Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Pleasanton
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PLN-1   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(1/5/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/4)-(1/5/2/3)-(2/6/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PLN-2   WIN (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/2/3)-(2/6/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/3)-(2/6/4/1)-(5/4/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PLN-3   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/4/1)-(5/4/6/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/1)-(5/4/6/3)-(9/1/6/3/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PLN-4   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/6/3)-(9/1/6/3/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/3)-(9/1/6/3/10)-(5/6/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PLN-5   WIN (9/1/6/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/3/10)-(9/1/6/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/3/10)-(9/1/6/3/10)-(9/1/6/3/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (9/1/6/3/10)-(5/6/8/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/3/10)-(5/6/8/1)-(1/3/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PLN-6   WIN (5/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/8/1)-(1/3/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/1)-(1/3/6/5)-(2/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-7   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/6/5)-(2/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/5)-(2/6/7)-(7/2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-8   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PLN-9   WIN (7/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/9/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/9/4/5)-(7/2/9/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PLN-1   10/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN BABA RUN         (mccanna t)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
2  HE'S TRUE BLUE Sep22 Aug02 Jun22     (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 12.00    
3  TEMPTING PROSPECT Sep22 Aug02 Jun16     (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00 13% 6.80    
4  BRUISER Aug16 Jul28       (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEGIN AGAIN Sep22 Aug16 Aug02 Jul04 May26 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  KOBE W Sep06 May11 Apr16 Aug27   (o)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 2.00    
7  UPLIFT Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Aug04 Jul07 (ledezma se)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 3.50    
 
PLN-2   10/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCLAIMED PREACHER Sep14 Jul28 Jun14 Apr26 Mar29 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
2  TIZTHEHARTOFDIXIE Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUSIE CRU Sep22 Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 May27 (meier r)COUTON JULIEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  VIOLET THUNDER Sep14 Jun29 Jun15 May18 Apr05 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00    
5  C HER BEAUTY Oct04 Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 Mar22 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  SPREAD THE RISK Aug15 Jun28 May26 Apr28 Feb18 (ramirez mig)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 6.00    
7  HANG ON Oct04 Sep01 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 (rond)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 8.00    
 
PLN-3   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. FIGHTER Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 Apr20 Apr07 (johns)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HARCYN Sep22 Apr29 Mar31 Feb11 Jan16 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 0.80 60% 0.70    
3  LAST BABY Sep21 Aug25 Aug09 Jun23 Jun14 (stortz marcia)DURAN F 123 15.00    
4  PARTY WITH PADDY Sep29 Aug17 Jul28 Jun08 May11 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUMMANUS Oct05 Sep21 Sep14 Aug24 Aug11 (perez s)ALVARADO T 125 5.00    
6  ROCKET RIBBON Feb16 Jan20 Dec30 Dec02 Nov03 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 4.50 9% 10.70    
7  BERTACCHI Sep28 Aug17 Jul06 Jun22 Jun07 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 6.00    
 
PLN-4   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK LOVES ANN Sep13 Jul28 Jun28 Jun07   (ruva)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.00    
2  ELEGANT BOY Oct11 Sep22 Aug17 Aug10 Jul26 (perez s)ALVARADO T 123 5.00    
3  ROLLIN DICE Aug17 Jul06 Jun22 May27 Apr20 (wright blaine)DURAN F 123 8.00 6% 16.70    
4  BLUEGRASS GO GO Oct11 Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 May27 (wright b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  MAJESTIC COTTON Sep13 Jul14 Jun28 May26 Jul23 (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  SHAUN'S JAZZ Sep22 Nov12 Oct28     (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 5.00 13% 7.00    
7  ST BOADIN Aug04 Jun29 Jun07 May26 Sep17 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 15.00    
 
