Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - October 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(3/4)-(2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/5)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5/4/1)-(7/8/10/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(7/8/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(7/8/10/3)-(1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/3)-(7/8/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/3)-(7/8/10/3)-(7/8/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/10/3)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/10/3)-(1/5/3)-(6/4/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/4/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/4/3/10)-(7/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-7   WIN (6/4/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/10)-(6/4/1/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/10)-(6/4/1/3/10)-(6/4/1/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/3/10)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/10)-(7/3/1)-(2/5/8/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-8   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(2/5/8/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(2/5/8/9/6)-(6/2/4/1/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SA-9   WIN (2/5/8/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/9/6)-(2/5/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/9/6)-(2/5/8/9/6)-(2/5/8/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/8/9/6)-(6/2/4/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
SA-10   WIN (6/2/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/1/3)-(6/2/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/1/3)-(6/2/4/1/3)-(6/2/4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   10/27/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHT BACK Sep27 Aug24 Jul28 Jun07   (callaghan sim)FRESU ANTONIO 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
TOPPERS WAGER Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 Jul07 Jun13 (polanco marc)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
IT'S MY WORLD Aug08 Jun07 Mar24     (powell leo)ORANTES R 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SWEET BOSS by STREET BOSS)
BLAME THE CLASSIC Sep27 Aug24 Jul28 Jun07 Apr27 (galvin w)ESPINOZA V 121 1.20 32% 2.20    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BLAME HENNY by BLAME)
MISS WILL Sep06 Aug08 Jun15 May04 Feb16 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 1.60    
  (by GRAZEN out of ATHINA LEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
SA-2   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPOSSIBLE TASK Oct11 Sep08 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 (rheinford m)AGUILAR ARMANDO 123 3.50    
SCR  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS Sep05 Aug08 Jun15 May24 Mar22 (miller pet)ORANTES R 118 1.20    
GRANADA FLAVOR Sep02 Jul25 Jun23 Jun01 May10 (miller peter)BAZE C 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
TOM AND JAZZY Oct19 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 May31 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 10.00 28% 2.60    
DOS VICIOS Aug17 Jun23 Oct27 Oct09 Aug10 (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 123 5.00    
 
SA-3   10/27/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE REFLECTION Sep28 Sep07 Jul21 Oct29 Sep30 (papaprodromou)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
FORBIDDEN KINGDOM Apr27 Dec30 May27 Mar11 Dec26 (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
UNCONQUERABLE KEEN (IRE) Aug31 Aug02 Jun16 Dec02 Oct20 (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 1.40    
TURN ON THE JETS (IRE) Aug31 Jun16 Dec30 Dec02 Oct20 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
IRIDEO (ARG) Oct14 Aug31 Jul21 May27 Apr04 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-4   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH CRUISEIN         (headley ka)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 12.00 8% 10.80    
  (by GIRVIN out of SMOOTH COOKIE by IN SUMMATION)
MELLENCAMP         (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMERICAN MODEL by BAYERN)
LEGITIMATE Oct05 Aug18 Jul27     (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 122 5.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of AZARA by MORE THAN READY)
JOURNALISM         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by CURLIN out of MOPOTISM by UNCLE MO)
TOUGHNESS         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.40 45% 1.20    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of HARDCORE by HARD SPUN)
 
SA-5   10/27/2024 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTY FOUR COUPE Jan14 Nov19 Nov02 Sep29 Aug24 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 10.00    
GREAT KING (FR) Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Oct19 Sep09 (callaghan )HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
EDDIE'S LAST Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 Jul20 Jun15 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN Sep29 Aug23 Aug10 Jul28 Jun16 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.50    
SCR  HACKING IT UP Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug03 Jun16 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00    
JETOVATOR Sep29 Jul28 Apr19 Mar01 Jan26 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
GIVE ME THE LUTE Sep29 Aug29 Jul28 Jun13 May12 (lopez l)BAZE C 122 10.00 14% 6.20    
FORGIVING SPIRIT Aug24 Aug10 May27 Apr27 Mar24 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.50    
10  COMMANDER (FR) Sep29 Aug29 Jul28 Jun03 Apr23 (palma )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SMOKEM EZ Sep22 Sep06 Aug17 Jul07 Jun08 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-6   10/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIPRIANI         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 0.40 48% 1.10    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SALAMERA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
YAANI Sep27         (callaghan simon)SMITH E 120 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ARBANNE by MIDSHIPMAN)
GEMADINI Aug31         (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CARADINI by BERNARDINI)
THIS NAME'S TAKEN Sep08         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of REALLY PROUD by KITTEN'S JOY)
AMERICAN BLESSING         (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LIFE'S BLESSINGS by TAPIT)
 
