Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(4/2/3)-(6/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/5/4)-(4/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(4/6/7)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/8/7)-(4/6/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(5/4/6)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(4/5/1)-(7/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-9   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-10   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CLASSIFIED Jun16 May11 Apr06 Mar07 Aug13 (von ke)JORDAN R 118 1.40    
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
JOYFUL IMAGE Jul07 Jun08 Feb09 Dec14 Oct11 (martin e)BIRZER E 118 3.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BO'S IMAGE by TAPIT)
RUN FOR HOME Jul07 May20 Apr14 Dec01 Nov10 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
JANES GIRLS Jul07 Dec02 Nov09 Oct25 Oct05 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ADORABLE JANE by TALE OF THE CAT)
MEDICINE SHOW May31         (caster boyd)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FASHION MODEL by TIZNOW)
 
PRM-5   07/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.623K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUG A BOO Jun16 May19 Apr27 Mar17 Feb18 (jacquot gene)BACON W 117 2.00    
LUCKYHOTSTUFF Jul03 Jun16 May24 Oct26 Sep15 (martin e)TOHILL S 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
APRETTYLULABY Jul03 May17 May04 Apr16 Apr08 (pearson p)TRIANA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ATHENAS SONG Dec10 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May06 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
SABRIA Jul03 Jun16 May19 Mar02 Oct28 (martinez kel)JORDAN R 122 4.50    
 
PRM-6   07/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE Feb28 Dec16 Nov29 Aug12 Jul13 (lemburg mark)BACON W 119 12.00    
SCR  AIR FORCE HUMOR Jul06 Apr26       (loy dew)DE CRUZ 119 2.00    
CHEROKEE WILL Jun14         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00    
YOUNG JONESBORO Jun14 May25 May04 Mar30 Mar07 (hornsby t)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Jun14 May25 Mar29 Mar09 Jan27 (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
ANCHOR LINE         (rarick wade)BIRZER E 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
PRM-7   07/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 2 F PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R THAT'S JUDY Jul07         (gleason tyron)BACON W 114 20.00    
  (by GIANT EXPECTATIONS out of WINSOME GAMES by GRAND SLAM)
PATMO         (condon schuyle)WILLIAMS REY 119 5.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of ALEXA JUNE by AFLEET ALEX)
WOMAN'S INTUITION Jul07         (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BREACH OF DUTY by BROKEN VOW)
FRIENDLY SPIRIT Jul07 Jun23       (parsons r)TRIANA JR 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SMART STING by SMART STRIKE)
TRACIANA Jun23         (murphy travis)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of SET'N ON READY by MORE THAN READY)
NO MORE SHOTS         (anderson l)BIRZER E 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of MADAME WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
MISS CONTROL FREAK         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of TOTAL CONTROL by BELLAMY ROAD)
BATTLESHIPPER         (anderson dou)JORDAN R 119 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ARUSHA by TAPIT)
 
PRM-8   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIP SHORTAGE Jun16 Apr14 Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 118 6.00    
AMERICAN COALMINER May07 Apr02 Nov09 Oct28 Sep27 (offolter )DE CRUZ 122 3.50    
SIMONA'S CHOICE Jun15 Apr27 Mar22 Feb19 Jan06 (hornsby tammy)MECHE COLE 117 4.00    
ROCK STAR PARKING Dec15 Nov01 Sep30 Aug01 Jun23 (martin e)BIRZER E 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
CHARMONTE Jul07 Jun24 May31 Aug13 Jun12 (flores oscar)BACON W 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
OH NIKI Jun03 May04 Apr09 Dec16 Nov24 (swan e)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-9   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($37.439K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE SINGH Jun15 May20 Apr20 Apr07 Mar23 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
A BRUSH OF LUCK Jul12 Jun23 Jun17 Jun03 Sep29 (arceo salvado)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 4.00    
TEMPLE CITY RUN Jun30 Jun15 May20 Mar06 Feb16 (martinez )TRIANA JR 122 3.50    
ANNUAL BUDGET Jul08 Jun10 May18 Sep30 Sep09 (arnett g)TOHILL S 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
DEER RUN Jun30 Jun17 May26 Sep24 Sep16 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.60 19% 4.20    
MILTON STREET Jul05 Jun21 May11 Sep08 Aug26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PRM-10   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYSHORE FOXES Jun24 May18 May07 Apr23 Jun19 (ibarra jo)DE CRUZ 124 4.00    
HOUSE WRECKER Jun02 May18 Oct01 Sep22 Sep10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 27% 2.60    
CHAI TEA Jun03 May20 Apr19 Mar21 Feb17 (anderson l)MECHE COLE 117 3.00    
REINA DEL SUR Jun30 Jun17 Jun01 Apr07 Mar24 (donlin d)ROMAN KEVIN 122 12.00    
FOOLISH INTENT Jun24 May04 Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUBYSA Jun30 Mar30 Mar01 Feb18 Jan12 (fuentes ruben)ARROYO MIGUEL 122 6.00    
SLUSHY Jun16 May18 Sep04 Aug20 Jul23 (martin e)BIRZER E 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.