Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ferndale
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FER-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/5/3)-(3/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FER-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(3/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(3/5/6)-(6/7/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FER-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/7/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/7/3/2)-(5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FER-5   WIN (6/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/3/2)-(5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FER-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FER-2   08/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY OF THE SEA Aug10 Jun30 Jun22 Jun15 Jun09 (abraham t)JENSEN P 126 6.00 23% 3.30    
2  CONTINENTAL UNION Aug16 Jun23 Jun02 Apr20 Mar31 (rodriguez fran)HERRERA HUGO 126 1.60    
3  NATIONHEART Jun29 Jun15 Sep24 Aug20 Jul28 (craig jam)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 4.00 35% 1.90    
4  QUICK FINISH Aug09 Jun23 Jun09 Apr27 Mar03 (rodriguez )MONROY FRANCISCO 126 3.50 ★    
5  QUICK INTRO Jul21 Jun01 Jul04 Jun23 Apr28 (de pablo)FLORES P 126 2.50    
 
FER-3   08/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A CROWN FOR KITTEN Aug03 Jun09 May25 Apr26 Apr05 (miyadi st)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  TOPANTICIPATION (GB) Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 Jun09 May25 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.00    
3  LUTE'S DIAMOND Jun22 Jun16 Oct02 Sep11 Aug25 (craig jame)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 5.00 12% 7.30    
4  LADY RANGER Aug10 Jun16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug18 (guerrero emilio)MEEKS MICAH 119 8.00    
5  A BROKEN BREEZE Aug03 Jun30 Jun02 Apr28 Mar04 (harris andrew)KING MCKENZIE 126 1.80 17% 5.00    
 
FER-4   08/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRONZE GIRL Aug03 Jul20 Jun16 May10 Apr21 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 1.80    
2  MO SUGAFOOT Jul04 Jun23 Jun16 Oct02 Sep25 (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 4.00    
3  AIRKITA Aug09 Jul04 Jun09 May26 Sep30 (abraham tim)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  ARCTIC FIRE Aug08 Jun08 Oct02 Sep11 Aug25 (gilmour j)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 6.00    
5  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Aug07 Jun30 Jun16 Jan14 Jan01 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 26% 2.80    
6  WARNING SOUND Aug10 Aug08 Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 (guerrero )JENSEN P 126 8.00 10% 9.20    
 
FER-5   08/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENTLE JULIA Aug03 Jun30 Jun16 Apr21 Mar30 (stortz marcia)KING MCKENZIE 126 5.00    
2  SAINT HELEN Jul04 Jun30 Jun15 Oct08 Oct01 (craig )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Aug07 Jul10 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 (gilmore james )HERRERA HUGO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN PINUP Aug08 Jul10 Jun08 Jul24   (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 8.00    
5  GALWAY SHAWL Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May18 Apr20 (rodriguez f)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 4.00    
6  HARBOR DEAREST Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 (lagrone se)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00 48% 1.10    
7  STANDFORGRIT Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 May18 May04 (hansen ro)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
FER-6   08/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WRONG DIRECTION Aug18 Jul28 Jun07 May04 Apr26 (rodriguez)JENSEN P 122 4.00    
2  FORD FLYER Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 May10 (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HALF THROTTLE Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 Jun07 May25 (miller quenti)KING MCKENZIE 122 10.00    
4  MASTER RECOVERY Jun30 Jun23 Oct01 Sep18 Sep10 (craig jam)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  SATANTA Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun01 May05 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  BIG FLAME Jul28 Jun22 Apr15 Mar17 Feb24 (rodriguez fran)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50    
7  MOUNT PELLIAR Aug10 Aug20 Jul21 Jan06 Dec09 (greiner gary)FLORES P 126 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.