Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/1/7)-(4/8/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(4/8/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(4/8/6)-(2/1/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(2/1/3/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(2/1/3/9)-(5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-4   WIN (2/1/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/9)-(2/1/3/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/9)-(2/1/3/9)-(2/1/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/9)-(5/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/9)-(5/4)-(7/3/2/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
WRD-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/4)-(7/3/2/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(7/3/2/6)-(10/1/7/6/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
WRD-6   WIN (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/4/2/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/4/2/6)-(7/3/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/2/6)-(10/1/7/6/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/6)-(10/1/7/6/2)-(8/5/6/4/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
WRD-7   WIN (10/1/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/7/6/2)-(10/1/7/6/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/1/7/6/2)-(10/1/7/6/2)-(10/1/7/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/7/6/2)-(8/5/6/4/2) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/5/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/4/2)-(8/5/6/4/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/4/2)-(8/5/6/4/2)-(8/5/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   03/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRAGE CODE Feb14 Jan18 Oct12 Sep29 Aug04 (childs russell)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOSPEL FABULOUS Dec13 Nov29 Oct18 Sep19 Sep05 (williams s)ERAMIA E 125 0.60 53% 0.90    
TAKA Feb22 Feb08 Jan28 Jan05 Nov28 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 3.00 15% 5.60    
LOOKIN LUCKY AGAIN Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 Sep27 Sep11 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 125 3.50    
GOSPEL FREELY Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Dec12 Nov29 (williams steve )ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00    
 
WRD-2   03/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORMA JEAN BLING Feb19 Jan16 Dec21 Dec07   (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 120 12.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SAINT ISABEL Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Jan03 Oct11 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 3.00    
INVENTING ANNA Mar04 Feb08 Jan18 Dec27 Dec06 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 1.80 51% 0.90    
SPRINGTIME MOON Feb14 Jan26 Dec04 Oct11 Sep05 (davidson )TRIANA JR 120 4.00    
BE MY HUCKLEBERRY Mar02 Dec13 Sep16 Aug31 Jul22 (jansen kenny)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
SOPHIE'S STAR Feb03 Dec13 Oct30 Sep16 Aug30 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 5.00    
LAMENTABLE JARIN Dec05 Oct30 Oct09 May14 Apr08 (gunter micha)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-3   03/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST MOXY Mar10 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Nov30 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 120 20.00    
SMACKZILLA Mar04 Feb07 Jan03 Dec07 Nov19 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 6.00    
LIGHT THE CODE Dec07 Nov16 Oct25 Oct05 Sep11 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 3.50    
PAYNT BALL Dec07 Nov14 Oct09 Sep20 Aug24 (trout r)TRIANA JR 125 1.60 32% 2.10    
SOCIAL SOONER Dec11 Nov29 Nov08 Oct23 Oct11 (swan e)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
TUCKER FLATS Dec13 Dec04 Nov01     (pogue paulette)QUINONEZ S 120 15.00 17% 4.70    
DETERMINED LOVER Aug22 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May06 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 4.00    
WAYLON'S GUITAR Mar04 Feb16 Dec07 Oct11 Sep27 (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
WRD-4   03/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESOTO'S WAR Mar03 Feb15 Feb05 Jan19 Dec27 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
CONTACT TRACING Feb26 Feb06 Jan26 Dec28 Nov12 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 38% 1.60    
QUARTER RAT Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Dec19 (martinez )TRIANA JR 119 5.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  EASY BIG BOY Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 Nov22 Nov09 (dixon tim)KIMES C 119 20.00    
ONCE UPON A DREAM Mar04 Dec05 Nov15 Oct16 Sep26 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 15.00    
JUST A IRISH LAD Mar04 Dec05 Nov22 Nov13 Oct17 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 119 5.00    
RACE DAY REBAL Dec06 Nov16 Oct31 Oct04 Sep12 (william)GONCALVES R 119 3.50    
LEADING THE CAUSE Mar03 Dec14 Oct29 Sep09 Aug23 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 4.50    
WIN FOR FUN Mar03 Dec11 Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 (dunlap m)CRUZ ROMAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-5   03/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Welder Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMMERON Mar04 Dec07 Oct18 May14   (buehrer w)SANCHEZ OBED 122 12.00    
  (by LIAISON out of IZZY'S WAY by TIZWAY)
SCR  TZEDAKAH Dec07 Oct18 Sep29 Jun28 Jun16 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 122 6.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of JUST SAY MO by UNCLE MO)
JOHN Feb28 Jan11 Dec07 Nov13 Nov01 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 1.80    
  (by BLACK BEAR out of AUNT SISSY by NATIONAL SAINT)
LUCKY TAPITURE Jan19 Nov01 Sep27 Aug31   (lee mark)BIRZER E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of LUCKY NUMBER ONE'S by INCLUDE)
MISTER OMAHA Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug16 (offolter s)QUINONEZ S 122 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COSMIC CODE by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
WRD-6   03/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD SUN FLOWER Mar04 Feb07       (dixon )FLETCHER D 120 20.00    
ICED UP Feb22 Jan19 Dec07     (corderm)GONCALVES R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MAUI MISTRESS Dec06 Nov14 Oct02 Jul11 Jun15 (corderman sc)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 2.50 12% 7.50    
I BILEVE Dec06 Nov14 Oct31 Sep21 Sep04 (swan e)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00    
SHELLEY'S ROSE Mar04 Feb20 Feb08 Jan28 Aug21 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 8.00    
LADY RASHEN Mar04 Oct17 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 (padilla juan)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
REECHO Mar01 Feb14 Jan03     (jansen kenny)BIRZER E 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
CLOUD ANGEL Dec11 Oct29 Oct15 Apr24   (swan patr)TRIANA JR 120 6.00    
SHES A DEVIL WOMAN Feb28 Dec05       (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 20.00    
 
