Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/5/1)-(1/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/7/3)-(5/8/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(5/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(5/8/2)-(6/3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/2)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2)-(6/3/2/1)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(3/2/4)-(6/2/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-10   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-11   WIN (6/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.013K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYLEYWICK Jul28 Jul03 Jun15 May17 Mar30 (foley p)BACON W 118 6.00 26% 2.80    
2  BYE LOVE GOTTA GO Aug05 Jul12 Jul03 Jun03 May17 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 123 4.00    
3  KAYLA Jul19 Jun15 May20 Sep30 Sep03 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 3.00 ★    
4  SASSY AIN'T I Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Sep22 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 123 2.50    
5  REBEL RISING Jul27 Jul03 May24 Sep18 Jul07 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 1.80 32% 2.20    
 
PRM-6   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR FOXY Jul29 Jul14 May26 Apr26 Mar29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JILL'S LEMON DROP Jun30 Jun02 May18 Apr23 Apr01 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
3  MORE THAN A DIVA Jul28 Jun02 May20 Apr27 Apr14 (condon sc)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 64% 0.60    
4  CAN'T WANT THAT Aug03 Jun16 May17 Apr18 Mar28 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.00    
5  CHIP SHORTAGE Aug03 Jul21 Jun16 Apr14 Mar23 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 118 3.00 10% 9.10    
6  MY CAJUN LADY Aug03 Jun01 May17 Mar23 Feb16 (anderson l)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
 
PRM-7   08/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DODGEBALL Jun23 Jun17 May24 Apr27 Mar30 (compton jesse)BACON W 117 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  TRIP TO FREEDOM Aug04 Jun23 May24 Apr19 Mar23 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50    
3  BREW CASA Jul14 Jun28 Jun09 May26 May10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  IRON LOTUS Aug04 Jul12 Jun23 May24 Apr10 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 4.00    
SCR  JACKIE FLASH Aug04 Jul12 Jun17 Jun03 Apr10 (hemba brad)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00    
6  GAME TO PLAY Aug05 Jul03 May18 Mar17 Sep11 (young nicole)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 12.00    
7  SABRIA Jul21 Jul03 Jun16 May19 Mar02 (martinez kel)JORDAN R 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
PRM-8   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 2 F PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLAD VON D Aug04 Jul06       (jordan todd )JORDAN R 119 3.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SPEEDY GLADYS JAM by GOLDEN MISSILE)
2  LIL FRIEND         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FRIEND O THE DEVIL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
3  PROMISED OATH Jul06 Jun15 May26     (fett bran)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LA FEE VERTE by TIZNOW)
4  ANNIETIME Aug04         (martin timoth)BACON W 114 5.00 ★    
  (by TIMELINE out of ANNIEBEAR by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  MISCHIEVOUS BRIA         (anderson l)BIRZER E 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MY SISTER MADI by HAYNESFIELD)
6  MISS MARY (ARG)         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MAMA MARY by BODEMEISTER)
7  FOXTON         (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of EXIT PLAN by STAY THIRSTY)
8  FINLOND Jul20         (fett brandi)CORBETT W 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of L. A. WAY by TIZWAY)
 
PRM-9   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME NELLIE Aug03 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Feb15 (johnston lan)JORDAN R 124 15.00 12% 7.50    
2  HIGH CALIBER CATCH Jul06 Jun21 Jun08 May11 Apr19 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  LONG MAY SHE RUN Aug03 Jun02 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 (parsons riley)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  COMFORTS JAZEL Jul20 Jul03 Jun02 Apr07 Mar01 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
5  BREAKFASTRUN Aug03 Jul14 Dec31     (jordan j)BACON W 115 4.00    
6  MRS. SPEAKER Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May16 Apr25 (lemburg mark)BIRZER E 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  I GOT A NAME Jul20 Jun24 Nov21 Nov08 Sep22 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
8  CAN'T MAKE ME Jul29 Jun29 Jun14 May27 Sep24 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 121 3.50    
 
PRM-10   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED PRINCE Jul19 Jul08 Jun17 Jun08 May19 (chleborad lyn)BACON W 117 15.00    
2  FIRE BRYAN Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 May18 Apr27 (martin e)TOHILL S 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  SEVENTEEN BLACK Jul26 Jul03 Jun23 May26 May11 (eikleberry k)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.20 29% 2.40    
4  IRISH RANSOM Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 Apr26 Mar09 (von ke)JORDAN R 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
5  I'M AN OAK Aug04 Jul20 Jun23 Jun10 May19 (loy dewaine)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00    
6  ZATARA Jul06 Jun08 May26 Apr26   (anderson l)CORBETT W 120 2.50    
 
PRM-11   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBURBAN PRINCE Jul03 Jun15 May27 May11 Apr05 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 10.00    
2  LIBERTY'S HAULER Aug03 Jul27 Jul08 Jun07 May19 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 123 4.00 8% 11.00    
3  RIVERSPORT Aug03 Jul03 Jun02 Apr20 Apr06 (donlin)FLETCHER D 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUCKY'S SECRET Aug02 Jul19 Jul08 Jun17 Jun08 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 10.00    
5  ROSIE'S BOY Aug03 Jul08 Apr04 Mar21 Feb19 (schleis casey)BACON W 118 4.50    
6  ITWASTHISBIG Aug04 Jul18 Jun23 May27 May18 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
7  FLOOR IT Jul19 Jun02 Mar22 Feb24 Feb03 (arceo sal)DE CRUZ 125 3.50    
8  OBVIOUSLY TOO Aug03 Jul08 Jun15 May25 Apr26 (schleis casey)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00 6% 15.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.