Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(6/1/3)-(7/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-7   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-4   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 May18 Oct14 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 5.00 19% 4.40    
2  STEVIE WONDER GIRL Jul10 Jun14 May31 May18 Aug05 (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.00    
3  MACHINA Jul10 Jun22 Jun01 Dec07 Nov23 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  SINGING BELL Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 May31 Oct01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  TELLTALE Jul06 Jun21 May31 May18 Dec01 (gil)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.00    
 
CTM-5   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELROSIE Jul19 Jul06 Jun07 May24   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GENTEELA by SUAVE)
2  EL CORRECAMINOS Jul06 May25 Aug05 Jul21   (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 8.00    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of GIFTED BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  MWIBA Jul12         (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of AFRICAN CHARM by JOHANNESBURG)
4  ROCKY RIDGE GINGER Jun22         (oberholtzer kev)CARTER KYLE 125 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of REGAL TIGEREYES by TIGER TRAP)
5  BRYNN'S DREAM Jul12 Jun22 Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
6  CROWN OF CAIRO Jul12 Jun22       (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 120 3.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FANCY VINTAGE by HENNESSY)
 
CTM-6   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO MAMA May31 May19 Oct14 Oct01 Sep10 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Jun15 May19 Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 123 10.00    
3  LITTLE HARPER Jul13 Jun29 Oct07 Sep30 Sep10 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TALKATIVE Jul10 Jun14 Mar08 Feb09 Dec08 (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 125 3.00    
5  ADDYDIDIT Jul13 Jun14 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 (o'hagan col)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
6  HENRY'S GAMBLE Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 May19 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 32% 2.20    
 
CTM-7   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May17 Jan13 (c)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 10.00    
2  HE'S A SAINT Jul06 Jun22 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 20.00    
3  ALL RUN Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 May18 Jun30 (davies deanne)NELSON DANE 125 12.00    
4  QUINTO SOL Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 May24 May10 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 4.50    
5  THE BEAT Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 May19 Oct21 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  THESHACK Jul13 Jun01 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  CHASE THE SUN Jul13 Jun29 Aug20 Aug01 Jun18 (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
8  VICTORIA'S CHIEF Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 May25 Nov12 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.