PLN-5   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY ANTON Sep22 Aug04       (taylor fai)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  BEAR ENCOUNTER Aug16 Jul26 Jul06     (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 12.00    
3  HANK WILLIAMS Sep22 Aug17 Jul28     (miyadi s)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RIVER'S BENCHMARK Oct04 Sep09 Aug26 Jul07 Jun23 (ruvalcaba a)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 3.00    
5  MOOLA MAN Sep22 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21   (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
6  TIGERSUN Oct04 Aug02 Feb23     (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHATAFOOLBELIEVES Jul20         (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 15.00    
SCR  GALLO DEL CIELO Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 Aug16 Dec26 (preciado)AMADOR RUIZ 125 20.00    
9  GETEMDUSTY Sep20 Sep02 Jul05 Jun23 May18 (miya)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
10  UPDRAFT Sep22 Aug04 Jul20 Jun22 Apr28 (bauti)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-6   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATANTA Oct06 Sep13 Aug23 Aug11 Jul21 (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  NORTH COUNTRY Sep13 May05 Apr07 Mar15 Feb25 (badilla manue)SANGUINETTI A 125 15.00    
3  CLEVER CLOVER Sep13 Aug02 Jul06 Jun01 May12 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 8.00    
SCR  BLAZING PEME Sep13 Jul26 Jul04     (delima cliff)OROZCO E 125 20.00    
5  MELANIE'S TIGER Sep29 Jun08 May12 Apr20 Feb02 (badilla man)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  GRUBAUER Sep13 Apr21 Mar31     (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  MIO BAMBINO Sep08 Aug02 Jul04     (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
8  REGAL PATRIOT Sep13 Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (torres arnold )ALVARADO T 127 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  LORD PRANCEALOT Mar22 Oct07 Sep08 Aug11 Jul29 (bonde je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.00    
 
PLN-7   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINEAPPLE JUICE Sep13 Aug31 Oct23 Sep24 Sep02 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  EASTER TRIBUTE Sep22 Sep17 Apr14 Jan16 Nov20 (specht stev)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00    
3  BARRISTER PROOF Sep28 Sep07 Jul13 Jun15   (gilmo)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 12.00 31% 2.20    
4  VERITAS AEQUITAS Aug04 Jun21 Apr26 Mar29 Mar03 (mark)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 10.00    
5  ADIOS NICANOR Aug17 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 May05 (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NO D'ORO Sep13 Aug04 Jul06     (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  DANZING REBEL Sep15 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May05 (delima cliff)OROZCO E 125 3.00    
SCR  NOT MY RODEO Sep28 Jul21 Jun21 May26 Apr07 (delima clif)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00    
9  LIGHT THE BEAM Sep29 Apr20 Mar22 Feb10 Jan12 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 5.00    
 
PLN-8   10/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bart Heller Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANTHONYS CLEOPATRA Oct05 Jan14 Dec10 Sep17 Sep03 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 121 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LUXOR LADY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  BREVE Sep15 Aug11 Jun29 Jan15 Dec26 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ARTFULLY by RIGHT CON)
3  JESSEBEAR Sep20 Aug24 Jul28 May31 Mar15 (ordonez aggie)COUTON JULIEN 121 6.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of CAGEY GIRL by CROWD PLEASER)
4  VULIN Sep07 Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 Jun21 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 121 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MYSTRA by LEMON DROP KID)
5  INDY'S STAR Sep21 Aug18 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 (powell leo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of PROMENADE STAR by HAYNESFIELD)
6  ARCTIC BREEZE Sep14 Jul14 Jun15 May12 Mar03 (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of SWEATER WEATHER by MILWAUKEE BREW)
7  MARS MAGIC Sep07 Aug11 Apr20 Apr05 Mar17 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 119 12.00 12% 7.60    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of STAR FIELD by DECARCHY)
 
PLN-9   10/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZURE STAR (IRE) Oct04 Aug11 Jul05 Jun16 Apr13 (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 10.00    
2  BIG FLAME Oct05 Sep08 Aug23 Jul28 Jun22 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  GALLANT WARREN Oct04 Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 May26 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 125 15.00    
4  MONTANA Sep27 Sep08 Jul26 Jun16 May19 (rami)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WRONG DIRECTION Oct04 Aug18 Jul28 Jun07 May04 (rodriguez )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOVIETIME Aug17 Jul28 Jun08 Apr27 Mar23 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 6.00    
7  HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Sep21 Aug18 Aug09 Jul07 Jun23 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 125 3.50 42% 1.40    
8  PLAYBOY STYLE Oct04 Sep21 Jul27 Jun21 May26 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
9  SUNNY SPOT Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 May26 (greiner gar)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.