Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (1/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/3)-(7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
ALB-2   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/1/5/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7)-(11/2/5/10/3) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
ALB-3   WIN (11/2/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/5/10/3)-(11/2/5/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/5/10/3)-(11/2/5/10/3)-(11/2/5/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-4   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P SURFNTURF Sep12 Aug17       (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by MAIL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CHANCE TO DREAM Aug02 Jun09 Apr20 Apr07   (singh johnn)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of DREAM KIN by DESERT GOD)
WALK ON WHISKEY Sep12 Aug17 Apr20 Oct15 Sep24 (chavez larry)JUAREZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of OLD FASHIONED GAL by OLD FASHIONED)
FLAQUITA Sep12 Feb09 Jan05     (chadborn kenn)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50    
  (by MARKING out of SKINNIE LOVE by BLACK SEVENTEEN)
MY YELLOWSTONE         (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 122 6.00    
  (by KING BULL out of LOOSEWHEELSLUCILLE by WHEELAWAY)
DREAM MONEY Sep12 Aug17 Nov14     (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 122 3.50 6% 17.10    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of CAVETTO by OASIS DREAM)
AUNT BENNIE Sep12 May11 Apr14 Mar14 Feb09 (martinez e)TORRES J 122 15.00    
  (by HARRIS out of BENNY'S BULLET by BENNY THE BULL)
 
ALB-2   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAND LOYALTY Sep13 Mar14 Feb23 Dec05 Nov14 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00    
ANNA B Aug23 Jun15 Apr04 Mar22 Feb29 (rojero c)HEBERT J 124 6.00    
THE MUSIC WE MAKE Sep13 May18 Dec10 Nov25 Oct06 (hudson je)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
NATIVITY Aug17 Jul20 Jun21 Sep20 Aug10 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 4.50    
LONE MOUNTAIN GIRL May11 Mar21 Feb23 Dec05 Nov14 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 124 3.50    
ACES OVER DEUCES Sep13 Apr09 Mar19 Feb05 Nov28 (torres-casas alex )TORRES J 122 8.00    
MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Aug04 May04 Apr20 Mar15 Jan25 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 76% 0.30    
 
ALB-3   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY REBEL Sep01 Aug17 May11 Apr20 Oct20 (p)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
MARK THE DATE Sep12 Sep01 Jun09 Feb18 Jan05 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
GRAVITATE TO LAUGH Sep12         (villamar candelari)TORRES J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
K P BLAMENGAME Jun08 May18 May04 Apr20 Mar28 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
BOLDLY BELIEVE         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
JULIA'S PROMISE Sep01 Aug02       (armstrong sherry)MEDELLIN A 122 4.50    
SHE MYSTERIOUS Sep08 Aug17 May18 May04 Mar28 (chavez al)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 8.00    
HAZHONI Sep01 Aug23 Jun08 May04 Mar21 (singh johnny)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 20.00    
OAKLEY COURT Aug17         (amparan alberto)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
10  BLUE ROSE WHO         (silva lillian)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
11  PANDORA WHO Sep01 Aug17 Sep30 Jun24 May20 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
ALB-4   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADY BOY Sep11 Aug31 Apr24 Apr08 Mar20 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 3.00    
PANCHO LEFT ME Sep11 May19 May05 Apr21 Mar29 (marquez l)TORRES J 121 8.00    
VALENTINO WHO Oct07 Jul23 May07 Mar26 Feb28 (gonzalez a)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00    
SCR  ANNIE'S BOY Apr22 Apr03 Feb25 Feb04 Apr21 (barr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.50    
RONAMO Sep11 Jun16 Apr23 Apr11 Feb12 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
UNDER OATH Sep11 Jul03 Jun09 Mar09 Nov05 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
I KNOW CASH FLOW Feb20 Jan07 Dec04 Nov05 Oct07 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.