Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(2/1/3)-(6/3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/2/10/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/4)-(6/2/10/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/4)-(6/2/10/1/3)-(9/5/2/8/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-4   WIN (6/2/10/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/10/1/3)-(6/2/10/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/10/1/3)-(6/2/10/1/3)-(6/2/10/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/10/1/3)-(9/5/2/8/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/2/10/1/3)-(9/5/2/8/11)-(8/4/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-5   WIN (9/5/2/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/8/11)-(9/5/2/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/8/11)-(9/5/2/8/11)-(9/5/2/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/2/8/11)-(8/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/2/8/11)-(8/4/5/3)-(4/6/12/9/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-6   WIN (8/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/3)-(4/6/12/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/6/12/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/12/9/3)-(4/6/12/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/12/9/3)-(4/6/12/9/3)-(4/6/12/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POETIC UNION Dec06 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep14 (chacaltana dom)SANCHEZ OBED 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ASTERN MAID Dec06 Nov26 Oct24 Oct17 Sep21 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
3  BOSSADUSU Dec06 Nov18 Oct24 Apr16 Mar30 (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 121 3.50    
4  RAINBOW SMILES Dec11 Nov26 Nov14 Oct17 Sep27 (davidson n)PARKER L 121 4.00 16% 5.10    
5  LEXINGTON DIVA Dec12 Nov14 Oct10 Sep21 Aug23 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 1.60    
6  BRITISH EDGE Dec04 Sep06 Aug05 Jun28   (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
 
HOU-2   01/03/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TANK Nov05 Oct26 Sep19 Aug24 Apr15 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  RECHARGE Dec04 May17 Mar30 Feb18 Jan21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.60 36% 1.80    
3  OUR DAVINA Dec13 Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 Aug24 (young sco)TRIANA JR 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
4  WILD EXPRESS Sep29 Aug29 Jul14 Jun29 May27 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 121 15.00    
5  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Dec04 Nov23 Sep12 May05 Apr06 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 121 8.00    
6  MY LUCKY BREAK Nov20 Aug16 Jul27 Jun28 Jun07 (john)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
 
HOU-3   01/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Aug26 Jul31 Jun30 Jun22 May18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00    
2  WILTON Dec16 Nov29 Nov09 Oct24 Oct03 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
3  MANOR BORN Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 9% 10.50    
4  VARSITY Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Jun30 (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRULY DANZIG Oct30 Oct04 Sep11 Jun30 Jun08 (willis mindy)PARKER L 121 4.00    
6  CLIFF DIVER Nov21 Oct16 Sep21 Sep07 Jul27 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 1.40 69% 0.40    
7  GLENDALE Nov22 Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 Aug04 (rob)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  WIN WORTHY Dec06 Nov18 Oct19 Oct05 Sep11 (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
 
HOU-4   01/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER FIVE Nov26 Oct19 Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 7% 14.00    
2  IN THE ARCH Nov30 Oct23 Sep14 Sep01 Jun23 (rengstorf tony)SANCHEZ OBED 121 15.00 28% 2.60    
3  WILL THE THRILL Dec05 Nov06 Aug24 Jul21 Jun23 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOSE'S DREAM Dec07 Nov08 Sep28 Sep05 Aug24 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00    
5  JUST OKIE Dec11 Nov22 Oct10 Sep12 Aug17 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 3.50    
6  PRINCE RAMA Nov18 Nov01 Sep07 Aug22 May25 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  JOHNNY APPLESEED Dec05 Nov15 Nov06 Oct12 Sep21 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
8  CALL OF HONOR Dec11 Oct30 Sep26 Aug08 Jul07 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50    
9  COMPUTATION Dec06 Nov16 Oct30 Oct18 Sep20 (v)DE CRUZ 123 5.00    
10  DARNQUICK Dec07 Nov19 Oct23 Sep14 Aug17 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 10.00 10% 8.60    
 
HOU-5   01/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO MARINE Nov18         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of SWEET SINGER by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
2  FAIR WEATHER FLYER         (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 122 15.00 11% 8.40    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of PRETTY N FAST TOO by SILENT PICTURE)
3  GUS CAUSE Jul14 May26       (uriegas joe)VERA T 122 30.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of ROSEWHITENBLUE by OLMODAVOR)
4  EAGLE IN THE AIR Jul12 Jun28       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 12.00    
  (by EAGLE out of MALAYSIAN AIR by MIZZEN MAST)
5  ROCKETS RED FLAIR Jun01         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of BENNY'S BOMBSHELL by BENNY THE BULL)
6  BRODY'S TREASURE Jun28 Jun09       (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
7  HE IS HEAVEN SENT Dec06         (cla)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of THE DEVIL IS MINE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
8  CHASING THE RUSH Jun28 Jun01       (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 11% 8.40    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of REALLY SHAKIN by SHAKIN IT UP)
9  COLONEL YORKE Dec07 Oct05 Sep12 Aug03 Jul07 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
10  TOM SAWYER Oct31         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JAN'S PERFECT STAR by IMPERIALISM)
11  MISCHIEF MAC         (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of DEVOUT DIVA by HOLY BULL)
12  DR SKYSCRAPER Nov14 Oct31 Oct10     (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of MARRYBELLANIGHT by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
 
HOU-6   01/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLEA'S DREAM Oct23 Jul30 Jun23 May26 May03 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 6.00    
2  TEAM LEADER Dec05 Oct25 Oct02 Sep12 Jul03 (rossi j)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
3  BIG BERNIE Oct19 Sep28 May26 May04 Apr07 (c)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 9% 10.10    
4  MAZUMA Dec13 Nov23 Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
5  BROCK ON BY Nov18 Oct30 Oct19 Oct04 Aug17 (gourneau jerry)WADE LYNDIE 123 8.00 11% 8.10    
6  FROM THE HEART Dec12 Nov09 Oct26 Oct03 Sep14 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
7  OLE CRAZY BONE Nov23 Jun29 May26 May03 Feb16 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 2.00    
8  OCELOT Oct23 Sep29 Aug17 Jun29 May26 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
HOU-7   01/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIND THE LIGHT Jul14 Jun29       (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAUSE YOU CAN by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  FRANNY Dec04 Sep26       (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00    
  (by DORRANCE out of EXACTLY LIKE YOU by ATTILA'S STORM)
3  MOON CRATER         (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ICY CALM by CURLIN)
4  WICKED LIL SISTAH Jun09         (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 41% 1.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of CALIBER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  JULIA ANN Oct19 Oct02 Sep07     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of DEVOTED by EL GRAN SENOR)
6  NOBLE AWARE Oct02 Aug23 Jul07 Jun29   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
  (by MITOLE out of SHEZAGHOSTSLAYER by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  EASY FOR ME         (gelner j)PARKER L 122 6.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of PANOE by MINESHAFT)
8  SPIRIT OF VETERANS Jun23         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
9  GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE Sep24 Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 May25 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00 7% 12.50    
  (by THE HUNK out of SPICY SUPRISE by LATENT HEAT)
10  ITTY BITTY BABY         (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 122 30.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of SPECIAL ENDING by SPECIAL RATE)
11  TEXAS KISS Dec02 Nov06 Sep19 Jul14 Jun23 (triana mart)MECHE COLE 117 30.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of KISS MY SWISS by SWISS YODELER)
12  COWGIRL DREAM Jul07         (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 122 15.00 9% 10.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of DYNAMIC COWGIRL by DYNAMEAUX)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.