRANGE Apr25 Apr17 Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50    
SANSA ARIEL Mar27 Feb06 Jan08 Dec19 Nov20 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
JACK'S LILLY Apr25 Mar20 Feb20 Dec18 Nov20 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
 
PEN-3   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KAZMIKE Mar21 Mar06 Apr06 May30 Apr23 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
MURRAY Apr11 Jan31 Dec06 Nov02 Sep06 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
SQUIRE CREEK Apr26 Feb27 Jan18 Dec29 Dec06 (albright am)RAMOS O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PARTY AT SAM'S Apr16 Mar17 Mar03 Dec09 Nov07 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
GENGHIS Mar20 Jan03 Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 (kravets m)CORA D 120 8.00    
THE BOY'S WARRIOR Apr23 Mar28 Nov27 Oct21 Sep21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
NAZARENO Aug16 Jul19 Jun26 May31 May03 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
MAGIC SPIN Apr11 Mar29 Feb21 Jan17 Jan03 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00    
 
PEN-4   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTER MIAMI Apr23 Mar27 Oct30 Oct05 Sep21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
CALLIN MY NAME Apr24 Mar07 Feb19 Nov22 Oct31 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00    
SCREEN STAR Apr24 Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Aug23 (cifarelli frank)BAKER J 124 4.50    
REJECTED AGAIN Apr29 Apr16 Mar05 Feb24 Feb03 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIGALERT Apr04 Mar15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 (englehart jeff)TORRES JOMAR 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Apr25 Mar13 Dec18 Nov13 Oct23 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50    
 
PEN-5   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAVENDER FIELDS Apr14 Feb27 Feb05     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
TAPAS WARRIOR Apr24         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.00 55% 0.80    
BOUNTY KILLAH Apr08 Mar28 Mar11 Feb28 Feb06 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 124 1.20 13% 6.50    
STRONG DECISION Feb27 Feb07 Sep14 Aug26   (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
LITTLE FIDDLE Mar28 Mar13       (davis jr)CORA D 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
 
PEN-6   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOOSTER SHOT Apr05 Mar21 Mar08 Feb10 Dec31 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00    
WARRIOR TED Mar21 Feb10 Jan02 Dec18 Dec06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 61% 0.60    
MITROPANOS Apr24 Mar27 Mar07 Feb21 Dec27 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 120 4.50 11% 8.20    
VALORE Apr18 Mar21 Feb21 Jan16 Jan08 (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 124 6.00    
STIFLING HEAT Apr24 Feb27 Jan09 Dec12 Oct17 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 117 4.00    
 
PEN-7   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Dec27 Dec11 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED IRISHMAN Apr24 Aug02 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
TRIVISTA Apr25 Mar28 Feb27 Feb07 Dec12 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 50.00    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Apr24 Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Jan09 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 124 5.00    
NOLO CONTESTO Apr24 Mar21 Jan09 Dec19 Dec11 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 124 1.20 34% 2.00    
LAFITTE'S FLEET Feb21 Jan23 Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.