Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (5/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/8)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/8)-(6/4)-(1/4/5) 24 $1.00 $72.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
GP-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(4/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-4   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/5)-(4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/5)-(4/2/7)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-5   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(6/1/3)-(4/6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(4/6/5/2)-(2/6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-7   WIN (4/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/2)-(2/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/2)-(2/6/3/1)-(8/3/9/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/1)-(8/3/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-9   WIN (8/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/2)-(8/3/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/2)-(8/3/9/2)-(8/3/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   10/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXIMUS CAT         (bennett s)FERRER C 118 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DIS SMART CAT by SQUARE EDDIE)
RIPTON'S MUSIC Aug31         (crichton r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of YANGTZE DELTA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
AEGON TARGARYEN         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of THE GODDESS LYSSA by FURY KAPCORI)
MR TYSON Sep14 Aug17       (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of TUBEROSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
NESHUME Aug31 Jul28       (sisterson jack)PEREZ EDGAR 118 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of BUILT IN A DAY by ROMAN RULER)
AWESOME EDITION Sep15         (orseno jos)VAN DRAYDEN 118 8.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of ENLISTING by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
GALLANT KNIGHT Sep14 Aug18 Jul07     (d'angelo jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of NAUTICAL N by SUPER SAVER)
WORDS OF FORTUNE         (lopez mario )MORELOS E 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of FORTUNE QUEST by SEEKING THE GOLD)
COSMO PRIME Sep07         (sano antonio)GIL CIPRIANO 118 15.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of STONECOLDFOX by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
GP-2   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IDEAL BREEZE Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (guciardo kathy)REYES LEONEL 122 2.00    
SCR  EAST WING Jul26 Jun27 May03 Apr19 Mar30 (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 5.00    
SCR  BARBARA Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (campos bernardo)FERRER C 122 10.00    
KIKILOVE Sep07 Aug11 Jul26 Jul14 Jun27 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 124 4.50 22% 3.40    
DEVRA WARRIOR Sep29 Sep06 Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 (rondon-mor)VASQUEZ JR 112 20.00    
DOVE IN CHARGE Sep20 Aug03 Jun22 May17 Apr27 (fawkes david)ZAYAS J 122 1.60 54% 0.80    
SCR  VELOCISSIMA Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jun27 Jun07 (romero rafa)SANCHEZ M 122 20.00    
 
GP-3   10/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLINGING BURR Sep13 Jul28 Jul12     (david carlo)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  GIFTBOX SURPRISE Sep08 Jul19       (kutt d)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 20.00    
CORAL DREAM Sep13 Jul28       (barbazoniii le)REYES LEONEL 118 4.00    
TAPIT'S SHADY LADY Sep21 Aug23       (david carlo)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 4.50 19% 4.20    
U BET JO'S PRAYING Sep08 Aug17 Jul06 May23   (laurato michae)BORACO DAVID 118 15.00 10% 8.80    
NOT ONE LESS Sep15         (sano antonio)ZERPA JOSE 118 5.00    
TIMBER Sep21 Jul13       (orseno jos)VAN DRAYDEN 118 2.50    
 
GP-4   10/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER SUNSHINE Sep13 Aug24 Jul21 May17 Apr28 (maragh aubrey )GIL CIPRIANO 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
DROPKICK MURPHY Sep06 Jun06 May16 Apr18 Mar20 (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 124 3.50    
SCR  AWESOME WIND Sep15 Aug10 Jun22 Jun01 May12 (klesar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
DON'T ANSWER Sep29 Sep15 Aug03 Jul21 Jul13 (rondon-mora carl)LEON SONNY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
WARLORD CRUZAN Jun20 Jun07 May23 Mar20 Feb28 (luna luis)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
D COLDEST Feb03 Jan14 Nov18 Oct22 Sep03 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 6.00    
LUNA WARRIOR Sep06 Aug03 Jun22 May17 Apr07 (negrete jav)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
MIDNIGHT CHAOS Sep06 Aug16 Jun20 Jun01 Apr28 (maragh aub)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 10.00    
CALYPSO CHARLIE Sep13 Aug16 Jul21 Jul13 Jun21 (lutchman padara)PEREZ EDGAR 120 20.00    
 
