Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/3)-(2/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/3)-(2/8/7/4)-(3/5/7/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/4)-(2/8/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/4)-(2/8/5/7/4)-(2/8/5/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/7/4)-(3/5/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/4)-(3/5/7/9)-(3/1/8/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/5/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/9)-(3/5/7/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/9)-(3/5/7/9/10)-(3/5/7/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/7/9)-(3/1/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/9)-(3/1/8/2)-(9/8/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/2)-(9/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/2)-(9/8/3/2)-(4/7/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/3/2)-(9/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/3/2)-(9/8/3/2)-(9/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/3/2)-(4/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/3/2)-(4/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/2)-(10/6/4/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/2)-(10/6/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/2)-(10/6/4/2)-(3/5/7/4/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/4/2)-(10/6/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/4/2)-(10/6/4/2/5)-(10/6/4/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/4/2)-(3/5/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (3/5/7/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/4/9)-(3/5/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/4/9)-(3/5/7/4/9)-(3/5/7/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLE BE THERE Nov10 Oct16 Oct05 Aug24 Aug10 (axmaker w)MAWING A 122 2.00 13% 6.40    
2  SHAMELESS VISIONS Oct24 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 Jun08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  BIT OF BLESSINGS Nov20 Oct31 Oct16 Sep19 Sep09 (collins tim)LEWIS M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOLD DEM Nov13 Nov02 Oct18 Oct05 Sep14 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
5  DANZIG TOO Oct31 Oct24 Oct11     (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
6  JUNE BELLE Nov13 Oct24 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (tobin e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50 39% 1.50    
7  SWISS HORIZON Nov20 Oct31 Oct18 Jul26 Jul05 (pyke joseph)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
8  FLATTERING WAY Nov13 Oct24 Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 6.00    
 
CT-2   12/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BUDDY DUANE Nov27 Nov16 Oct26 Oct10 Sep13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00    
2  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Nov21 Oct25 Aug09 Jul25 May16 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 117 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  ONE CANDY CASTLE Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Sep21 Aug15 (bass w)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
4  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Nov21 Nov04 Oct21 Oct09 Sep22 (bourne j)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAYENNE CREEK Nov21 Nov01 Oct10 Aug16 Jul27 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 120 4.50 ★    
6  AUBURN MILL Nov21 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Aug17 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
7  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Nov27 Nov06 Oct17 Sep26 Sep03 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  HERO'S MAN Nov21 Oct31 Oct10 Aug16 Jun27 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
9  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Nov29 Nov06 Oct17 Jul26 May31 (straugh)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
10  HAPPY YEARS Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 Sep27 Sep20 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
SCR  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Aug24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
SCR  SARGENT KOBE Nov30 Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50    
 
CT-3   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY MAC Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 (sigler ron)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
2  ALICE'S MOON Nov20 Oct12 Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
3  MACNICK TIME Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep20 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 43% 1.40    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CHARITABLE TIME by CHARITABLE MAN)
4  PISTOL PENNY Nov02 Oct24 Oct04     (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
5  GOOD HOLIDAY         (craig armon)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISSION TRUE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  GOLDEN PLUNGE Nov20 Oct24       (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
7  BUTTERFLY EFFECT         (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MICHAELS BUTTERFLY by JUMP START)
8  KEEP SHINING ON US Nov20 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
9  SARONIC BAY         (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
  (by BULLSBAY out of RUSHLYNS TRIBUTE by FORESTRY)
10  SAUCY BOSS Nov20 Nov06       (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 122 4.50 ★    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
 
CT-4   12/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANTERN'S CANDY Nov29 Nov08 Oct05 Aug28 Jul27 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
2  LACE REVOLUTION Nov29 Nov09 Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 (shanley m)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRUE BLUE PEARL May16 Apr19 Mar20 Feb25 Jan25 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  SIX THE HARD WAY Nov30 Nov08 Oct12 Oct04 Sep12 (joy j)STANLEY O 120 15.00    
5  I CAN DO IT Nov16 Oct19 Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 2.50    
6  QUANTICO CREEK Nov30 Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 Aug09 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 6.00    
7  WATERLOO ROSE Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Jul12 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 120 5.00    
8  ABIDALE Sep27 May20 Mar12 Feb14 Jan24 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 120 20.00 14% 6.00    
 
