Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - December 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (9/1/6/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/2/10)-(9/1/6/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/2/10)-(9/1/6/2/10)-(9/1/6/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/6/2/10)-(5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/2/10)-(5/3)-(2/4/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(2/4/1)-(3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(3/6)-(8/5/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(8/5/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(8/5/3/1)-(8/4/6/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-5   WIN (8/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/1)-(8/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/1)-(8/4/6/3)-(8/9/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-6   WIN (8/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/3)-(8/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/3)-(8/9/1/3)-(3/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-7   WIN (8/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/1/3)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/3)-(3/2)-(3/8/9/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-8   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(3/8/9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(3/8/9/7)-(14/6/13) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/9/7)-(3/8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/9/7)-(3/8/9/7)-(3/8/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/9/7)-(14/6/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (14/6/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (14/6/13)-(14/6/8/11/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (14/6/13)-(14/6/8/11/13)-(14/6/8/11/13) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURFBOARD Nov12 Oct29 Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 4.00 12% 7.40    
2  THIRD WATCH (GB) Nov27 Nov19 Oct07 Aug26 Jul20 (rosado roberto)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
3  ROAD CALL Dec03 Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 Sep09 (mccaslin john)ORTIZ JOSHUA 115 15.00    
4  VIN SANTO Dec01 Jul20 Jun14 May27 May10 (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 4.50    
5  BADBADBOBBY Nov27 Nov06 Oct21 Sep03 Aug15 (aro mich)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00    
6  UTILITY Nov19 Nov06 Oct29 Oct16 Sep09 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 119 8.00 9% 10.00    
7  WHOOSH Dec03 Nov13 Nov02 Oct19 Oct08 (tapsas ilias)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
8  DOS DE OROS Dec04 Nov18 Oct21 Oct02 Sep16 (brown howa)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
9  BULLET BREEZE Nov27 Nov06 Oct21 Sep18 Jun19 (rodriguez irvin)RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
10  GAME MISCONDUCT Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 Jun11 (bedard a)DAVIS A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  FIRST SQUAD Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 Oct02 Sep23 (lake scott )VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00    
 
PRX-2   12/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALLSCHOOL WONDER         (servis j )VARGAS A 122 4.50    
  (by TIGHT TEN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  SAMS AFTER PARTY         (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 122 5.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of MORE PARTY GIRL by MORE SMOKE)
3  DAY OF DAYS Aug26 Jul09       (servis john)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CHILLY START by JUMP START)
4  COOL MILLION         (coletti ed)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ITS MY TOWN by COWTOWN CAT)
5  ALCHEMISM Nov20 Nov04 Oct07     (dotolo david)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of ENCHANTED EVENING by FIRST DEFENCE)
6  BYRDE OF WAR Nov27         (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.50 ★    
  (by FLATTER out of WAR POPPY by STORM BLAST)
 
PRX-3   12/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DOLLAR Nov26 Nov06 Oct03 Sep03 Aug28 (king clarence)OCASIO M 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RILEY'S ROCKSTAR Nov02         (lake scot)VARGAS A 117 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  MR. BOGAN Oct23 Oct07 Sep21 Sep10   (arce josue)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
4  FRIDAYSWITHMURRAY Dec10 Nov25 Oct11     (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  MARCHIN INTO APRIL Nov25 Oct23 Sep26 Jul24 Jul09 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 3.50    
6  SCUDETTO Nov05 Oct23 Oct07 Aug28 Aug03 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 5.00    
 
PRX-4   12/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YO YO CANDY Nov25 Oct16 Jul08 May05 Apr06 (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.50    
2  SOZE Nov25 Nov05 Oct16 Oct02 Sep08 (vera mig)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 5.00 ★    
3  HARP'S HOT CORNER Nov29 Nov13 Oct15 Sep17 Aug26 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  ENFORCER Nov25 Nov04 Oct15 Oct02 Sep04 (brown howard )RIVERA D 122 4.00    
5  NINJA PRIZE Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 Oct02 Sep04 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00    
6  MR SANDMAN Nov11 Oct15 Sep16 Aug19 Jul08 (castillo michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
PRX-5   12/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIGU STAR Dec04 Nov16 Oct25 Sep21 Aug27 (ashton patr)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOREVER WICKED Dec04 Oct30 Sep25 Sep09 Aug21 (st ur)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
3  LORD WINSALOT Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 (rodriguez migu)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  TEEWINOT PASS Nov26 Nov20 Nov06 Oct29 Oct07 (king clarence)OCASIO M 122 15.00    
5  MAKABIM Oct07 Aug28 Jul15 Jun18 May29 (serey )GONZALEZ JR 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  MEGA CHARLIE Nov26 Nov08 Oct21 Oct14 Oct02 (mosco r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.50    
7  SPEIGHTSTER RED Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep10 Aug27 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 5.00    
8  BOURBON CALLING Nov26 Nov19 Oct28 Oct19 Sep30 (soto- martinez)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
9  RON DON SCORESE Nov20 Oct30 Oct19 Sep27 Aug27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
 
