Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/5)-(1/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/5)-(1/6/2/7)-(5/8/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7)-(5/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7)-(5/8/6/1)-(6/2/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/1)-(6/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/1)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/1/8/4/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/7)-(6/1/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/7)-(6/1/8/4/10)-(4/8/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/1/8/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/4/10)-(6/1/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/4/10)-(6/1/8/4/10)-(6/1/8/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/8/4/10)-(4/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/4/10)-(4/8/2/5)-(7/4/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/5)-(7/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/5)-(7/4/3/8)-(1/7/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/8)-(1/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/8)-(1/7/4/8)-(8/1/9/3/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/8)-(1/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/8)-(1/7/4/8)-(1/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/8)-(8/1/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/1/9/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/3/4)-(8/1/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/3/4)-(8/1/9/3/4)-(8/1/9/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT-12:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHABAM Apr11 Mar05 Jan01 Dec13 Nov23 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
2  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Nov20 Sep24 Aug26 Oct13 Sep20 (vigil jai)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00 13% 6.90    
3  VIKING QUEEN Apr11 Mar23 Mar07 Jan26 Jan08 (richards renaldo)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
4  RITABOOK Apr12 Mar12 Feb21 Feb07 Jan12 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 119 4.00    
5  CATTI LA BELLE Apr06 Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (lopez mari)INFANTE A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Apr19 Mar28 Feb21 Jan22 Jan05 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 123 6.00    
7  GRANDMA'S PUDDING Apr06 Mar05 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-2   04/27/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF THE MEDS Apr18 Mar14 Mar02 Feb07 Jan19 (simone micha)BATISTA A 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
2  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Apr04 Jan01 Nov28 Oct19 Oct04 (lopez mari)INFANTE A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TONY SMALL Apr12 Mar26 Mar07 Oct22 Sep23 (ward dennis)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 6.00    
SCR  FUNKENSTEIN Apr12 Apr02 Mar07 Feb21 Jan25 (agostini arth)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00    
5  CLASSIC KING Apr12 Mar12 Feb21 Nov06 Aug08 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50    
6  MISSION KEY Apr12 Mar26 Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 3.00 12% 7.70    
7  HAKKIMI (CHI) Mar08 Feb23 Jan16 Dec26 Dec01 (avila ca)VARGAS E 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  REDISUR Apr12 Mar15 Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 (rarick lynn)SPIETH S 122 30.00    
 
TAM-3   04/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE BLUE Apr19 Nov03 Oct25 Sep13 Aug16 (alvarado r)TORRES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  COASTAL RIVER Apr13 Mar26 Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 (ellebracht g)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 6.00    
3  CUCUY Apr13 Mar02 Feb07 Jan05 Dec08 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 124 1.80    
SCR  ICONIC ROCK Apr16 Apr05 Mar26 Mar09 Feb23 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 126 6.00    
5  IMMENSE FAITH Apr12 Mar12 Mar01 Feb09 Jan04 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
6  SHIPWRECK Mar29 Jan01 Oct25 Sep15 Jun30 (knoll pet)MALDONADO GABRIEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  VINO COURAGIO Apr04 Mar12 Feb16 Jan10 Dec21 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 6.00    
8  QUISTMER Jan17 Jan08 Nov29 Aug31 Aug10 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-4   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Apr11 Mar23 Feb21 Jan22 Oct18 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
2  BOLD BABY Apr02 Mar01 Jan08 Nov20 Sep19 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
3  MOOR STRENGTH Mar05 Feb12 Jan15 Dec20 Nov23 (lusk brian)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 5.00    
4  HOLY COFFEE Apr04 Mar05 Feb22 Jan31 Jan10 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 10.00    
5  ROZAY SUMMER Apr16 Feb26 Jan05 Oct23 Sep16 (simone mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Apr12 Apr06 Mar14 Mar07 Feb14 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 2.00 50% 1.00    
7  TOP LOOK Apr02 Mar01 Feb12 Jan19 Jan01 (waltke e)HESS SARA 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  OSCAR GAZE Mar23 Feb12 Jan26 Jan03 Oct21 (richards ren)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 12.00    
 