WRD-7   03/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. HILLARY Dec11 Nov09 Oct16 Sep13 Aug16 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
LET HER BUCK Mar10 Jan19 Dec11 Nov15 Oct23 (villafran)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
OH NIKI Dec06 Nov23 Nov07 Oct25 Sep05 (swan patrick)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
OUR BET Dec21 Nov30 Sep21 May15 Apr30 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 122 6.00    
LENA'S SHADOW Dec11 Sep28 Sep06 Jul18 Jul03 (pogue paulette)QUINONEZ B 122 20.00    
STOLEN KISSES Sep05 Aug24 Jul17 Jun26 May14 (williams f)KIMES C 122 12.00 6% 16.20    
DA CANDY CANE Mar10 Dec11 Nov25 Nov02 Oct03 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
ALL AFLUTTER Mar10 Dec11 Nov25 Nov02 Sep18 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
OKIE LOVE Feb28 Feb03 Dec21 Nov14 Oct09 (hartman a)TRIANA JR 122 5.00    
10  MAGGIE D'CAUSE Dec11 Nov02 Oct25 Oct03 Sep05 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  OKIE CODE Dec11 Nov09 Oct31 Oct17 Sep27 (offolter s)QUINONEZ S 122 12.00    
 
WRD-8   03/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAZZLE DAZZLE WEST         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of RAZZLE DAZZLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ONE BIG HAAS Nov29 Nov13 Oct23 Sep27 May14 (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 12.00 6% 16.20    
  (by FLAT OUT out of REGO by IN EXCESS (IRE))
VALID EURO Dec06 Nov18 Nov01     (oberlander jess)ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of VALID NIGHTLINGER by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
OUT TO PARTY Mar04         (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 7% 12.60    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MY PARTY GIRL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
STRAIGHT AHEAD Mar04 Mar19 Mar05     (hartman alex)WADE LYNDIE 125 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of CANDID CATHY by RIMROD)
WARHAMMER Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Sep12 Aug16 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 120 6.00 16% 5.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DANCING FLAME by SEEKING THE GOLD)
FLAT BE JUDGED Dec13 Dec04 Nov13     (gunter micha)HUCKABY RONNIE 115 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LESLEY BE JUDGED by DEVIL HIS DUE)
ATREIDESREFLECTION         (bravo f)GONCALVES R 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by ATREIDES out of STREET REFLECTION by STREET CRY (IRE))
GOSPEL UP Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct05 Aug16 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL SCARLET by IRISH ROAD)
10  BAR ROOM BUDDY Nov01 Oct11 Sep27     (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 20.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of LOUNGE LADY by CUVEE)
11  MIDNIGHT TALKER Mar04 Feb15 Dec11     (padilla juan)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT CROONER out of FLEET TALK'N MISS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
12  DOCSBOW Mar04 Dec13 Dec04 Sep27   (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 120 3.00    
  (by OXBOW out of CACTUS ROSE by BRICKTOWN CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.