Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - May 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/3)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/3)-(5/7)-(2/6/1/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/7)-(2/6/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(2/6/1/4)-(6/7/9/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/4)-(6/7/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/4)-(6/7/9/3)-(2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/3)-(6/7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/3)-(6/7/9/3)-(6/7/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/9/3)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9/3)-(2/7/4)-(4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(4/7/2)-(3/6/10) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(3/6/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(3/6/10)-(7/3/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/10)-(3/7/6/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/10)-(3/7/6/10/2)-(3/7/6/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/10)-(7/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/10)-(7/3/8/1)-(5/6/3/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/1)-(5/6/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/6/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7/8)-(5/6/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7/8)-(5/6/3/7/8)-(5/6/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   05/02/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE WEEDS Apr02 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan01 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 8.00    
2  LUTZ         (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  VICTOR'S DREAM Apr26 Sep07 Aug25     (gonzalez lui)BELISARIO JUAN 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUSTY PISTOL Apr13 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 (jones douglas)HESS SARA 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  LITTLE PATITO Apr06 Mar09 Mar01 Feb19 Feb02 (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 118 20.00    
SCR  REBEL JOKE Apr25 Apr13 Mar22 May04 Oct18 (rondon-mora carl)FERRER C 124 3.50    
7  ASYMBOLUS         (cascallares)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 12.00 9% 10.00    
8  FOURTY FOUR Apr26 Apr02 Mar22 Aug16 Aug03 (romero rafael)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.50    
 
TAM-2   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEACE NOT WAR Apr19 Mar28 Mar05 Feb02 Jan08 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 123 2.50    
2  AWESOME ENTRY Apr23 Apr04 Mar19 Mar02 Dec06 (posadas pedro)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 10.00    
SCR  NO PROBLEM JOE Apr04 Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 (gonzalez luis)VARGAS E 113 30.00    
SCR  POINT LIAM Apr13 Mar14 Feb26 Feb02 Jan08 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.80    
5  CAPTAIN CAJUN May22         (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  SWEN Apr16 Mar05 Feb23 Jan22 Jan03 (gonzalez lu)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 12.00    
7  NIC'S BRO Mar15 Jun23 May01 May28 Apr29 (parra hernan)HESS SARA 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-3   05/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO JOCELYN GO Feb28 Jan19 Dec13     (amaya gust)URDANETA J 118 3.50 7% 12.50    
2  REPAYNT Mar28 Mar12 Feb16 Dec13 Sep28 (lusk brian)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  HIGHLAND HOLIDAY Feb08 Jan15 Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00    
4  MAJOR MAYHEM Nov25 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep25 (lopez r)VARGAS E 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BARBARESCO BABY Apr23 Apr06 Mar22 Feb22 Jan26 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 15.00    
6  PLAY MAKER Apr23 Dec13 Nov27 Oct17 Sep13 (orantes yoni)BATISTA A 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
7  LA GATA SALVAJE Mar26 Mar09 Feb26 Feb09 Jan15 (mckathan kevi)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00    
8  HARD SPICE Feb16 Jan26 Dec28 Jul12 Jun20 (lusk r)COTTO L 123 6.00    
 
TAM-4   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Apr25 Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Jan17 (richards renaldo)FERRER C 122 8.00    
2  SHEZ SPEIGHTFUL Mar02 Feb08 Jan16 Dec29 Dec06 (jackson gary)MENESES MARCOS 122 10.00    
3  BAND SWEETHEART Mar23 Feb14 Jan19 Dec20 Sep28 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHILD PROOF Oct10 Sep14 Sep05 Aug18 Jul25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00    
5  QUEEN OF CHILL Mar23 Mar12 Feb12 Jan26 Dec18 (ashmore cole)GARCIA GEOVANY 122 20.00    
6  WAIT A SEC Apr02 Feb21 Jan24 Jan01 Dec20 (richards renaldo)HESS SARA 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
7  IDEAL BREEZE Apr02 Mar19 Feb21 Jan01 Dec20 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 122 2.00 17% 4.80    
8  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Apr25 Apr06 Mar23 Feb15 Jan31 (gonzalez lui)BELISARIO JUAN 112 30.00    
9  NO ACTION Jan22 Jan16 Dec29 Dec06 Nov16 (dobles elizabe)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 8% 11.20    
 
