Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - February 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(6/2/1)-(8/1/10/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(8/1/10/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(8/1/10/2/3)-(3/5/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-3   WIN (8/1/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/10/2/3)-(8/1/10/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/10/2/3)-(8/1/10/2/3)-(8/1/10/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/10/2/3)-(3/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/10/2/3)-(3/5/6)-(5/1/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(5/1/4)-(7/1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(7/1/2/3)-(1/7/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/3)-(1/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/3)-(1/7/4/2)-(7/5/8/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(7/5/8/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2)-(7/5/8/4/6)-(8/5/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/5/8/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/4/6)-(7/5/8/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/4/6)-(7/5/8/4/6)-(7/5/8/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/8/4/6)-(8/5/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/3)-(2/1/4/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-10   WIN (2/1/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/9/8)-(2/1/4/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/9/8)-(2/1/4/9/8)-(2/1/4/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAKAS Dec13         (silva walter)ARANA KELVIN 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of ALGORHYTHMIC by VRONSKY)
MIZ MASTERY Jan30 Dec07 Nov22 May04 Apr18 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MASTERY out of LUCKY I GUESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GAB'S HUMOR Jan30 Dec21 Nov21 Oct26 Jul07 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of PEACELOVEANDJOY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
RAILEY JEAN Jan30 Dec20 Nov26     (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 6.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHERRY BERRY WINE by ONEOFTHEJONESBOYS)
NORMAL Dec02 Oct22       (kenneally eddi)THORNTON G 124 3.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of DOWELL HOUSE by DANZIG)
TALE OF POWER         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of LATENITE TEARS by FUSAICHI ZENON (JPN))
LOVING COUNTY Jan30         (ramirez eduard)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 12.00    
  (by WIMBLEDON out of VALID BRIDE by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
NEVER WALK ALONE Feb08 Jan16 Dec26 Dec07 Aug10 (tillis jerry)BARRERA J 124 10.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of AMARETTA'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
DED-2   02/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOVEL BAY         (gonzalez isai )ARANA KELVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PICK OF THE LITTER out of BERMUDA ISLE by EL PRADO (IRE))
GOLDZONE Jan16 Dec20 Mar21 Feb29   (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 124 1.80 30% 2.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TUJUACAGOFAST by BWANA CHARLIE)
SHOW RESPECT (IRE) Jan28 Jan10 Nov30     (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 3.50    
  (by AWESOME BET out of RESPECT UR ELDERS by GRAND MARSHALL)
REMEMBERIN RONALD Jan10 Dec01 Aug05 Jul20 Jul07 (robinsjr aaron)FLORIAN JOSE 119 6.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
F J'S CHAOS Nov30 Nov13 Aug24 Feb24 Feb03 (maturin chad)VARGAS P 124 5.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MYSTIC BLUE by GOLD SAGA)
WELCOMETOHAZEVILLE Jan30 Jan10       (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of CORA LEONA by LONE STAR SKY)
 
DED-3   02/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM SURGE Jan25 Jan03       (faul jason)ROSIER R 121 3.00 11% 8.50    
CLASSY MIMI         (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 121 5.00 7% 14.30    
THE DADDY THUNDER         (rivera nestor)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHOW' EM NOLA Jan11 Dec07 Nov22 Sep07 Aug22 (courville rick)PEREZ CARLOS 116 12.00    
TALK         (dussette a)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00    
PITCHATIZZY Dec13 Nov08 Oct12     (dunn ray)FLORIAN JOSE 116 15.00    
BOBBY'S GIRL Feb01 Jan03       (gelner scott)ARANA KELVIN 116 6.00    
CAJUN CATTITUDE Jan11         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 121 4.00 52% 0.90    
FULLY BLESSED Jan15 Dec19       (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00    
10  JENNY'S DAY Jan31 Jan02 Dec19 Nov22 Nov08 (noel dane)VARGAS P 121 6.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  SHE'S A BANDIT Feb01 Jan03 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 2.00    
SCR  IMPERIAL ASSAULT Feb01 Dec19       (mcdonald cr)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 20.00    
 
DED-4   02/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRLIE'S MAX         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 121 12.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of GIRLIE GO by LYDGATE)
CHARLES BODIE Jan16         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 5.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of KATIEBMEISTER by BODEMEISTER)
YORKTOWN PANTHER Feb07 Aug03 Jul25     (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by YORKTON out of CALICO by ARCH)
GABE'S POSSUM         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of COTEAU QUEEN by HALF OURS)
ROMEO SPIKES Jan17 Dec07 Nov08 Oct18   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 1.60 35% 1.90    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MIMI'S BELLA ALARM by SOUND THE ALARM)
SENOR SMOKE Jan02 Dec07 Nov09     (ramirez eduardo)BIRZER E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of MY GAL LAYLA by MY PAL CHARLIE)
SCR  LEOBOBANNA         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 6.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of HOMEBUILDERBOBANNA by HOMEBUILDER)
 
