Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(5/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(5/4/6/8)-(7/1/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/8)-(7/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/8)-(7/1/4/6)-(11/1/9/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/6)-(11/1/9/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/6)-(11/1/9/2/5)-(7/9/1/3/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (11/1/9/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/1/9/2/5)-(11/1/9/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/9/2/5)-(11/1/9/2/5)-(11/1/9/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/1/9/2/5)-(7/9/1/3/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/1/9/2/5)-(7/9/1/3/2)-(7/6/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/9/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/3/2)-(7/9/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/3/2)-(7/9/1/3/2)-(7/9/1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/1/3/2)-(7/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/9/1/3/2)-(7/6/3)-(8/9/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(8/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(8/9/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/7)-(8/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/7)-(8/9/4/7)-(8/9/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(8/7/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(8/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/7/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/11)-(8/5/7/3/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/11)-(8/5/7/3/11)-(8/5/7/3/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORFIE Apr09 Mar23 Mar01 Feb22 Jan29 (richards ren)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
SCR  SILVER STYLE Mar07 Feb22 Jan19 Jan05 Dec11 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00    
3  PRACTICAL WAY Apr02 Mar15 Feb26 Feb01 Jan15 (ramirez ricard)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
4  CHROMED IMPULSE Mar12 Jan17 Jan05 Dec14 Nov20 (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  COPAZO Jan31 Aug17 Jul07 May25 Apr26 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
6  BLAME BISHOP Apr02 Mar15 Feb19 Nov27 Nov20 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 120 30.00    
7  MEAN TWEETS Apr02 Mar19 Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 (posadas pedro)HESS SARA 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
8  INBOUND Mar02 Feb12 Jan17 Dec28 Dec14 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   04/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVID H Mar29 Sep04       (rountree cat)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
2  VENEZUELAN HOPE Apr05 Mar07 Dec13 Nov01 Aug11 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 3.50    
SCR  IRON EDGE Mar08         (cox h)FERRER C 120 2.00    
4  AUTHENTIC HONOUR Apr12 Mar14 Feb21 Jan18 Sep15 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
5  TWELVE TREASURES Mar29 Feb21 Jan18     (harty eoin)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 46% 1.20    
6  NELSON GATE         (clement christ)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
7  MY PAL MAX Apr11 Feb22       (ryan s)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 30.00    
8  GRAND LIAM Apr12 Mar23 Dec22 Nov27 Oct19 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  SURPRISE PACKAGE Feb27         (o'connel)RODRIGUEZ O 120 15.00    
 
TAM-3   04/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGTAP GIRL Apr06 Mar16 Feb27 Feb09 Jan23 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA May26 May02 Apr20 Mar02 Dec16 (knoll pet)MALDONADO GABRIEL 124 15.00    
3  BLUES CROSS Sep25 Aug22 Jun27 Jun08 May18 (escobar marti)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00    
4  WONDERFULVENEZUELA Apr12 Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Feb08 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  ALMA PURA Apr12 Feb14 Feb01 Jan05 Dec18 (agostini art)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 15.00    
6  MIA'S ANGEL Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Feb09 Jan22 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIGGI Mar16 Mar07 Feb09 Jan22 Aug09 (allen lisa)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.80 29% 2.50    
8  STEP LIGHTLY Mar29 Mar09 Feb05 Jan11   (hendriks)RODRIGUEZ O 118 12.00    
 
TAM-4   04/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRSTFLASHOFMOON Apr02 Feb21 Feb05 Nov08 Aug17 (torres pablo)BATISTA A 122 2.50 7% 12.90    
2  AIR FORCE ROYALTY Apr13 Mar26 Mar01 Jan18 Dec29 (yates michael)VARGAS E 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STILL SHARP Apr13 Mar22 Mar14     (gardea abraham)TORRES R 122 30.00    
4  THIS TIME YES Apr02 Mar07 Feb21 Jan08 Dec12 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 12.00    
5  ZEN AIR Jan17 Dec06 Jun21 Jan03   (dominguez hu)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  PROTEST Mar22 Oct04 Sep16     (march wil)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 6.00    
7  D LOVER Jan31 Jan19 Jan07     (jones douglas)HESS SARA 122 12.00    
8  FOURTY FOUR Apr02 Mar22 Aug16 Aug03 Jun29 (romero rafa)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 12.00    
9  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Apr02 Sep08 Aug24 Jul21 Jun22 (mcburney pat)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  FRANKIE R. Apr05 Mar09 Feb21 Nov27 Nov13 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 122 15.00    
11  MUCHOMACHOMAC Apr11 Mar16 Feb09 Jan12 Dec22 (kutt m)FERRER C 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
TAM-5   04/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPORTIVO Mar26 Mar02 Jan24     (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 120 6.00 6% 16.20    
2  SPARTACUS'S DUDE Apr04 Mar09 Jan29 Jan05 Nov27 (mcburney patrick)FERRER C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAKOA Apr04 Mar12 Feb09 Jan29 Jan17 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 5.00 6% 16.60    
4  WOLF BEACH Apr04 Mar12 Jan29 Jan10 Dec21 (delgado j)MARTINEZ L 122 20.00    
5  EL DOLLAR Apr04 Mar12 Feb23 Jan29 Dec17 (ashmore cole)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 10.00    
6  GREY SHADOW Apr04 Mar09 Feb22 Dec22 Oct12 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 122 6.00    
7  FLAMINGPROPOSITION Mar23 Mar12 Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
8  BUCK SPRINGS Nov02 Oct12 Sep29 Aug31 Aug03 (smith craig )BATISTA A 120 30.00    
9  BINGO'S GRIND Apr04 Mar12 Jan29 Jan04 Dec21 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-6   04/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL TINMARIN Mar26 Mar02 Sep05 Aug17   (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 15.00    
2  TROOPS Mar26 Feb15 Jan25 Jan08   (vinson john )MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
3  SHADOW FACTOR Mar26 Mar02 Oct21 Sep20 Jul19 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAND JOKER Jan05 Dec19 Oct19     (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
5  SIMO Mar28 Feb23 Dec06     (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
6  KING GERALD Mar30         (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
7  HERE COMES FRANCIS Mar15         (barboza victor)MARIN SAMUEL 122 0.60 53% 0.90    
 
