Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Saturday - November 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/3/7)-(5/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-2   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(5/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(5/6/7)-(6/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-3   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(6/4/2)-(2/6/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/6/5/7)-(4/2/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-5   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(4/2/9/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(4/2/9/1)-(2/8/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PLN-6   WIN (4/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/1)-(4/2/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/1)-(4/2/5/9/1)-(4/2/5/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (4/2/9/1)-(2/8/4/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/1)-(2/8/4/5)-(2/3/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PLN-7   WIN (2/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/4/5)-(2/3/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/5)-(2/3/5/1)-(7/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-8   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(7/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PLN-9   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-1   11/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE THE FOLD Nov23 Oct11 Sep14 Sep18 Aug28 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
IRISH SONG LEADER Nov08 Sep07 Aug17 Apr15 Mar24 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 125 15.00 20% 4.00    
AFTER MY OWN HEART Nov08 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Aug02 (becerra perez)FLORES P 125 1.80    
C HER BEAUTY Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Sep13 Aug18 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
TIZTHEHARTOFDIXIE Nov08 Oct19 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 (mcdonald)BAUTISTA L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
IN WITHOUT KNOCKIN Nov01 Oct20 Sep14 Aug02 Jul07 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00    
 
PLN-2   11/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA POPIS Nov10 Oct25 Oct14 Sep30 Sep08 (gabri)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 6.00    
STANDFORGRIT Oct27 Sep07 Aug23 Aug11 Jul14 (hansen roge)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 20.00    
THE GREAT HAYNES Nov10 Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug10 (greiner gary)ALVARADO T 125 2.00 17% 4.90    
CLAY'S OPAL INDY Nov23 Nov10 Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 6.00    
MADAME GAZELLE Oct25 Oct07 Sep22 Sep02 Aug25 (rodriguez )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.50 59% 0.70    
STATEFOREST Nov03 Oct27 Oct11 Aug10 Jul04 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.50    
LITTLE LILIANA Nov10 Oct20 Sep28 Aug11 Jul27 (guillen )BAUTISTA L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-3   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMANTARI Oct25 Sep29 Jul28 Aug27 Jul29 (bonde jeff)ALVARADO T 121 6.00    
SCR  QUEEN MOLOTOV Oct25 Sep01 Aug09 Jun14 Apr26 (thomas jamey)HERRERA HUGO 121 4.00    
CRYSTAL PROOF Sep30 Jul30 Jun24 May19 May07 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 121 4.00    
SCR  BOURBON GLAZE Nov23 Oct25 Sep15 Aug11 Jul06 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 15.00    
MORNING ADDICTION Nov01 Sep15 Aug22 Jul27 May05 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
A ROUSING BABE Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug16 Jul27 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
HONORABLE GAL Oct25 Aug16 Jul06 Jun14 May27 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
PLN-4   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRANGE ADDICTION Nov09 Oct20 Sep05 Aug16 Jul28 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00    
ELEGANT SWAY Oct20 Sep29 Aug09 Jul04 Jun14 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 10.00 15% 5.70    
SMILE BABY SMILE Oct27 Oct04 Sep08 Aug15 Jul28 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 15.00    
CLARINA Nov09 Oct20 Sep15 Aug16 Jul06 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 123 5.00 17% 5.00    
VICTORIA'S CHARGE Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 Aug25 Aug04 (mark)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 4.50    
ATTRACTED Nov02         (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 0.60 42% 1.40    
 