CT-5   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONKEY WRENCH Nov16 Oct10 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
2  MALEKES MAGIC Nov14 Nov06 Oct26 Oct10 Sep13 (aylor n)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Nov16 Jul01 Jun01 May10 Apr26 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
4  GETTIN SPICY Nov27 Nov16 Sep21 Sep14 Aug24 (boykins kevi)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
5  DOG TOWN ALLEN Nov14 Oct26 Sep27 Sep13 Jul26 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
SCR  SAN SEBASTIAN Nov14 Nov02 Oct08 Sep25 Aug25 (rideout anthony )ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
7  LITTLE RICHIE Nov14 Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 Aug24 (gur bat)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00    
8  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Nov14 Oct26 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 1.80 24% 3.10    
9  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Nov16 Oct18 Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
CT-6   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY FLY AWAY Nov27 Nov15 Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 (garber )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLAW Nov22 Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Aug25 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
3  LOST WEEKEND Nov27 Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep01 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 120 15.00    
4  ARISTOCRATIC Oct17 Sep08 Aug24 Jun16 May09 (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
5  WHERE IS MIKE Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  HEADS OR TAILS Nov27 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug10 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 1.80    
7  STOMPING MOON Nov27 Oct22 Sep23 Sep01 Aug15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Nov14 Nov01 Oct19 Sep20 Sep05 (bailon he)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50    
 
CT-7   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTIN'S RAINBOW Nov15 Oct20 Aug29 Jul27 May11 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  COURT TUDOR Nov27 Nov02 Jul13 Jun22 May11 (kirlew lenworth)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NAY'S ONLY ONE Nov27 Oct25 Oct03     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 60% 0.70    
4  GOGO GADGET Nov27 Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 (calhoun amanda)CHILO MAXIMO 118 20.00    
5  TOWN HOT Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 Aug16 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
6  DENIZETTI Nov21 Nov09 Oct24 Oct11 Sep21 (ceciliano misae)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
7  SEA OF TRANQUILITY Nov27 Nov02 Jul13 Jun07 May17 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.80 11% 8.20    
 
CT-8   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE INDY Nov14 Oct01 Sep01 Aug15 Jul25 (sanderson wade)CHILO MAXIMO 124 20.00    
2  LUCKY BOP Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 Jun14 (craig e)HO WESLEY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GHEE FOR THE WIN Nov02 Sep28 Aug30 Jun27 Jun08 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 118 6.00    
4  XANTHE Aug16 Aug02 Jun22 Apr13 Mar22 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  IHEARTRAINACOMN Nov30 Nov21 Nov09 Oct19 Oct10 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00 ★    
6  PETTY PERFECT Nov20 Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80 26% 2.90    
7  CITY OF ARCHES Nov20 Nov01 Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00    
8  YES TO LOVE Nov22 Aug24 Aug17 Jul27 Jul16 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
9  AIM'S JUBILEE Nov23 Aug23 Aug03 Jul04 Jun22 (reggetts )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
10  WHAT'SHERNAME Nov21 Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 (cromer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
CT-9   12/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPI ON ICE Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 Sep30 Sep17 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
2  PRINCE OF PORTLAND Nov14 Sep15 Aug31 Aug16 Jun07 (aguirre)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50    
3  BIG SMILE Nov08 Oct03 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  HE ROLLS Nov14 Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 Jul27 (collyer jami)LEWIS M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DICEY GREY Dec04 Nov13 Oct10 Sep19 Aug23 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  HERE COMES RUSTY Oct25 Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 Jul11 (schottroffe)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
7  NICO LUCKY Oct29 Oct15 Oct03 Sep09 Aug22 (harting r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  TIMO Nov29 Nov08 Oct25 Sep25 Sep03 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
9  SCHMEAR Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May16 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  DISCREET DEVIL Dec04 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 Sep26 (rodriguez jesus)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
11  TWIST 'N TWIRL Nov28 Nov03 Oct12 Sep12 Aug29 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50    
SCR  JACK CLOUD Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 Aug24 (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
SCR  HAZEDNCONFUSED Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 Sep01 Jul20 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00    
SCR  BURTON WAY Nov14 Oct03 Sep13 Jul20 Jul04 (jones michae)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.