Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(1/4)-(5/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/6/2)-(11/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(11/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(11/5/4)-(3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-7   WIN (11/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/5/4)-(11/5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/5/4)-(11/5/6/1/4)-(11/5/6/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/5/4)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/5/4)-(3/7)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-8   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/7)-(1/6/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(1/6/7/8)-(7/8/3/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRM-9   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8)-(7/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-10   WIN (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/4/1)-(7/8/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUZZIE'S DARLIN Jun30 May26 May01 Apr10 Mar15 (fuentes ruben)BIRZER E 120 4.50    
SOPHIE'S STAR Jun24 Jun02 May24 Apr28 Apr04 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00    
I GOT A NAME Jun24 Nov21 Nov08 Sep22 Aug26 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER EMPIRE Jul08 Jun16 Oct27 Oct05 Aug18 (offolter )DE CRUZ 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
FULL MOON BEACH Jun30 Jun16 May26 May04 Apr09 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 120 2.00    
COMFORTS JAZEL Jul03 Jun02 Apr07 Mar01 Feb08 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
PRM-5   07/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51.64K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG LUKE Jun22 May31 May10 Jul22 Jun03 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 118 5.00 34% 2.00    
WARREN L May31 Apr21 Mar16 Sep30 Aug12 (anderson l)BIRZER E 118 4.00    
FREDDY J Jun16 May18 Mar07 Feb12 Dec30 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 8.00    
FINISH UP Jun22 May31 Sep30 Sep04 Aug07 (anderson l)CORBETT W 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
MINECRAFT MANIAC Jun22 Sep30 Sep04 Aug12 May21 (anderson l)TOHILL S 118 2.00    
TIME GOES ON Jun22 Sep30 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 (von ke)JORDAN R 117 2.50    
 
PRM-6   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RECORDER Jun10 May27 Oct21 Oct08 Sep09 (martin e)BIRZER E 125 6.00    
THREE FOR THREE Jun28 Jun07 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 (parsons r)TRIANA JR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROMISING SHOES Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 May24 Apr19 (hornsby tammy)WILLIAMS REY 125 3.50    
ESPE'S GUY Jun21 Mar04 Jan29 Dec05 Nov14 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00    
WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Jul12 Jun14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
COWBOY DON Jun15 May27 May17 Apr27 Apr13 (mcdonald )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 18% 4.40    
RUNNING ALEX'SBAND Jul12 May31 May26 May10 Sep30 (martinez )DE CRUZ 122 2.50    
 
PRM-7   07/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 2 F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO RHYME OR REASON Jun28 Jun10       (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 4.00    
  (by CUPID out of MO BABY by UNCLE MO)
GOTTA LOVE LIFE Jun28 Jun10       (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of A BRUSH OF BEAUTY by INCLUDE)
ENCHANTED ANGEL Jun28         (guillory )DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of WITCH ALERT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
ADDY UP         (anderson l)CORBETT W 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of ADDY ANNIE by POSSE)
DIXIE SURPRISE Jun28         (fett bran)TRIANA JR 119 3.50 38% 1.70    
  (by KLIMT out of PRETTY SURPRISE by CONGRATS)
MARITIME MILLIE Jun23         (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 119 4.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DARE TO WEAR RED by PURE PRIZE)
FINLOND         (fett brandi)JORDAN R 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of L. A. WAY by TIZWAY)
STROLL WITH CLASS Jun28         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 30.00    
  (by STROLL out of LANGSTARS CHARMER by LANGFUHR)
SCR  MISS MINGO         (young nicole)MECHE COLE 114 30.00    
  (by BLUEBLOOD out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
10  AINTNOSHAKIN KID         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 20.00    
  (by PATAKY KID out of AINTNOSHAKIN by CROSS TRAFFIC)
11  LU'S TIME Jul06         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by TIMELINE out of BEAUTIFUL LU by GONE WEST)
SCR  GLAD VON D Jul06         (jordan todd )JORDAN R 119 2.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SPEEDY GLADYS JAM by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
PRM-8   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M AN OAK Jun23 Jun10 May19 May11 Apr07 (loy dewaine)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.50    
CALEB ON THE GO Mar16 Feb24 Dec14 May19 Apr29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 8.00    
CHARTER OAK Jun21 Jun07 Apr12 Mar14 Feb10 (martinez )DE CRUZ 122 5.00 39% 1.60    
AL'S ROMEO Jun22 Jun10 May18 May04 Apr19 (schleis casey)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00    
GOLDEN LUNA Jun23 Jun10 May19 Apr04 Jan05 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 2.00    
SCR  RUDIANO Jul11 May19 Apr26 Apr07 Mar29 (loy dewaine)BACON W 117 12.00    
HASTINGS SUNRISE Jun02 May10 Apr20 Mar23 Mar09 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
PRM-9   07/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Stallion Purse ($70K) 3 C/G PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAWSON'S STORM Jun01 May11 Sep30 Aug26 Jul29 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by MSHAWISH out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
SPECIALSORTASTORM Jun23 Jun01 Oct27 Sep30 Sep11 (ashford t)TRIANA JR 118 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of IMSORTASPECIAL by BIG BROWN)
SCR  ORPHAN SANDY Jul14 Jul03 Jun07     (young nicole)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 20.00    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
LEGEND OF GOLD Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 (gleason t)MEDINA ANGEL 116 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SAFETY NET by A.P. INDY)
TEE OFF TIME Jun22 Jun01 May11 Sep30 Sep04 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DAWNIE MACHO by MACHO UNO)
FLAT HANBY Jun22 May13 Apr23 Sep22 Aug19 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 118 1.80 25% 3.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of JEALOUS ELLIS by OCEAN TERRACE)
CASA LIMON Jul03 Jun01 May11     (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 116 6.00 7% 12.70    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CASA LIMA by LIMEHOUSE)
SINCERELY MINE Jul03 Jun15 Jun01 May11 Aug26 (fett brandi)JORDAN R 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
 
PRM-10   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT SHOT SHOPPER Jun29 Jun14 Apr28     (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
LADY RAZORBACK Jun29 Jun14 Mar23 Feb24   (jordan j)BACON W 114 20.00    
KATELYN'S MESS Apr21         (schleis casey)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
UNBRIDLED LUNAR Jun29         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 5.00    
I BILEVE Apr23 Apr10 Mar27 Mar20 Mar12 (swan patr)DE CRUZ 124 4.00    
VANALEE Nov30         (gleason t)TRIANA JR 119 20.00    
BIG TIPPA Jun29         (mcfarlane da)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
FLATHEAD FINALE May31 May11 Apr21 Mar09 Jan19 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MY MOONLIGHT LADY Apr21 Mar09 Jan28     (martin willi)JORDAN R 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.