Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LBG-3   WIN (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-1   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA'S GIRL Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 Jun29 Jun15 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 1.60 26% 2.90    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of CAPAZ by BERNARDINI)
2  VAPER Aug18 Aug04 Jul27 Oct07   (perry car)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00 6% 15.40    
  (by EL CHURRUCA out of ROCK D'OR by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  B B BEAR Aug27 Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun03 (mead colten)NELSON RYAN 124 2.50    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of C Z BELLE by CITY ZIP)
4  CAPE FOREST Sep01 Aug17       (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CANDALIER by OLD FORESTER)
5  HASHTAGUGOTTHIS Aug17 Aug03 Jul14 Oct08 Sep23 (blattler codi)FUENTES FREDY 124 3.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of KATY'S KITTY by OSIDY)
 
LBG-2   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANELLO Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 (perry carl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
2  CREEKMORE Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Jul13 Jun15 (depew jim)ROCHA O 124 3.00    
3  REMEMBERTHEALAMO Sep08 Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 Jul21 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINDSHARE Aug18 Jul01 Jun09 Apr02 Mar06 (mead colten)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00    
5  BLUE JEANS N BEER Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 0.80 44% 1.30    
6  LUCKY BREAK Jul20 Jul13 Jun23 Sep18 Sep06 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 124 4.50    
 
LBG-3   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO ORBIT Sep02 Aug18 Jul27 Jul21 Jun29 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
2  GOLDEN TRAIN Sep07 Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 12% 7.60    
3  ANNA'S IMAGE Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Oct15 Oct08 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 10.00    
4  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 4.50    
5  SWEETNESS TO Sep07 Aug14 Jul03 Jun05 May28 (constant gordon)NELSON RYAN 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
6  REBATE Sep02 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun16 (oberholtzer da)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00    
7  ARIZONA LINDY Aug17 Jul28 May02 Apr16 Apr08 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
LBG-4   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JADED TIGER Aug17 Aug10 Aug08 Jul27 Jul13 (smith jac)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50    
2  BAKFIRE BABY Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Jul21 Jul07 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 1.40    
3  DISTINCT APPROVAL Aug18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul21 Jun29 (cameron dea)GORDON GARFIELD 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
4  EVIL TEMPTATION Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jun30 May04 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
5  KISS RIDE GOODBYE May12 May05 Apr14 Mar29 Mar17 (daychie)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 10.00 58% 0.70    
6  I'M OUTTA HERE Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00    
7  WICKED WOMAN Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.