Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAR-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FAR-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-4   WIN (7/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAR-6   WIN (2/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7/5)-(2/1/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/6/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FAR-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   08/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAYAWAY Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 Jun01 May03 (thompson gra)BETHKE A 126 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE ICE Jul20 Jun01 May17 May12 Jun17 (ducheneaux ja)HERNANDEZ REY 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  P R COMIN IN HOT Jul28 Jun22 Jun15 Jul29 Jul23 (martin dean)FACKLER CHRIS 126 10.00    
4  GONEWITHTHEBREEZE Jul27 May18       (charbonneau je)BEETEM BRIAN 126 6.00    
5  RICHIE'S GAL Jul28 Apr26 Apr20 Apr07 Mar24 (ness john)WOOD DAKOTA 124 1.60 19% 4.10    
6  POPS GIRL ALEXA Jul20 Jun15 Jun09 May18 Apr13 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 3.50    
 
FAR-2   08/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STOLEN HALO Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May19 Apr26 (haar robert )BETHKE A 126 3.50 54% 0.90    
2  SMART N WICKED Jul20 Jul13       (martin dean)BEETEM BRIAN 126 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  LONESHILOHSPECIAL Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 May19 Apr12 (haar j)WOOD DAKOTA 126 4.50    
4  THELEGENDOFTRIPP Jul28 Jul14 Jun15     (botosh rod)PRECIADO A 126 20.00    
5  DIVA DE KELA Jul20 Jun30 Jun13 Jun01 Dec15 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 2.50    
6  OLIVIA'S DUCHESS Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun16 Jul23 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAR-4   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIARS CLUB Jul21 Jul14 Jun19 Jun05 Apr29 (cavanaugh pe)BETHKE A 126 4.50 11% 7.70    
2  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Jun23 Jun08 May27 May03 Apr21 (thompson)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 126 15.00    
SCR  ZOE'S PAPA CEE Jul27 Jun30 Jun23 May19 May12 (allery mar)PRECIADO A 126 3.50    
4  IMA CARPE DIEM Jul21 Jun15 Jun02 May17 Sep08 (allery mark)FACKLER CHRIS 126 15.00    
5  MANY ROSES Jul27 Jul21 Sep18 Sep12 Aug28 (martin dean)NO RIDER 126 10.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  STAGE DOOR Jul27 Jul14 Jun30 Jun23 Jun09 (thompson grady)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00    
7  GOLD CRUSHER Jul27 Feb15 Feb01 Dec20 Nov15 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 2.50 53% 0.90    
8  ALPINE EMPIRE Jul28 May12       (charbonneau je)BEETEM BRIAN 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAR-6   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA Stallion Stakes Derby Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVERS WHISPER Jul20 Jun22 Jun09     (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of LONELY LOVER by LIT DE JUSTICE)
2  MAKE IT BURN Jun29 Jun15 May18 Sep09   (estrada francis)HAAR NATHAN 124 1.60 24% 3.20    
  (by TIMBER LEGEND out of BELLS OF CONCERTO by CONCERTO)
3  SCARLET MOON Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jul29 Jun25 (martin d)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 124 25.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
4  MARLEE MOON Jul20 May18 May04     (estrada franc)HERNANDEZ REY 124 25.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of MARLA DUNNIT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  LIAM'S CHALLENGE Jul20 Jun16 Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 (hurley tristin)PINEDA G 124 10.00 ★    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
6  CRAFTY SUE Jul20 Jul14 May12 Jul29 Jun25 (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA 124 6.00 13% 7.00    
  (by PIES PROSPECT out of TSUNAMI GIRL by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  KORRA'S BREEZE Jul20 Jun16 Jun09 Jul29 Jun25 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of SLIGO BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
8  RACHELLE'S MEMORY Jul20 Jun09       (backhaus l)PRECIADO A 124 25.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of SWEETEST NICKI by NICK (CHI))
9  PHENOMENALJOE Jul20 Jun16 Jun25 Jun11   (delorme marc)BETHKE A 124 12.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
 
FAR-7   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LENNOX THE GREAT Jul29 Jun24 Jun18 Jun11 Sep26 (delorme marcu)HERNANDEZ REY 126 12.00    
2  BOOOGER CAUSEWAY Jul28 Jul21 Jul13 May18 May04 (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS 126 0.60    
3  WIDGET GIDGET Jul28 Jul21 Jun16 Aug28 Jul30 (martin dean)WOOD DAKOTA 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  LIAM'S STARRY NITE Jul28 Jul21 Jun09 Jul29 Jul15 (backhaus lexon)BEETEM BRIAN 126 8.00 16% 5.40    
5  BABY YATTA Jul28 Jul21 Jul14 Jul29 Jul03 (delorme marc)BETHKE A 121 6.00    
6  I'M SHINING LADY Jul28 Jul21 Jun16 Jun09 Jul30 (delorme marcus )HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.