Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (8/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/5)-(8/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/5)-(8/6/1/5)-(8/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/5)-(4/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/5)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/6/9/10/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/2)-(4/6/9/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/2)-(4/6/9/10/7)-(3/7/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/6/9/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/10/7)-(4/6/9/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/10/7)-(4/6/9/10/7)-(4/6/9/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/9/10/7)-(3/7/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9/10/7)-(3/7/1/8)-(2/6/1/9/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (3/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/8)-(2/6/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/8)-(2/6/1/9/7)-(4/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/6/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/9/7)-(2/6/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/9/7)-(2/6/1/9/7)-(2/6/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/1/9/7)-(4/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/9/7)-(4/5)-(2/8/9/5/4) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/8/9/5/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/8/9/5/4)-(1/4/2/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/8/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/5/4)-(2/8/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/5/4)-(2/8/9/5/4)-(2/8/9/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/9/5/4)-(1/4/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/5/4)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/7/4/6/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/8)-(1/7/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/7/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/6/3)-(1/7/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/6/3)-(1/7/4/6/3)-(1/7/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/21/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HABERDASHERY Feb12 Jan17 Jan04 Dec14 Nov27 (mckathan kevin)GIL CIPRIANO 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
2  ROAD MINISTER Mar14 Feb21 Jan26 Jan08 Dec18 (dimmett jame)MENESES MARCOS 124 12.00    
3  ALL THE RAGE Feb02 Jan19 Dec14 Nov23 Oct23 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 6.00    
SCR  KALINBA Mar09 Feb23 Jan29 Jan10 Dec08 (cascallares nesto)HESS SARA 117 30.00    
5  RULE IT Feb05 Jan04 Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Feb21 Jan08 Nov29 Oct31 Sep28 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
7  BAHAMIAN NATIVE Feb21 Jan19 Dec21 Aug14 Jul18 (granitz anthony)CENTENO E 124 4.50    
8  AIR INVASION Mar05 Jan22 Jan03 Oct25 Mar27 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-2   03/21/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MAC QUHAE Feb22 Sep25 Sep14 Aug24 Jul20 (richards rena)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
2  GREYZER Mar05 Feb15 Jan22 Jan10 Dec20 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  STARSHIP MOCHA Feb19 Jan29 Jan19 Dec20 Oct04 (agostini a)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 12.00    
4  GOLDEN JUAN Feb01 Jan10 Dec20 Sep14 Sep02 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 51% 1.00    
5  SUPREME DOMINANCE Mar09 Feb15 Jan29 Jan17 Dec22 (goodwin g)FERRER C 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CUPID'S DUDE Mar05 Feb19 Feb01 Jan22 Jan12 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
7  STREET GLIDE Mar09 Feb01 Jan10 Dec20 Oct04 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
 
TAM-3   03/21/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE YOUR MEDICINE Feb15 Jan10 Dec21     (pimental )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 15.00    
2  KEEN SURGE Mar02         (laurato mi)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 15.00    
3  NO TELLING Mar01 Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Sep15 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00    
4  CALVINO Jan29 Nov27 Sep15 Sep01 Aug09 (laurato micha)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  COW CREEK KID Mar01 Sep30 Aug22 Jul29   (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
6  GLOBAL GIANT (GB) Mar02 Feb15       (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
7  OJIN Mar02 Dec27 Dec13 Nov17 Sep13 (kutt m)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SILVER PUNCH Oct05 Aug10       (ramos ben)GIL CIPRIANO 120 30.00    
9  OUT ON PAROLE Mar01 Jan29 Jan05     (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
10  WEEK'S STRONG Mar02 Jan10       (o'connell kath)COTTO L 120 10.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  TEN BUCKS A GLASS Mar01 Feb15 Jan29 Jan05 Sep23 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
SCR  GAP TO GAP Mar01 Feb15 Dec22 Nov30 Oct11 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  KING PLUTUS Mar09 Feb15 Jan10 Nov30   (amaya )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  MONEYLOVE Mar09 Feb01 Jan12 Sep29 Sep01 (manchan bertr)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00    
 