GP-5   10/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUAICAIPURO Aug11 Jul06 Jun21 May09 Apr26 (rondon-mora )MENESES MARCOS 115 20.00    
NO DELIBERATION Sep13 Aug17 Jul12 Jun21 Apr25 (walder r)RIOS M 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
CHRISTENSEN Sep13 Jul12 Jun20 May09 Apr25 (rondon)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
MR NARCISSISTIC Sep13 Jun27 May25 Apr11 Mar20 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  RICHY Aug23 Jun07 May24 Apr28 Mar23 (gulick jam)VAN DRAYDEN 119 8.00    
HOPE IN HIM Sep21 Jul12 Jun20 May18 Apr21 (croft barry)BRAVO J 119 5.00    
GEPARD Aug18 Jun20 May17 Mar28 Feb07 (rodriquez rode)REYES LEONEL 119 10.00 10% 8.60    
 
GP-6   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I KNOW I KNOW Sep29 Sep01 Jul13 May11   (biancone l)BRAVO J 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
LEGAL MANEUVER Sep21 Aug10 May24     (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
EMMETT Sep08 Aug09       (d'angelo j)VAN DRAYDEN 118 10.00 5% 18.00    
ROCKA STORM Sep06 Aug10       (ramos o)REYES LEONEL 120 6.00    
SCR  FORGED STEEL Sep08 Aug11 Jul13     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 1.40    
BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY Sep01 Jul28       (baumgardner )GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  SWEET CHA CHA Aug25         (mckanas leo)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 30.00    
MAKOA Sep20 Aug11       (palmer nicho)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
 
GP-7   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACASSA Sep13 Aug03 Jun22 May25 Apr20 (klesaris ste)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 6.00    
DRINKS ON ME Sep20 Aug24 Jul13 Jun22 May04 (tessore bruno)REYES LEONEL 124 12.00 6% 14.50    
GOOD BRIGHT FLAMES Sep20 Sep01 Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 (lutchman padara)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
SPLURGE Sep06 Aug18 Jul21 May24 Apr27 (delgado jorge)PEREZ EDGAR 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
FOXY LADY Sep13 Aug11 Jun22 Jun07 May24 (garcia r)JARAMILLO E 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
SMART JENNY Sep22 Aug24 Jul27 Jun23 May31 (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
KAITIE KAIT Aug17 Jul21 May24 Apr21 Mar13 (rondon)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
INTO TOURING Sep06 Mar22 Feb25 Jan24 Dec26 (walder r)RIOS M 122 8.00    
SCR  BOTH SIDES Aug30 Aug11 Jul27 Apr03 Mar17 (narvaez carlos)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
 
GP-8   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKS MIMI Aug24 Aug03 Jun20 May26 Apr27 (yates michael)RIOS M 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ENGLISH BOB Sep18 Aug31 Apr27 Apr07 Mar09 (david carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
BANDERO Sep14 Aug11 Jul20 Jun22 May11 (agostini arthur)PANICI LUCA 123 10.00 10% 9.50    
MAGICSHADOW Jul26 Jun29 May25 Apr04 Feb01 (croft barry)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
KNOX Aug17 Jun23 May09 Feb18 Dec26 (delgad)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
BEASTLY SPEED Sep14 Aug17 Jul05 May09 Apr13 (dibona rober)ZAYAS J 123 1.60 26% 2.80    
MORGAN POINT Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 Mar03 Feb16 (perez lu)PEREZ EDGAR 123 2.50    
 
GP-9   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCALA DREAM Aug17 Jun28 Apr26 Mar15 Feb22 (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 125 5.00    
YOU TALKIN TO ME Sep22 Jul28 Apr19 Mar22 Feb08 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ THE BOMB Jul21 Jun23 Dec16 Nov05 Oct13 (d'angelo jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
SELECTO Aug18 Jul19 Jan14 Dec24 Aug26 (cadahia cayet)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 30.00    
THE MAR Sep22 Aug30 Aug04 Jul12 May11 (nunez eduardo)RIOS M 123 20.00    
SCR  A. P.'S SECRET Nov19 Mar04 Jul29 May30 Apr09 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 2.50    
INDY LYON Aug17 Mar24 Feb25 Jan24 Dec15 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 125 8.00    
GRAND DAVID Sep22 Sep07 Aug11 Jun09 May24 (parbhoo shiv)MORELOS E 125 4.50 38% 1.60    
CASHIER CHECK Aug31 Jun09 May24 Apr11 Feb11 (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 125 10.00 5% 17.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.