TAM-7   04/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TARHE Apr04 Mar02 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.00    
2  PAXTON Mar28 Mar07 Feb19 Jan25 Dec22 (miller c)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00    
3  JOE FROM KIEV Apr04 Mar22 Dec06 Oct12 Sep14 (curto beverly)IORIO MELISSA 122 30.00    
4  GUAIO Apr13 Mar28 Feb26 Feb09 Jan29 (agostini arth)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  MICRO BREWSKY Mar26 Feb23 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 (ryan s)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 12.00    
6  CALLER Apr06 Dec20 Nov29 Oct24 Aug29 (harty eoin)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.50    
7  HALON Mar26 Jul24 Jul07 Jun15 May23 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 8% 12.00    
8  JAMESTOWN Apr04 Feb12 Jan18 Dec24 Nov08 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
9  DRUNK ON SAKE Mar28 Mar07 Jan18 Dec07 Sep08 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
TAM-8   04/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD HOUSE Mar30 Feb08 Jan08     (vanwinkle david)FERRER C 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of STIFLED HEIRESS by MUNNINGS)
2  OVER THE MARK Feb09         (cox h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SHE BEAST by THE FACTOR)
SCR  NOBLE SOUL Aug05         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of INSPIRED SAY EYE by TWO PUNCH)
4  X Y PRIME Mar29 Feb08       (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by VEKOMA out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
5  LISTENUPSHANCE Mar19         (gonzalez lui)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of LISTENUPNOW by HARD SPUN)
6  PICO PLAT Mar30 Feb21 Jan25 Dec27   (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 120 12.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of ALHAMBRA CIRCLE by ELTISH)
7  BRIDOZA Mar30 Mar08 Feb09     (pompay terri)ALLEN D 120 8.00 8% 11.80    
  (by KHOZAN out of BRIDLED HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
8  PERSISTEN Mar22 Mar01 Feb08     (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DIAMOND MAKER by MINESHAFT)
9  VICTOR'S DREAM Sep07 Aug25       (gonzalez lui)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 30.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of OVATION by DUNKIRK)
 
TAM-9   04/26/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONCE AN EAGLE Apr19 Mar21 Feb21 Dec29 Dec07 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 30.00    
2  WOODS HOLE Mar23 Mar05 Feb15 Feb05 Jan22 (dimmett jam)SPANABEL SKYLER 116 30.00    
3  LINNY KATE Apr02 Mar21 Mar05 Jan22 Jan04 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 3.50 ★    
4  RUXTON ROCKS Apr06 Mar05 Jan17 Dec11 Oct08 (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 116 20.00    
5  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Apr09 Mar28 Mar07 Feb23 Jan01 (delgado h)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  DIOSA CATRINA Apr06 Mar14 Jan26 Jan12 Dec28 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 116 10.00    
7  TIKI BAR Mar21 Mar05 Jan22 Dec28 Dec18 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Apr16 Mar21 Mar05 Feb09 Jan04 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 116 3.00 73% 0.40    
9  BUILT DIFFERENT Apr02 Mar22 Aug17 Aug02 Jun27 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 116 10.00    
10  THAT'S MY CAT Mar21 Mar07 Feb07 Dec20 Oct09 (hardesty lesli)MARIN SAMUEL 116 15.00    
11  UP HER SLEEVE Apr02 Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan22 (delgado j)MARTINEZ L 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROZAY SUMMER Apr16 Feb26 Jan05 Oct23 Sep16 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 116 15.00    
SCR  GLITTER BAY Apr16 Apr02 Mar07 Jan31 Jan18 (curto jea)HESS SARA 116 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.