TAM-4   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. JOE JET Mar05 Feb01 Jan08 Dec24 Nov27 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 14% 6.40    
2  NUMERIC Mar01 Feb12 Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 118 4.50    
3  TAYYARA Aug19 Jul25 Mar06 Jan28 Jan12 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  POLA OF TROUBLE Mar01 Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Dec22 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00    
5  MOON ROSE Feb21 Feb02 Jan24 Jan03 Dec22 (dobber w)HESS SARA 111 20.00    
6  CAPTIVATING SOUND Mar08 Feb28 Feb14 Jan26 Jan15 (torre)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 6.00    
7  THANK THE ACADEMY Mar01 Feb14 Jan22 Jan05 Dec21 (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  RAPID RUBY Mar05 Jan02 Dec09 Nov14 Oct23 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 108 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
TAM-5   03/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIPOCHROME Mar05 Feb05 Dec21 Oct24 Aug24 (mcburney patric)CENTENO E 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
2  CEFALU (FR) Feb05 Dec21 Nov30 Oct10 Mar03 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  FAR ABOVE Mar09 Feb15 Jan29 Jan08 Dec22 (dobber arnoud )MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50    
4  A FANCY SOLUTION Mar09 Feb07 Mar01 Feb02 Dec09 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
5  LIKE RACHEL Feb28         (infante michael)BUSH V 122 30.00    
6  PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB) Feb15 Jan19 Dec22 Aug19 Jun18 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  INCLUDE THE MUNNY Feb15 Jan19 Dec29 Aug28 Aug09 (garde)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ELECTRIC RUNNER Mar05 Jan29 Jan15 Jan03 Jul21 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
9  STARFALL         (smith craig )GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00 9% 9.80    
10  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Mar05 Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 Apr06 (ubide max)FERRER C 122 6.00    
SCR  NEVER ENOUGH Sep27         (guciardo )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
SCR  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Mar07 Jan22 Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 (marrero nesto)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 30.00    
SCR  CLARAMENTE Feb19 Dec06 Nov22     (mcpherso)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
SCR  GAMBI Mar09 Feb02 Jan15 Dec06 Nov13 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
 
TAM-6   03/21/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADAM MITOLE Jan26 Dec24 Dec07 Sep21 Aug30 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 ★    
2  FLORIDA FLOWER Mar09 Feb19 Jan29 Jan17 Dec13 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 5.00    
3  RIP RIDING AWAY Feb19 Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 Sep29 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
4  DYNA SOAR Feb21 Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 Sep21 (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  LIZZIE BABY Mar09 Jul22       (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00 27% 2.80    
6  PRAYED FOR GIRL Feb05 Dec11 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 (dobber arnoud )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
 
TAM-7   03/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCIO Feb28 Feb05 Jan10 Dec13 Oct27 (munoz carlos)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00    
2  ALTAMIRA SUR Feb28 Jan09 Dec20 Jul12   (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.00 33% 2.10    
3  SKIPWINEYESTERDAY Feb28 Feb05 Jan10 Dec13 Sep02 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00    
4  HIDDEN RECIPE Feb28 Feb05 Sep23 Aug07 Jul03 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WYNSOME CAT Feb08 Dec26 Oct05 Sep11   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DAS IST ALLES ALLY Mar09 Feb05 Dec22 Nov17 Oct20 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
7  LADY EMBRACE Feb16 Dec27 Dec04     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
8  CLAIMED Feb05 Jan05 Oct19 Sep21   (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
9  NOTABLE EXCHANGE Feb28 Feb09       (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 10.00 20% 3.90    
10  HAZARD PAY Jan29 Oct08 Aug26 Jul22 Jun17 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 30.00    
SCR  SHESHIMAINTENANCE Feb14 Jan09 Dec12 Nov28 Oct13 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
SCR  MOM'S MARTINI Feb16 Jan10 Dec07 Nov17 Sep14 (david a)LEON SONNY 118 3.00    
 
TAM-8   03/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURUMBI Mar14 Feb28 Feb02 Jan15 Jan01 (simone mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  VINO VELOCE Mar01 Feb23 Feb05 Jan24 Jan05 (rivera xavie)BELISARIO JUAN 109 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOLIDAY JAZZ Mar01 Feb14 Feb02 Jan15 Nov06 (breed ron)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
4  ONCE AN EAGLE Feb21 Dec29 Dec07 Oct13 Sep20 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  THAT'S MY CAT Mar07 Feb07 Dec20 Oct09 Sep20 (hardesty lesli)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
6  SEATTLE CAUSEWAY Feb28 Dec07 Nov21 Nov02 Oct10 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 3.50    
7  SHE'S A JOY Feb28 Jan19 Jan08 Nov30 Nov22 (ag)LUNA PAUL 119 10.00    
8  NAA DUDETTE Mar07 Feb21 Jan24 Dec22 Nov29 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   03/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Mar05 Feb09 Jan04 Dec20 Nov23 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 44% 1.30    
2  TIKI BAR Mar05 Jan22 Dec28 Dec18 Oct20 (carrascojr victo)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
3  VINGATIVA Feb22 Feb09 Jan22 Jan12 Jan04 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SARATOGA GAZE Mar05 Feb09 Jan04 Dec20 Oct26 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
5  LINNY KATE Mar05 Jan22 Jan04 Dec20 Oct25 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 10.00    
6  TIMELESS ROSE Feb09 Jan10 Aug21 Jun20 Apr13 (granitz j)HESS SARA 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  KATIES A LADY Feb16 Jan31 Jan10 Dec18 Nov23 (mcgoey monica)GIL CIPRIANO 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
8  RED WIND Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Dec20 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
9  BLOSSOMING Feb09 Dec28 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
10  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Oct11 Sep11 Aug22 Jun29 Sep22 (downing willi)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
SCR  STARRY HOPE Mar12 Feb09 Jan18 Nov30 Oct16 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.