Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/5)-(2/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/6/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/5)-(2/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/5)-(2/6/1/3)-(5/3/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/3)-(5/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/3)-(5/3/2/1)-(5/7/3/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/1)-(5/7/3/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/1)-(5/7/3/10/8)-(5/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/7/3/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/10/8)-(5/7/3/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/10/8)-(5/7/3/10/8)-(5/7/3/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/3/10/8)-(5/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/10/8)-(5/2/1)-(4/6/9/5/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(4/6/9/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(4/6/9/5/3)-(2/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/6/9/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/5/3)-(4/6/9/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/5/3)-(4/6/9/5/3)-(4/6/9/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9/5/3)-(2/1)-(11/8/6/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
SA-8   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(11/8/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
SA-9   WIN (11/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/8/6/5)-(11/8/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/8/6/5)-(11/8/6/7/5)-(11/8/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/14/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIERGARTEN Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 May05 Nov26 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  CHAMPAGNE CAMIE Aug17 Aug01 Jun13 Jun01 Aug04 (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 28% 2.50    
3  WOODBINE WAY Aug17 Jul25 Jun22 May19 May04 (valenzuela )AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 12.00    
4  SONG OF SHADOWS Mar02 Feb03 Jan05 Nov24 Nov02 (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00 12% 7.20    
5  UR IN TROUBLE Aug25 Aug04 Jun29 May31 Apr28 (hanson ryan)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  INNER BEAUTY (IRE) Aug23 Jul26 May18 Apr21 Feb16 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 122 4.00    
7  A REAL JEWEL Sep02 Aug17 Jun07 May18 May14 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 4.50    
 
SA-2   10/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY NEA Sep20 Aug22 Jul27 Jun30 May10 (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 30.00    
2  RAPIDA Sep20 Aug03 Jul27 Jun30   (hanson ryan)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 1.20 41% 1.50    
3  SHE'S MY FLAME Sep20 Aug25 Jun30 Jun13 May31 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  WARRENS FIFI Jul26         (lewis a)FREY KYLE 120 4.50    
5  CELTICA Aug22         (periban jor)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUDS N SUDS Sep13 Aug16 Jul20 Jul06   (knapp steve)BAZE C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  EMPRESS LORRAYNE Aug25 Jul27       (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 6.00    
 
SA-3   10/14/2024 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORRENTO SKY (IRE) Sep08 Jun13 May19 May04 Apr04 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 4.00 12% 7.70    
2  MUBTADAA Sep06 Aug03 Jul04 May26 Mar15 (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  IRIDEO (ARG) Aug31 Jul21 May27 Apr04 Mar09 (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOOK CHARGE Sep21 Aug06 Jun09 May27 May06 (valenzuela)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 122 20.00    
5  MISSION BEACH Aug24 Jul27 Jun19 Apr06 Feb03 (powell leonard)SMITH E 119 10.00    
6  DANIEL'S MAGIC Aug31 Aug02 Jun07 May26 Mar09 (harty )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
7  AGENCY Sep06 Aug03 Jun07 Aug06 Jul21 (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00    
8  CASTLE LEOCH Aug23 Jul21 Jan07 Dec03 Oct29 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
 
SA-4   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE KID Sep29 Sep15 Aug22 Aug08 Jul20 (nunez jesu)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRAY FROST Sep29 Aug24 Aug26 Jun24 May19 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 10.00 7% 13.90    
3  WHY BEHAVE Sep29 Aug22 Jul27 Sep01 Jul30 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
4  DISCREPANCY Sep15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun08 May04 (yakteen ti)ORANTES R 116 0.80    
5  WRONG TURN CUPID Sep15 Jun29 May18 May04 Dec17 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  BELLA VIENNA Sep27 Aug25 Jul28 May25 May11 (koriner bri)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 12.00    
7  AWESOME TAYLOR Aug22 Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 May19 (stevens sat)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 15.00    
 
SA-5   10/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURAN Sep08 Aug11 Aug03 Jun07 Apr20 (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 125 20.00    
SCR  DEALERS SPECIAL Sep08 Aug11 Jun14 May19 Oct29 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.50    
3  BIG JUANITO Aug25 Aug03 Jun01 May19 Feb17 (garcia)BERRIOS ISAAC 125 10.00 7% 14.20    
4  SIX MAGPIES (IRE) Apr26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan12 Oct27 (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 12.00    
5  RASTAMAN VIBE Sep27 Aug10 Jul21 Jun13 May19 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 43% 1.30    
6  ONE OF THESE DAYS (IRE) Sep07 Jul26 Jun15 May19 Apr20 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 125 3.00    
7  AGATINO (IRE) Sep08 Jun11 May27 Mar09 Jan20 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 10.00 17% 5.00    
8  BELMONT BILL Aug30 Aug10 May27 Apr27 Apr05 (saavedra k)BAZE C 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  NASHOBA'S JOY Sep08 Aug10 May27 May05 Mar17 (gaines carla)MALDONADO E 125 12.00    
10  BALDORO Aug01 Jun08 May19 Apr26 Mar23 (powell leon)HERRERA A 125 8.00 6% 15.30    
11  CAPTAIN CHOOCHIES Sep27 Aug25 Jul25 Jun07 May04 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 125 12.00    
 