PLN-5   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK ABOUT AUTISM Nov10 Mar24 Jun30 Apr07 Mar17 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 121 12.00    
SIR GREYSON Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 Aug10 Jun09 (guillen isauro)HERRERA HUGO 123 0.40 53% 0.90    
FIFTY CINCO Oct04 Sep07 Jul20 May19 Apr20 (river)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 6.00    
HOT CHICKS ONLY Nov10 Oct06 Aug25 Jul28 Jun30 (thomas jam)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
IRREFUTABLE Nov02 Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 Aug11 (lenzini )BAUTISTA L 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
WAR GAMES Sep29 Jun09 Apr13 Mar24 Mar01 (delima clifford)DURAN F 121 12.00 21% 3.80    
HEY MATE Nov02 Oct11 Sep18 Aug12 Jul09 (p)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-6   11/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER'S BENCHMARK Nov09 Nov02 Oct19 Oct04 Sep09 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
ONE BIG SMILE Nov02 Aug02 Feb25 Dec26 Nov24 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
SENOR FEDERICO Nov01 Oct05 Sep13 Aug17   (preciado guillermo)FLORES P 123 30.00    
GETEMDUSTY Nov02 Oct19 Sep20 Sep02 Jul05 (miyadi stev)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 1.20 49% 1.00    
TIGERSUN Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 Aug02 Feb23 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 123 5.00    
GALLOPING MAJOR Oct12 Sep22 Aug24 Aug02 Jun30 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
GALLO DEL CIELO Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 Aug16 (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00    
RED SVEN Nov02         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 123 12.00    
MENDONSA Nov09 Feb02 Dec29 Dec10   (koch a)HERRERA HUGO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-7   11/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT JOURNEY Nov15 Sep29 Aug25 Aug03 Jul04 (maravilla jorg)ALVARADO T 125 12.00    
LUCKY LAD Mar29 Mar01 Nov03 Oct08 Jul23 (g)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  ROCKET RIBBON Nov24 Nov01 Oct19 Feb16 Jan20 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 8.00    
BOBBY ANTON Nov10 Oct19 Sep22 Aug04   (taylor fai)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 13% 6.60    
SUMMANUS Nov15 Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 (perez s)HERRERA HUGO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
I'M DR. O Nov01 Sep28 Aug11 Jun30 Sep23 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 6.00    
TIGER ATTACK Nov15 Oct14 Apr14 Feb23 Feb02 (greiner gar)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 30.00    
ALTRUIST Nov01 Aug04 Jun23 Jun01 Mar23 (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.00 23% 3.30    
GOOD FOCUS Nov15 Sep29 Sep01 Aug09 Jul28 (gilmo)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 30.00    
 
PLN-8   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Livermore Valley Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE WILDCAT Mar10 Feb18 Jan01 Dec09 Nov11 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 20.00 6% 16.10    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LOST IN LEXINGTON by OLD TRIESTE)
GRAND SLAM SMILE Oct12 Aug31 Jul26 May25 Jan13 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ROYAL GRAND SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
CHANCERY WAY Jul20 Jun15 Mar17 Jan13 Dec09 (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 1.40 22% 3.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
SMILING MOLLY Nov08 Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of JILTED LADY by EXCHANGE RATE)
DULY NOTED Nov09 Oct06 Dec26     (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of FRAGRANT HARBOR by HARBOR THE GOLD)
SMILING LADY Nov17 Aug29 Aug01 Jun22 May25 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BANNER ELK LADY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
IRISH WAHINE Nov10 Oct05 Aug25 Aug15 Jul06 (barocio li)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of IRISH WINNIE by BROKEN VOW)
ROUSING JEWEL Nov08 May04 Mar10 Jul02 Jun11 (specht steve)RIVERA SANTOS 121 20.00    
  (by ROUSING SERMON out of RIBBON OF JEWELS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
PLN-9   11/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED RAJ Nov02 Sep22 Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 4.00    
BEGIN AGAIN Nov02 Oct19 Sep22 Aug16 Aug02 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00 25% 3.00    
CRAZY STORM Nov02 Oct12 Sep08 Aug25 Aug08 (gilmour jim)COUTON JULIEN 123 30.00    
BEAR ENCOUNTER Nov16 Oct19 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 20.00    
DORADUS Nov16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 (ramirez miguel)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
BRUISER Nov16 Oct19 Aug16 Jul28   (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
LATER TAMARTATER Nov16 Nov03 Sep22 Aug17 Jul07 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 1.60 47% 1.10    
WHATAFOOLBELIEVES Nov16 Oct19 Jul20     (j)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.