TAM-5   04/27/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUIZ JUNIOR Mar23 Mar07 Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
2  ROJO SKY Apr06 Nov30 Sep20     (lopez mari)INFANTE A 120 20.00    
3  C'MON JUAN Apr04         (pimental john )COTTO L 120 6.00    
4  TONY B         (damen )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00 6% 16.10    
5  DON ELADIO Apr06         (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 120 4.50    
6  RAY'S BLUE WAGON Apr04 Mar14       (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
7  YADIRAYADIRAYADIRA Mar19 Oct06       (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 20.00    
8  MOR HEART         (parra hernan)HESS SARA 120 15.00 18% 4.40    
9  MY LITTLE CAIBO Apr04 Mar01 Feb09 Jan10 Dec07 (agostini a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 12.00    
10  AMOR GITANO Mar07 Jan05 Dec12 Oct19 Sep29 (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL MANGO BANILEJO Apr06         (cascallares n)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 15.00    
2  SENOR RESPLANDOR         (romero rafael)BRACHO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLY COMMANDER Mar19 Feb15 Jan24 Oct05 Aug16 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 120 3.00    
4  JUST RELAX Apr05 Mar07 Feb07 Jan04 Nov30 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.40 46% 1.20    
5  STILLNOHASSLEJJ         (marino gary)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MCMULLEN         (guciardo kathy)HESS SARA 120 15.00    
7  NEOTERIC Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Jan08 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00    
8  JUST BUU Mar23 Feb19       (rigattieri john)FERRER C 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-7   04/27/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TELLING Mar21 Mar01 Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 118 30.00    
2  BLUFF Dec13 Nov01 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 (casse mark)LEON SONNY 118 3.50    
3  HYMN OF HEAVEN Mar23         (shaw christ)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 7% 13.70    
4  MISCHIEVOUS HAN Apr12 Mar14 Feb21 Feb01 Jan03 (parra hernan)FERRER C 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  FULLY AUTHORIZED Apr09 Mar26 Feb26 Feb02 Dec13 (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 10.00    
SCR  EMMETT Mar30 Feb09 Jan15 Dec21 Nov30 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50    
7  FLASH FROZEN Apr09 Mar23 Feb09 Jan15 Dec22 (o'connel)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
8  ITS PIZZA TIME Apr09 Mar05 Feb07 Dec18 Nov23 (dini mike)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  INNATELY GOOD Apr09 Mar02 Jan17 Jan04 Dec07 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 118 12.00    
 
TAM-8   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($54.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME GHOST Mar30 Jan11 Dec14 Nov03 Sep22 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  DRIFAROS Mar09 Jan02 Jun22 May13 Apr04 (pompay terri)ALLEN D 113 5.00    
3  BAHAMIAN MOON Apr12 Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 Jan04 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 113 12.00    
4  LIFE IS PRECIOUS Apr05 Mar15 Feb08 Jan19 Jan03 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  JOHN JAY Mar12 Aug16 Jul20 Jun30 Jun02 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 118 20.00    
6  DREAMING OF KONA Mar12 Mar01 Feb08 Aug21 Jul01 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 3.50    
7  DOCTOR OSCAR Jun16 Jun08 May10 Mar23 Feb10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
8  IMPACTO Feb23 Feb02 Jan15 Jan04 Nov29 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 10% 9.50    
 
TAM-9   04/27/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE MYTH Mar26 Mar08 Feb05 Jan17 Nov30 (vanwinkle davi)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
2  GRAY ENOUGH Oct01 Sep12 Aug15 Jul29 Jul11 (vigil jai)MARTINEZ L 124 30.00    
3  GULF COAST GIRL Apr02 Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 Jan08 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  FOREVER AGAIN Apr04 Mar09 Feb15 Jan29 Jan03 (schuh tim)ALLEN D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOLDER CLOSE Mar29 Mar09 Feb15 Jan29 Jan01 (cascallare)URDANETA J 124 15.00    
6  GIRL DYNAMITE Mar23 Mar12 Feb26 Feb05   (marrero nest)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
7  UDIDN'TPAY Apr02 Mar14 Mar02 Jan29 Dec30 (ashmore colee)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 20.00    
8  NELIDA Apr02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Apr14 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
9  C. S. VIVACE Apr13 Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 Jan05 (baxter georg)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  BOLT OF PARADISE Feb19 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Oct12 (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 124 12.00    
11  TOURIST STYLE Apr12 Jan29 Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 (gonzalez )MALDONADO GABRIEL 124 20.00    
12  SISTER NELL Apr02 Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 Oct04 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 15.00    
13  NICKY JOLENE Dec13 Oct17 Oct02 Aug29 Aug15 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 124 15.00    
SCR  AIN'T NONCENTS Apr19 Apr06 Feb22 Jan22 Jan01 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.