SA-6   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($26.5K) 35 M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUITAR GIRL Sep22 Sep30 Aug27 May14   (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 6.00 6% 16.80    
2  RUNNING SUPER Sep05 Aug09 Jun15     (cerin vladimi)VALDIVIA JR 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  GIFT OF TIME Sep08 Aug09       (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00    
SCR  STELLA STARLIGHT Jul09         (dunham danie)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 10.00    
5  SPIRIT RULES Sep22 Sep08 Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.20 39% 1.60    
6  ROSES N' CHROME Aug23 Aug02 May27     (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 124 30.00    
7  TOULOUSE DETRAC Jun30 May31 May04 Mar04 Feb11 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 10.00    
 
SA-7   10/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Swingtime Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CHARTER (GB) Sep07 Aug11 Apr06     (powell leon)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
  (by EXPERT EYE out of QUEEN'S CHARTER by OASIS DREAM)
2  QUEENS COMMAND (IRE) Aug29 Jun20 May03 Feb24 Jan07 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00    
  (by WAR COMMAND out of LOVE THIRTY by MISTER BAILEYS)
3  LAKOTA SPIRIT Aug03 Apr27 Mar03 Jan21 Dec30 (damato philip)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MILAM by STREET SENSE)
4  QUEEN OF THE MUD (IRE) Sep14 Aug19 Jun22 May17 Oct22 (motion g)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by KODIAC out of JAWLAAT by DAYJUR)
5  YERWANTHERE (IRE) Aug11 Jun09 Apr26 Feb24 Feb03 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKAZ out of FAST JAZZ by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
6  MOMENT'S PLEASURE Sep29 Aug18 Jul28 Jun14 May25 (lewis )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LAMAZONE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  ANKYRAH Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 Jun08 Apr28 (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 30.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of DOUXRAH by RAHY)
8  MISS LIZZY Jul21 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Feb25 (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 122 4.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CARADINI by BERNARDINI)
9  GYPSY WOMAN (IRE) Aug18 Jul21 Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 8% 12.00    
  (by COTAI GLORY out of HIGHEST PRAISE by MR. NONAME)
 
SA-8   10/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAB WALKER Aug18 May09       (blacker danie)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of ROSE LARUE by CAIRO PRINCE)
2  DAY AND AGE Sep28         (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SKIPALUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  BROTHER TONY Sep08 Aug11       (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of GOOD SO FAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  CANO FOR THE WIN Aug24 Jul28       (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 12.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MALIBU JUNE by MALIBU MOON)
5  DR RUBEN M Aug24 Jul20 Jun13     (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 4.50 ★    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of XOXO by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  ZABO Sep07         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PAUSEFORTHECAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  RANK Sep08 Aug11 Jul20     (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 120 3.50 ★    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of FABULOUS BABE by TOUCH GOLD)
8  FREEDOM'S NOT FREE Sep01         (glatt mark)SMITH E 120 4.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WONDERFULADVENTURE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
SA-9   10/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZLE THE COMMAND Aug31 Jul26 Feb23 Jan26 Jan07 (galvin w)ESPINOZA V 123 30.00    
2  BIG GEORGE Aug31 Aug03 Jun16 May19 Apr21 (gallag)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 8.00    
3  WE CAN Sep15 Aug04 Jul21 May11 Apr21 (meier r)BAZE C 119 20.00    
4  CAPO LUIGI Sep29 Aug31 Aug02 Jun08 Nov11 (moger jr)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 20.00    
5  BRAZENLY Sep28 Aug23 Jul26 Jul07 Jun14 (azcarate dan)GARCIA ERICK 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIGER IN MY TANK Sep08 Aug11 Jun28 Jun01 Apr28 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  FERRARIANO Aug29 Aug03 Jun08 May11 Mar22 (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 125 4.50 ★    
8  DONT FIGHT THE FED Sep14 Aug31 Aug03 Jun22 May19 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 2.50 14% 6.00    
9  TAKES THREE Aug31 Aug03 May25 Apr28 Mar24 (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 119 6.00    
10  LORD TRIPPING Aug31 Aug03 Jun02 Nov19 Oct09 (hanson ryan)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 15.00    
11  MOON ICE Sep29 Aug04 Jun15 May25 Apr20 (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  KERRY GOLD Sep29 Sep08 Aug09 Jun16 May19 (azcarate da)AGUILAR ARMANDO 125 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.