DED-5   02/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S LIGHT Jan30 Jan03 Dec11 Nov13 May09 (delany )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
BET AGAIN Feb07 Jan16 Dec12 Nov16 Jun13 (toups brent)POMPELL L 121 3.50    
SCR  I DON'T VENMO Nov29 Nov02 Aug09 Jun07 May18 (mojica a)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 8.00    
LOOKIN AT BETTY Jan10 Jun20 Jan21 Dec07 Oct25 (cribeiro laz)BARRERA J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
DRIED PEPPER Jan30 Dec13 Oct17 Sep11 Aug12 (lara jorge)PEREZ CARLOS 119 1.80 61% 0.60    
ROCK ON COWBOY Jan31 Jan10 Dec27 Nov23 Jul21 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 121 12.00    
SWEET RACHEL Jan31 Dec27 May27 Feb17 Feb01 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.50    
 
DED-6   02/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERWALK Dec28 Oct19 Aug07 Jun30 May18 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 120 5.00 28% 2.50    
SASSI D Dec28 Dec07 Nov21 Oct23 May25 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00 8% 11.80    
MUD ON MY BOOTS Jan29 Jan09 Nov29 Nov16 Oct29 (giangrosso )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
VIOLENT RIVER Jul04 Jun19 May15 Apr27 Mar16 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
UPTURNED BRIM Jan29 Jan11 Feb10 Jan20 Nov15 (reeves jeff)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
DREWMANIA Feb02 Jan04 Dec14 Nov01 Apr27 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 3.00    
DOUBLE EDGE SWORD Dec28 Nov07 Sep11 Aug08 Jul07 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
 
DED-7   02/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAWLESS TAKEOVER Dec27 Dec14 Nov26 Nov13 Oct19 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
CHERRY STAR Feb07 Jan28 Dec11 Nov05 Jul26 (delany )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BITSY C C LIL GIRL Jan09 Dec12 Nov30 Nov08 Aug17 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
CUSTOM CANDY Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Nov14 Oct29 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
LADY BE GONE Feb07 Jan28 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
MAXIMUM MOXIE Feb08 Jan25 Jan08 Dec18 Oct18 (averett ronnie)BIRZER E 124 2.00    
GIRL LIKES BLING Jan25 Dec18 Nov20 Nov07 Aug16 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
SAVANNAH'S HERE Jan24 Dec14 Dec04 Nov16 Nov05 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 20.00    
 
DED-8   02/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA. GRAND SLAM Jan29 Jan11 Dec19 Oct25   (hibdon n)BIRZER E 116 6.00    
NORMA JEAN BLING Jan16 Dec21 Dec07     (dixon tim)ARANA KELVIN 114 12.00    
GOLDEN COLE Jan04 Jul13 May11     (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 119 10.00    
TAKEITTOTHEHOUSE Jan30 Dec21 Oct25     (jeane scott)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 8.00 6% 14.90    
MILLIE'S STARDUST Jan04 Aug23 Jul23     (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
MY LIL POKER FACE Jan20 Dec21 Oct26 Jul19 Jul05 (zenon charles)LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOLAR BURST Feb07 Nov16 Oct05     (wong jonath)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.20 39% 1.60    
GOLDEN BARCENTS Dec19 Oct12 Aug09     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 10.00 10% 9.00    
CIGARS N CARS Jan04 Dec05 Nov24 Sep05 Aug17 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 119 20.00    
 
DED-9   02/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTORED DEAL Jan25 Jan08 Dec14 Nov27 Nov08 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
THROWIN' SHADE Dec12 Oct17 Jul04 Jun06 May17 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
OTRA COSA Jan25 Dec05 Nov06 Oct23 May04 (larrosa jua)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPINNING ACES Feb01 Dec28 Nov21 Mar23 Feb24 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
NOPENOTTONIGHT Jan10 Oct16 Jul04 May22 Apr17 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
CAJUN AMI Jan25 Dec20 Dec07 Nov05 Oct17 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 6.00    
SCR  REDDINGANDLEE Feb05 Jan15 Dec20 Nov30 Oct25 (arey anthony)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
SAINT GABRIEL Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 Nov27 Oct17 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR Feb01 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Nov08 (eschete nason)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
 
DED-10   02/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ELEVEN         (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
TWO HILLSIDE         (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
TEXAS CACTUS JACK Jan29 Dec12       (jeane scott)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 20.00    
ABOUT THE BUSINESS Jan16 Dec07       (alberto anto)BARRERA J 118 10.00 12% 7.60    
SEITAN Jan29 Jan02 Dec12 Oct26 Oct10 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 2.50    
COPESTHEBOMB Jan29 Dec19 Nov16 Sep14   (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 116 15.00    
CHIEF SLEW Jan30 Jan17       (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
RAISE THE BET         (walker phillip)ARANA KELVIN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
QUIKONTHETRIGGER         (melancon do)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
10  BOX OF CANDY Jan16 Dec19 Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 109 20.00    
SCR  FROG'S COMFORT         (cormier cardel)PEREZ CARLOS 113 20.00    
SCR  HIGHER CHARGE         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.