PRX-6   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EPIC LUCK Nov19 Oct29 Jul29 Jul01 Jun05 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
2  JEWELS IN THE BAY Nov19 Nov11 Jul15 Jun17 Jun10 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 122 12.00    
3  RICH'S WAY Nov19 Nov06 Oct22 Aug21 May27 (lake a)OCASIO M 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
4  HELIUM Feb25 Feb11 Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
5  COMMINGLING Nov19 Nov06 Oct16 Sep30 Sep09 (smylie timothy )BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00    
6  HOKU Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 Oct07 Sep17 (abrams jack)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 3.00 14% 6.00    
7  GROUP TICKET Nov05 Oct16 Sep14 Sep07 Aug23 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 2.50    
8  AZTEC Nov19 Sep10 Aug13 Jul24 Jun01 (aro micha)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
PRX-7   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT MY WAY         (velazquez al)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of JUST PARKER by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  LOVEMEAKAREN         (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 15.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of LURE OF THE SEA by SEA THE STARS)
3  RONS GONE WRONG         (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ONE SMART PHILLY by SMARTY JONES)
4  SWEETENTHEDEAL         (dimitriou h)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of SWEET LITTLE LIES by DISCREET CAT)
5  STRAND ROAD Nov02 Jul24       (catalano l)MOYA F 122 4.00    
  (by ASTERN out of SOUL OPPOSITION by THUNDER GULCH)
6  COJELO PA TI Nov29 Nov02 Oct14     (martinez alex)OCASIO M 122 10.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SWEETHEART LADY by OVERDRIVEN)
7  MARVELOUS MO Nov04         (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 122 10.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of RISK CONTROL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  LET'SMAKEITADOUBLE         (coletti edward)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of MARY BERNICE by BERNARDINI)
9  CENTAUR CENTRAL Nov25 Nov04 Oct07 Sep21   (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of KEEPNHERINTHEDARK by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
PRX-8   12/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS RAUCUS Sep21 Sep09 Jul22     (vega richard)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of MONKTON MISS by OUT OF PLACE)
2  SHE'S JUSTIFIED Nov20         (lake a)RUIZ ELISEO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of SHE'S CHUBS by ALBERT THE GREAT)
3  QUERCUS Nov27 Nov14 Oct23     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BELLFLOWER by CHEROKEE RUN)
4  ADDIEADDIEBOBADDIE         (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00 ★    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BRILLIANT SUNSHINE by SMARTY JONES)
5  BROWNEYEDVALENTINE Nov20         (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of STAY WEST by STAY THIRSTY)
6  QUEEN KHALEESI Nov14         (kravets)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLOWER STALL by PETIONVILLE)
7  LAUGH LIKE LUCY         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 4.00 ★    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of OVERBOARD by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
PRX-9   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERMOSO HOMBRE Nov06 Oct19 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00    
2  JUST STEP ON IT Sep21 Aug24 Jul20 Jun24 May22 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 4.00    
3  IN SPADES Nov19 Oct21 Sep25 Aug26 Jul15 (dunn fel)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 44% 1.30    
4  DROPLINE Dec02 Nov11 Jun11 May01 Mar25 (mosco robert)ADORNO ABNER 119 8.00    
5  JASPER'S PRIDE Nov19 Oct04 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 (spina c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 4.50    
SCR  CHECK MY SIX Nov13 Oct30 Sep25 Aug26 Jul23 (pino michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
7  YES SIR COLONEL Dec04 Nov26 Oct30 Sep30 Sep02 (betancourt eli)ROSADO JOHAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  IT'S GAME TIME Nov19 Oct28 Oct07 Aug28 Aug08 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
9  DIVINE ARMOR Nov13 Oct29 Jul20 Jun26 May25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00 8% 11.20    
 
PRX-10   12/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WYNN GIANT Dec04 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 (tapsas ilias)MOYA F 125 6.00    
2  COPPERHEAD CREEK Nov26 Oct30 Oct14 Sep30 Aug28 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.50    
3  SAILOR'S RETURN Dec04 Oct29 Oct22 Oct01 Sep17 (serey juan)OCASIO M 125 12.00    
SCR  GRAND PICK Nov25 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 Sep04 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
5  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 Oct22 Oct07 (tapsas ilias)ORTIZ JOSHUA 115 20.00    
6  HIDDEN PROMISE Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 Sep18 Aug27 (martin)GONZALEZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC ROMP Nov20 Oct21 Oct07 Sep02 Aug23 (pino v)RUIZ ELISEO 122 5.00    
8  WINGED FOOT Nov26 Oct25 Oct09 Sep18 Sep05 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.00 ★    
9  SUPER JOHN Oct29 Oct02 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 (perez flores)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
10  CHIP'S FRIEND Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 Sep09 (caban carlos )RIVERA D 122 12.00    
11  MIDNIGHT ACT Nov25 Oct29 Oct01 Sep11 Aug20 (gonzalez-)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
12  TITLE SHOT Dec04 Nov26 Nov13 Oct29 Oct22 (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 122 15.00    
13  JO JO KATZ Dec10 Nov25 Oct28 Oct04 Aug23 (hogan j)ESCOBAR E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
14  ZAP MOTION Nov25 Oct30 Apr05 Mar09 Feb11 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 5.00 68% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.