TAM-5   05/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  E MINOR Apr11 Mar22 Mar14 Feb12 Jan18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
2  SIR SAFFER Apr06 Mar12 Jan31 Jan11 Dec27 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SAM STORMY Apr09 Mar28 Mar05 Feb02 Jan24 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 119 15.00    
4  DRAMA CHORUS Apr11 Mar30 Mar02 Dec27 Dec06 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
5  FORTYSIXCOUNTS Mar30 Mar02 Jan31 Jan11 Dec14 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 119 10.00    
6  NINJA STAR Apr19 Mar30 Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
7  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Apr11 Mar22 Feb22 Jan18 Dec24 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.40 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-6   05/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDALAY Apr19 Apr09 Mar19 Feb19 Feb07 (richards renaldo)FERRER C 118 6.00    
2  NO ANGEL Mar19 Mar02 Jan31 Dec27 Dec18 (lusk brian)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  LIEUTENANT STAN Apr06 Mar29 Mar01 Jan22 Dec28 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
4  OCEAN OF STORMS Apr09 Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 Dec11 (arriagada j)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  LEAD OFF Mar29 Feb26 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
SCR  LORD BERRIER Sep25 Sep04 Aug15 Jun27 May01 (de kar)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
7  COX CANYON Apr02 Mar12 Feb26 Jan31 Jan17 (wasiluk peter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  AWESOME PRINCE Apr09 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan31 (posadas )RODRIGUEZ O 118 5.00    
9  LITIGANT Apr11 Mar23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan15 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00    
 
TAM-7   05/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE HERO Apr11 Mar22 May12 May01 Apr13 (dobber w)FERRER C 124 30.00    
2  AMERICAN WIND Apr11 Mar26 Mar14 Feb23   (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 ★    
3  DUNES OF GOLD May10 Apr19 Mar30 Feb29   (kutt m)COTTO L 124 1.80 70% 0.40    
4  BLUE SKY'S SYL Apr11 Mar26 Jan10 Mar15   (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 124 12.00    
5  MUSIC JEWEL Apr13 Mar15       (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 118 30.00    
6  LENA'S JAZZ Mar26 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LATIN FORCE Apr06 Mar16 Feb14 Jan17 Dec27 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.50 ★    
8  OCEAN SOUL Apr11 Mar26 Apr21     (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 124 30.00    
9  WAR FIRE Apr12 Mar14 Feb12 Jan25 Dec07 (lusk r)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
10  WARD LEADER Apr06 Feb07 Jan01 Oct12 Sep27 (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEEK'S STRONG Apr16 Apr09 Mar21 Mar02 Jan10 (o'connel)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00    
SCR  LADY LYLA Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 Dec18 Sep06 (paramo marti)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
SCR  WE GOT THIS Apr06 Mar09 Feb21 Dec11 Nov01 (curto beverly)IORIO MELISSA 124 30.00    
SCR  I'M NO ANGEL Mar09 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00    
 
TAM-8   05/02/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Apr12 Mar05 Feb14 Jan25 Dec19 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SINGALONG KAYLA Mar29 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Oct19 (wilson tony)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
3  TWIZZLE Apr12 Mar19 Feb23 Jan18 Dec13 (mcgoey moni)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  BREEZEY BELLA Apr05 Mar09 Feb07 Dec29 Aug05 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50    
5  PRINCESS GLADYS Oct24 Sep27 Sep14 Aug04 Jul07 (dini mike)ALLEN D 118 15.00    
6  WEST LOOP Mar15 Jan26 Dec26 Nov22   (baumgardner beth)FERRER C 118 3.00    
7  FACTORBELLA Mar30 Feb28 Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  GLORIOUS LADY Jul13 May25 May04 Apr10 Mar10 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 118 4.50 11% 7.90    
 
TAM-9   05/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY GIRL COCO Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 Jan18 Aug11 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 124 30.00    
SCR  UTOPIA ROSE Mar28 Mar02 Feb16 Jan18 Nov29 (moysey che)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00    
3  MY JANNET Apr09 Mar28 Feb23 Jan01 Dec13 (kleine berna)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
4  TOO HOT TO STOP Apr12 Mar14 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 124 20.00    
5  ALLONS Mar28 Mar07 Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 (creel rick)FERRER C 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  STORMY MITOLE Mar20 Feb21 Jan10 Nov24 Oct12 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  MAIDEN LANE Oct15 Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Jul30 (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
8  REAL MIKEY Apr19 Mar28 Mar07 Feb23 Jan26 (lusk r)COTTO L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THREE RUN BOLT Apr02 Mar23 Mar02 Jan26 Jan12 (bennett s)HESS SARA 124 4.00    
10  HEARTBURN Apr09 Mar28 Mar07 Feb23 Jan01 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 124 15.00    
SCR  CHILLING FACTOR Apr12 Mar28 Feb23 Feb14 Jan12 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 30.00    
12  AZTEC PRINCESS Apr09 Mar28 Oct24 Oct09 Sep09 (hamm timothy)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.