Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(1/5/4)-(2/9/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/9/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/9/1/8)-(2/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/8)-(2/9/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/8)-(2/9/1/8)-(2/9/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/1/8)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/8)-(2/6/5)-(6/8/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/8/1/5)-(6/8/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/5)-(6/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/5)-(6/8/1/5)-(6/8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/1/5)-(6/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/5)-(6/8/7/3)-(3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/3)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/3)-(3/1/6)-(5/6/2/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/6/2/8/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/6/2/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/8/10)-(5/6/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/8/10)-(5/6/2/8/10)-(5/6/2/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUMOROUS Jan17 Nov15       (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 118 1.80    
MIST OVER CORK Nov29 Oct26 Oct17     (craig armonte)HO WESLEY 124 3.00    
BEST HOP IS A DROP Jan17 Dec13 Nov23 Oct18 Sep21 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 10.00    
SAPPHIRUS Jan10 Dec07 Oct26 Oct04 Sep21 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
MUSICAL ENTOURAGE         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
FUNGO FUNGO         (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
 
CT-2   02/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIT NOTION Jan17 Nov15       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 0.60 47% 1.10    
FLYIN MAYAN Nov07 Oct05       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50    
SCR  JOHN'S NOTION Jan16 Nov23 Nov07 Oct25 Oct04 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 3.50    
OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Jan25 Jan04 Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 (petty kri)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
T REX UNION Jan11 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
BABY BOSS ALLEN Jan29 Jan16 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
 
CT-3   02/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIGHT WAY Jan23 Nov26 Nov05 Oct21 Oct09 (fiesman robert)GILBERT KYLE 124 15.00 11% 8.30    
LONG ASTRIDE Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 Oct04 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 124 1.20 35% 1.90    
SCR  WHISKEY AND WINE Feb01 Oct30 Aug11 Jun19 May14 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
ED'S PROPHECY Jan24 Jan04 Dec06     (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 118 30.00    
TOONICE Jan24 Jan16 Dec22 Dec09 Mar30 (nazario pedro)LUGO JR 124 20.00    
WAR SALUTE Jan26 Jan09 Dec01 Aug24   (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 118 4.50    
GUILTED Jan24 Dec21 Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 (nazario)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 3.00    
COOLKID Jan23 Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Apr06 (viands stacey)ADAMS L 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
ANDRAS Jan31 Dec27 Nov29 Nov10 Oct10 (dilodov)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 6.00 21% 3.90    
 
CT-4   02/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANO'S BABY Jan29 Jan17 Jan03 Jul20 Jul11 (pennella m)JORGE JULIO 124 5.00    
DIRECT APPEAL Jan29 Jan10 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 1.40 33% 2.00    
LOVE IS WICKED Jan29 Jan16 Dec04 Nov21 Oct24 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 120 6.00    
BID ON BLUE Jan29 Jan16 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 (brown keith )LEWIS M 120 2.00    
BIG BAD BRASS Jan16 Nov16 Oct26 Aug16 Jul20 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 6% 16.70    
BOLD ROCK Jan17 Nov23 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 10.00 33% 2.00    
 
CT-5   02/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN BOW Dec28 Dec12 Nov15 Oct25 Apr04 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 2.50 11% 7.90    
MAESTOSO Jan04 May04 Apr08 Mar18 Feb26 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 20.00    
GALA STAR Jan31 Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 Aug25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00    
MINELLA Feb05 Jan23 Dec04 Nov19 Oct29 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 122 20.00    
GALACTIC GLORY Jan23 Dec13 Dec01 Oct19 Sep28 (dove j)LEWIS M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Jan29 Dec16 Nov22 Sep21 Aug24 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
RUN ROCKY RUN Jan17 Jan02 Nov08 Oct19 Sep19 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
ALLIED ATTACK Jan24 Jan17 Dec14 Nov26 Oct02 (joy j)STANLEY O 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
CT-6   02/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLATTERING WAY Jan15 Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 Jul25 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 12.00    
BARAPHA Jan29 Jan15 Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
SCR  PISTOL PENNY Jan10 Dec12 Nov02 Oct24 Oct04 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
HOLD DEM Feb05 Jan15 Dec12 Nov13 Nov02 (pyke joseph)GILBERT KYLE 124 15.00    
SCR  LUNA MARY Jan29 Jan10       (schiano-d)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 10.00    
HOUSE ALERT Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 Jun29 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 1.00 34% 1.90    
SHAMELESS VISIONS Jan15 Dec12 Oct24 Sep14 Aug10 (shanle)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SARONIC BAY Jan29 Jan17 Dec12     (brown w)BOCACHICA O 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
CT-7   02/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XCELLENT START Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Nov16 Oct31 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 1.60 27% 2.70    
NO BODY LIKES ME Jan29 Jan18 Dec14 Nov21 Oct10 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 5.00    
JUDGEMENT DAY Jan31 Nov15 Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
PROSPECTIVE LOVE Nov27 Oct31 Sep12 Aug29 May18 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
SCR  TOOLPUSHER Nov03 Oct20 Aug26 Aug10 Jun08 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
BLANCHES MULE Dec28 Oct26       (shanley timo)LEWIS M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
HAMMER Jan24 Jul05 May18 May04 Feb23 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   02/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTROLLED TEMPER Jan23 Jan04 Nov16 Oct05 Sep21 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
THENCOMEMORNING Nov29 Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 May23 (ceciliano mi)DIAZ JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HONEY B B Jan24 Jan09 Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 (joy kev)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
SCR  TEARDUC Jan15 Nov17 Jun28 Jun06 May17 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
TRAIN WRECK Jan24 Dec06 Nov15 Oct22 Oct01 (lane j)STANLEY O 124 3.50 60% 0.70    
RAINBOWSNSUNSHINE Jan10 Dec06 Nov09 Aug22 Jul12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 8% 10.90    
SHERIFF'S KID Jan24 Jan16 Nov29 Sep27 Apr27 (collyer j)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
TRUE BLUE PEARL Jan16 Dec12 May16 Apr19 Mar20 (knoblauch-perez m)HO WESLEY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BRAVO ZULU Jan24 Jan03 Dec11 Sep15 Sep01 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 4.00    
10  MISS ANTIETAM Jan24 Jan03 Nov29 Oct09 Sep23 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONGRESS HALL Jan31 Jan24 Jan03 Dec11 Nov17 (shanley timo)DIAZ JR 122 15.00    
SCR  THUNDERTURTLE Jan03 Nov20 Oct25 Jun29 Jun08 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.