SA-7   10/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Autumn Miss Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZONA VERDE (IRE) Sep28 Aug17 Jul20 Apr07 Mar10 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
  (by CALYX out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ASEAN (IRE) Nov03         (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WINE ON TAP Aug04 Oct06 Aug20 Jul13 Jun18 (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS LA QUINTA by QUALITY ROAD)
TAHINI Sep02 Aug11 May18 Apr06 Mar15 (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 120 10.00 30% 2.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MORE FUN AGAIN by ARCH)
SCR  MIXOLOGIST Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 Jun09   (mandella richard )SMITH E 120 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of MASQUERADE by PIRATE'S BOUNTY)
MEDORO Aug17 Jul20 Apr20 Mar10 Dec29 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.60 43% 1.40    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ACHIRA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
TIARAQUEEN (GB) Sep29 Sep02       (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 120 30.00    
  (by KINGMAN out of TIRANIA by HIGHEST HONOR (FR))
SNEAKER Sep29 Sep02 Aug18 May25 Apr27 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LIME BEACH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CIRCLE OF TRUST Aug17 Jun01 Apr20 Mar15 Jan20 (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
10  WATCHTOWER (IRE) Sep29 Sep02 Apr06 Jan20 Oct20 (baltas rich)HERRERA A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ZLOTY by POLISH NUMBERS)
SCR  ESPRIT ENCHANTE Sep02 Aug11 Jul20 Jun13 Nov03 (miller peter)BAZE C 120 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of ENCHANTED GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
12  SEA DANCER Sep28 Aug17 Jul20 Jun01 Mar24 (yakteen tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 30.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
 
SA-8   10/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVIATT CLASS May27 Apr11 Mar08 Dec31 Nov11 (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00 18% 4.50    
MANITOWISH Sep21 Sep13 Aug10 Dec26 Dec10 (valenzuela ma)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
ROLL ON BIG JOE Sep29 Sep06 May24 Mar23 Mar29 (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
MOOSE MITCHELL Aug24 May25 Mar14 Jan13 Nov18 (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00    
SCR  PILOT COMMANDER Oct05 Sep07 Jan06 Nov11   (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 0.80    
MBAGNICK (CHI) Sep29 Mar30 Mar09 Dec23 Dec08 (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 124 30.00    
FORT BRAGG Sep29 Dec26 Nov17 Sep30 Aug26 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
SA-9   10/27/2024 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON SUSHI Sep29 Sep01 Aug15 Aug04 Jun15 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
CHICK'S DIG IT Sep29 Aug25 Aug09 Jun30 Jun09 (wallace jer)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 15.00    
TOUCHDOWN BROWN Oct06 Sep07 Aug18 Jul21 Mar26 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 4.50    
SUPERNAL Sep29 Aug25 Aug04 Jun28 Jun08 (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
YO TIME Aug31 Aug04 Jun23 Nov17 Feb03 (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
STAY ON THE FENCE Sep21 Aug02 May25 May11 Apr06 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 30.00    
KNOWN IDEA Sep15 Aug15 May31 Apr28 Apr06 (sadler w)BAZE C 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
DOUBLE JAB Sep29 Aug25 Aug04 Dec29 Nov18 (mathis andy)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
10  LORD TRIPPING Oct14 Aug31 Aug03 Jun02 Nov19 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 20.00    
11  AFTERNOON NAP Oct04 Aug25       (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
12  CHROMEFLASH Sep20 Aug15 Jul28 Aug13 Jul22 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 119 20.00    
13  TRAVELIN' SHOW Sep01 May31 Apr20 Feb25 Feb11 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 12.00    
SCR  REFOCUS Sep29 Sep01 Aug24 Aug15 May31 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 15.00    
SCR  SPECIAL CLUB Oct18 Sep27 Sep01 Jun08 May24 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-10   10/27/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCORD BRIDGE Sep29 Aug22 Oct15 Sep09   (sadler w)BAZE C 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PAULINE REVERE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MONEY MAKES MONEY Jan06 Nov23       (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of I DARE U EM by LUNARPAL)
WESTERN AVENUE Sep29 Sep08 Jul05     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of RANDIE'S LEGEND by BENCHMARK)
SANTARENA Sep29 Aug23 Jul20 May27 Apr26 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 121 6.00 15% 5.90    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CATCH MY FANCY by YES IT'S TRUE)
CALL SIGN SEVEN         (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AWESOME MARCHESA by AWESOME AGAIN)
FINAL EDITION (IRE) Jun15 May03       (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOST GIFTED by WAR FRONT)
HURRICANE WAY Sep29 Aug23 Jul25 Jun07 May04 (blacke)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EVENING WIND by CURLIN)
RUNNING SPARTAN Sep28 Aug23 Jul26 Jul04   (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of WOODSBORO by CONGRATS)
IRISH ROSE Oct06 Sep08 Jul05 Jun09 Apr27 (drysdale neil)SMITH E 121 15.00    
  (by IRISH SURF out of LILIES AND ROSES by SUPER SAVER)
10  BRAVE BLEND Oct12 Sep28 Aug31 Jul20   (blacker daniel)FREY KYLE 121 30.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ULTIMATE BLEND by TIZNOW)
11  MARDY'S FISH Jan20         (damato phil)HERRERA A 121 20.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SILVERPOCKETSFULL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.