Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Wednesday - September 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
ALB-8   WIN (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/4)-(2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-9   WIN (2/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/9)-(2/1/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/9)-(2/1/3/4/9)-(2/1/3/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-6   09/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKIN TALKIN BOB Aug16 Jun14 Jul23 Sep27 Sep19 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
  (by GRAND MINSTREL out of CAPTIVATING CATHY by FOREST WILDCAT)
TRUCKIN Sep02 Aug16 Dec08 Nov14 Oct11 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
  (by THE VISUALISER out of ALWAYS A CHAMP by CHAMPALI)
CAP GREELEY         (b)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 5% 18.10    
  (by EL MIRAGE out of HATTIE GREELEY by HORSE GREELEY)
SCR  KIAMANASJOYOUSDAY         (eliott roger)TORRES J 119 3.50    
  (by HESINFRONT out of DIAMONDSOFMONTEREY by MONTEREY JAZZ)
TIME TRAVELIN Dec08         (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of ALWAYS A CHAMP by CHAMPALI)
PEVS DISTANT DRUM Sep06         (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of FLYING DRUM by FORESTRY)
 
ALB-7   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILEO PROCEED Sep08 Apr21 Mar28 Mar07 Apr29 (douglas natalie)VERGARA P 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY VEGAS Apr04 Mar20 Feb18 Jan15 Dec10 (villamar candela)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50 55% 0.80    
I GET STORMED Aug25 Aug16 Apr27 Apr04 Mar28 (gallegos d)TORRES J 121 6.00    
STAY BY THE BEACH Aug25 May04 Dec18 Nov20 Oct20 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
STORMY DAME Aug25 Aug16 Apr27 Mar28 Mar14 (s)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
WHY FOR Aug24 Apr28 Mar07 Feb01 Nov13 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 2.50    
MAUI SUNRISE Aug25 May12 Apr21 Apr13 Mar28 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 3.00    
 
ALB-8   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT SPIRIT (IRE) Apr04 Mar07 Feb08 Nov27 Nov07 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
QUITE LOVELY Aug16 May18 May04 Apr04 Mar07 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
INDIAN EXCELLENCE Apr04 Feb08 Jan18 Dec05 Nov13 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50    
RUN LIKE KATE Aug16 May12 Apr04 May13 Apr22 (quiroz fi)DE TORRE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOSSY BABY May18 May04 Apr20 Nov20 Oct22 (martinez dann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 7% 13.70    
TURN ON ARCH Feb18 Dec11 Nov21 Oct15 Sep03 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 124 6.00    
I WIN LIKA GIRL Sep13 Aug23 May05 Apr04 Mar07 (martinez h)TORRES J 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
ALB-9   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUANTUM BULL Aug16 Jun07 May05 Apr21 Apr04 (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 9% 10.20    
MUSICS MY VICE Aug24 Jul20 May18 Feb01 Jan11 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 64% 0.60    
GRIFTER Sep07 Aug23 Jun08 May12 Apr27 (r)DE CRUZ 124 3.50    
SMOKEN HOUDINI Sep07 Jun09 Mar22 Mar01 Feb09 (roje)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
COMING ABSTRACTION Aug31 May11 Apr21 Apr04 Feb22 (olguin ever)TORRES J 121 15.00    
SENSE OF URGENCY Apr20 Apr04 Mar28 Feb22 Feb01 (chadborn kenneth)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00    
RARE COIN Aug16 Jun08 Apr13 Mar29 Mar14 (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 121 8.00    
SHAME ON ROOSTER Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 Jun07 May05 (woolley b)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 12.00    
DAN WHO Aug16 Apr21 Apr04 Feb22 Jan25 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.