Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Sunday - September 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GRP-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GRP-8   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-1   09/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IM GUNNA Sep02 Aug24 Aug08 Jul12 Jun07 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 124 2.00    
  (by CUPID out of COURAGEOUS CALL by TALE OF THE CAT)
SHADOW WOLF Jul13 Jun08 May25     (kowalsky ha)GUERRERO C 126 4.50    
  (by JERANIMO out of SOME KIND OF EASY by SEMORAN)
SCR  MADAM PRESIDENT Jul11 Jun07 Sep18 Sep03 Jul29 (rodriguez mar)LOPEZ E 121 4.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of CHAMPAGNEANDCAVIAR by VAN NISTELROOY)
WESTERN SIERRA Aug24 Mar17 Feb11 Dec15 Nov24 (cantrell margi)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of WESTERN ENGAGEMENT by GONE WEST)
COLTON'S TIGER Aug31 Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 Oct08 (stillwell)JENSEN P 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
GRP-3   09/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLS AND WHISTLES Aug10 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 Sep25 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
WARNING SOUND Aug23 Aug10 Aug08 Jul11 Jun29 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 4.50    
JACRODRA'S DEVIL Jun29 May04 Apr24 Dec10 Oct14 (magallan)MURO ISIDRO 126 5.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  GET'EM TIGER Sep01 Aug10 Nov18 Oct28 Sep30 (gilmour jim)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00    
CLIPPERVILE GIRL Aug30 Aug17 Aug11 Aug04 Jun30 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 5.00    
SHESALILRUNAWAY Aug10 Jun29 Aug18 Aug10 Jul09 (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
GRP-4   09/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATO NEGRO Aug25 Aug07 Jun09 May26 Jul12 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00 20% 3.90    
WE GOT SWAG Aug31 Aug08 Jul26 Jul06 Jun23 (lawrence heath)SAMUELS JAKE 124 3.50    
LUCCA'S LEGACY Aug09 Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 May11 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
CONNECTER Aug23 Jul14 Jul03 Jun08 May25 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.00    
LONGFORD Aug07 Jul04 Jun22 Oct02 Sep18 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 6.00    
MIDNIGHT DADDY Aug31 Aug07 Jun22 Oct08 Sep10 (stillwell tuc)LOPEZ E 126 6.00 8% 10.80    
 
GRP-7   09/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Southern Belle Purse ($13.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERRYS BABY Aug08 Jul12 Jun22 Jun09 Oct02 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 4.50 7% 12.40    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHERRYS GAL by NAVARRO)
SCR  LUCINDA RELLA Aug23 Aug03 Jun30 May25 Oct01 (harwood )MURO ISIDRO 126 2.50    
  (by UNDERSTATEMENT out of VISTARELLA by ISLA VISTA)
RODEO ROSE Aug10 Aug03 Jul04 Jun23 Jun08 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.50 72% 0.40    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CLEMENS BROOK by PETERSBURG)
PAID IN GOLD Jul28 May19 Mar09 Nov02 Sep16 (kowalsky ha)GUERRERO C 126 5.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of MISS CURLEY D'ORO by CURLIN)
TRUE FRIEND Jul06 Jun14 May18 Apr28 Feb25 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of MISS DRAKE by AFLEET ALEX)
 
GRP-8   09/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Aug23 Aug07 Jul10 Jul06 Jun23 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E 126 4.00    
JEWELED AGAIN Aug07 Jul11 Jul04 Jun22 Jun15 (magallan)MURO ISIDRO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
MISCHIEF MAME Aug08 Jul10 Jun30 Jun15 Oct09 (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
CHEDOODLE RYLEE Aug31 Aug07 Jun07 May25 Apr29 (lawrence he)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.00    
STEEL NERVES Aug24 Aug10 Aug07 Jul11 Jun29 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 14% 6.10    
SENSATIONAL CITY Aug09 Aug07 Jul04 Jun29 Jun23 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.