Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - November 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/3/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/4)-(2/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/4)-(2/3/7/8)-(5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/8)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/8)-(5/3/2)-(5/7/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/7/2/6)-(2/1/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/6)-(2/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/6)-(2/1/8/6)-(1/5/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/6)-(1/5/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/6)-(1/5/8/4)-(3/1/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4/6)-(1/5/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/8/4)-(3/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUP'S TO TAKE Oct24 Sep27 Aug24 Jul19 Jul11 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
SHOOT THE BREEZE Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 Sep02 Aug24 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 1.40 69% 0.40    
Y'ZIN UP Oct08 Sep25 Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 (viands grego)LEWIS M 115 5.00    
SEA OF TRANQUILITY Jul13 Jun07 May17 Apr25 Mar21 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
IT'S ONLY MONEY Sep25 Aug07 Jul03 Jun21 May19 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
COURT TUDOR Jul13 Jun22 May11 Apr25 Apr05 (kirlew le)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 3.00    
SAN SEBASTIAN Oct08 Sep25 Aug25 Jul09 Jul01 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   11/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSAPRINCESSPARTY Oct11         (grigsby)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of JUSTTENCENTSADANCE by DISCO RICO)
LIL MISS HONKYTONK         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of COWGIRL CUT by JUMP START)
HOLD DEM Oct18 Oct05 Sep14 Aug16 Aug05 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 114 20.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of GIMMEDAPURSE by MASS MEDIA)
BARAPHA Oct11 Sep21 Aug23     (conn linda )CESPEDES JHORMA 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GANDHI out of SNOW RITE by SNOW RIDGE)
I'M FLYING UP Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 Mar20   (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 121 2.00    
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of ATHENA IN FLIGHT by BERNSTEIN)
GOLDEN CIRCLES         (lewis r)LARROSA G 121 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
COUNT THE FLOWERS Oct24 Oct11 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-3   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINEOLA MIKE Sep11 Aug28 Jul25 May04 Mar22 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 5.00    
SHARP SHOT Sep20 Jul10 Jun13 May06 Apr12 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
MON GATEAU Oct26 Oct03 Sep12 Sep01 Aug15 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 11% 8.40    
YO NESSROUNDONKERN Oct11 Sep25 Aug15 Jul26 Jul01 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
SCR  TAPIO (IRE) Oct10 Sep21 Aug22 May25 May04 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
Z U AT THE RACES Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 May19 (binning matt)LEWIS M 117 6.00    
BONNIE BILL Sep21 Aug17 Jul27 Jun14 May18 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Oct11 Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Aug17 (ramirez jos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   11/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL LUCERITO Sep27 Aug17 Jun15 May17 Apr26 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
HOPPING HENRY Sep13 Aug27 Aug03 Jul04 Jun20 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PENGUIN POWER Oct12 Aug23 Jul12 Jun15 May25 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50 19% 4.40    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Oct12 Aug23 Jun27 Jun15 Mar21 (dollinger-s)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 6.00    
DUNCAN IDAHO Oct12 Aug23 Jun15 May25 Apr11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 57% 0.80    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Oct12 Sep13 Aug23 Jul19 Jun27 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
 
CT-5   11/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIZE FIGHTER Oct24 Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 (shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
HEIR PORT Sep21 Aug25 Jul18 May27 May04 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
LAZARETTO Oct20 Oct11 Sep01 Aug20 Jul17 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
JAZZ MAN DO Oct17 Jul27 Jul06 Mar01 Feb09 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 50.00    
EMPEROROFTHEDARK Oct11 Sep21 Sep11 Aug04 Jul15 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 2.00 33% 2.10    
CLAW Oct11 Sep21 Aug25 Aug17 Jul26 (maldona)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
COWBOY AT HEART Jun08 May11 Apr20 Mar06 Feb09 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
CAJUN FUN Mar27 Feb21 Jan27 Jan05 Dec02 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
 
CT-6   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE'S GIRL Oct12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun01 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
DIRECT THE CAT Oct12 Jul27 Jul04 Jun20 Nov04 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 0.60 38% 1.70    
SCR  BARBERS POINT Oct12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Oct19 Oct03 Aug23 Jul20 Jul13 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 50.00    
AZZURRA Jul13 Jun22 May04 Apr13 Mar08 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00    
MOONLIT SHADOW Oct12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 May25 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALPINE MOON Oct12 Aug23 Aug03 Jul04 Jun13 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
GREAT SPIRIT Oct12 Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 Jun20 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 15% 5.70    
 
CT-7   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST James Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAKONISSA Oct12 Sep20 Aug31 Aug03 Jul18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.40 59% 0.70    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of FLORID by LEMON DROP KID)
POPPY MAC Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 Jun28 (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 121 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
PISTOL PENNY Oct24 Oct04       (wilhelm tabi)LEWIS M 121 50.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
BOSS LADY K P Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
ZIP START Oct12 Sep12 Aug15     (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 121 3.50 11% 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
OVER THE BULL Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 Jun28   (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 121 4.50    
  (by BULLSBAY out of OVER YOU by OVERANALYZE)
JUBA B WILD Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
SUMMON THE GLAM Oct12 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 121 4.00 7% 13.70    
  (by JUBA out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
MACNICK TIME Oct24 Oct05 Sep20 Sep13   (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 20.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CHARITABLE TIME by CHARITABLE MAN)
 
CT-8   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE IS MIKE Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug17 May29 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00 14% 6.00    
MASAI MAN Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 Jul26 May03 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 117 12.00 9% 9.90    
SILVER MOON ROAD Oct11 Sep20 Jun11 May16 Apr17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Sep02 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May02 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
JAZZ WITH DENIS Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 Aug10 Jul05 (murdock ste)ROBLES O 117 1.80    
BODYSLAM Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 Aug03 Jun21 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 124 3.50    
CHROME HEIR Oct11 Sep04 Jun12 May22 Apr25 (pickett cry)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 30.00    
REY O REYES Oct11 Aug16 Jul06 Jun08 Apr13 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 120 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.