Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(6/2/5)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
EVD-2   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(1/5/3)-(6/8/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/8/1/4)-(2/4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/4)-(6/8/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/4)-(6/8/1/7/4)-(6/8/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/1/4)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/4)-(2/4/5/6)-(4/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-5   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/6)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(4/3)-(3/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/5/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/1/4)-(8/3/9/11) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(8/3/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (8/3/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/11)-(8/3/9/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/11)-(8/3/9/11/6)-(8/3/9/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER N LAI May30 Feb17 Jan04 Dec14 Nov09 (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 121 20.00    
2  APPLEWOOD Jun06 Apr24 Apr12 Feb21 Jan11 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 121 10.00    
3  AND FIFTY Apr24 Mar13 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 118 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  SMOKY TOPAZ Jun20 May30 May17 May03 Apr17 (richards coral)THORNTON G 121 6.00 ★    
5  I'M D'CAT Jun07 May22 May11 Oct06 Sep04 (dussette al)LEDET THEODRICK 118 5.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  MIND ON MY MONEY Jun06 May09 Apr24 Feb17 Feb01 (jeansonne ju)QUILES ANTONIO 118 1.60    
7  HONOR MY SPEED Jun06 May22 Apr24 Apr05 Feb21 (landry ray)ROSIER R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAKEN BACK Jun20 May17 Apr24 Apr12 Feb09 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 15.00    
 
EVD-2   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARKANSAS ZONG Jun14 May24 May02 Apr13 Mar09 (dison m)POMPELL L 121 4.50    
2  SKIPPA Jun21 May18 May02 Apr06 Feb22 (fuselier jon)MAGNON H 118 1.60 22% 3.50    
SCR  HEZA SEXY ZONG Jun21 Jun08 May29 May18 May02 (dison philli)MURRAY M 118 15.00    
4  FAMILY CREED Jun21 Jun01 May18 Apr25 Mar20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
5  BYATHREAD Jun21 May29 Apr17 Jan20 Nov15 (zenon char)MARQUEZ L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  G E H GIANTS WAY Jun21 May04 Mar03 Feb11 Jan20 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  STRONG PROSPECT Jun01 Apr20 Dec28     (breaux samue)BARRERA J 114 3.50    
 
EVD-3   07/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE GOLD PIECES Jun20 May09 Apr25 Apr05 Feb02 (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 1.80 40% 1.50    
2  SAUCY ARGUMENT May29 May09 Apr12 Feb24 Feb08 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 121 5.00    
3  IN A BIND May20 Mar08 Nov24 Nov09 Jun18 (jackson dwayne)ROSIER R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALLER VITE Jun01 May18 Apr17 Mar06 Feb09 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 12.00    
5  GRACIOUS KAT Jun15 May01 Apr05 Mar20 Feb10 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 2.00 19% 4.30    
6  PAC THE PULPIT May09 Apr25 Feb08 Dec19 Apr27 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 121 20.00    
7  YAKETY YAK May24 Aug29 Jul28     (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.50    
 
EVD-4   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY AND EASY May09 Mar24 Feb18 Jan26 Jan13 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 7% 12.50    
2  CHIEF KIMOSABI Jun15 May29 May04 Apr12 Mar20 (journet albert)ROSIER R 121 15.00    
3  TUCKER THE GRUMP Jun21 May29 May11 Apr25 May19 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 116 12.00    
4  DYNAMIC SUN Jun14 Apr26 Apr13 Dec19 Dec01 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ADMIRAL AFLEET Jun15 May24 Apr11 Mar08 Dec07 (senegal j)FUSILIER C 121 8.00    
6  MARVINS' POSSE May14 Mar08 Feb16 Jan18 Jan01 (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00 44% 1.20    
7  TALK OF THE TOWN Jun27 Jun13 May24 May01 Apr20 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 124 3.00 ★    
8  IDE LIKE HAWAII May29 May11 Apr11 Mar20 Jan18 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00 25% 2.90    
9  MOON TRIP Jun20 May29 Apr17 Feb17   (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 10.00    
 
EVD-5   07/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT ON HERB Jun01 May04 Apr11 Feb24 Jan06 (terre david)VARGAS P 118 2.50    
2  MIKE J Jun01 Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 Nov18 (wilson shane)GREEN AUBRIE 118 4.00 57% 0.80    
3  SILVER WINGS Jun28 May23 Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
4  UNIFIED REPORT Jun11 May04 Mar23 Feb08 Jan15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.00 6% 15.30    
5  LAGOON Apr11 Jan27 Jan13 Oct19 Feb05 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  INDIA INK (ARG) Jun14 May10 Apr13 Dec29 Jun30 (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAURI'S WISH May31 May08 Apr20 Mar16 Feb22 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 118 10.00    
8  STOVALL Jun07 May10 Apr27 Feb03 Dec31 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 114 5.00    
 
EVD-6   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN NATALIE RUN Jun07 May18 May09 Apr17 Feb22 (ward ronnie)QUILES ANTONIO 121 6.00    
2  ENOUGH HEART Jun13 Jul15 Jun30 May27 Apr20 (senegal jr)STOKES J 121 10.00    
3  A P HUMOR Jun21 May24 May15 Apr13 Feb16 (latour nicho)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FRONT AND SILVER Jun28 May08 Apr13 Feb23 Feb04 (degeyter ran)BARRERA J 117 1.80 72% 0.40    
5  WHORL GIRL Jun13 Feb21 Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 (roberts roy)MCMAHON J 121 5.00 ★    
6  BLUE RIDGE ROMANCE Jun22 May22 Aug12 Jul27 Jul08 (charles jonath)DEONAUTH P 124 15.00    
7  AGAMI May24 Apr18 Mar09 Jan25 Dec01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
8  CECE WAVE Jun25 May24 May04 Apr24 Apr05 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 2.00 ★    
 
EVD-7   07/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN CHANNELS Jun07 May22 May11 Apr13 Mar14 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Jul06 Jun01 May17 May01 Apr12 (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 118 10.00    
3  DEER CROSSING Jun22 May11 Mar14 Feb08 Jan13 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 118 2.00 54% 0.90    
4  COFFEE COUNTY May31 Apr19 Mar06 Feb08 Jan13 (cuccia j)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GET THEM JUSTIN Jun14 Apr27 Apr11 Feb22 Dec20 (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
6  READY SHOES Jun11 May21 May04 Mar15 Feb25 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
7  SPECIAL STORMY Jun06 Apr05 Mar01 Feb08 Dec08 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 5.00    
SCR  SECOND OF JULY Jun22 Jun08 May25 May04 Apr18 (degeyter randy )MCMAHON J 121 4.00    
 
EVD-8   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOUSTONS EAGLE         (ali ancil)CARRENO J 120 3.50    
2  MY LITTLE VISION May18 May08 Apr18 Apr05 Jul02 (zeno benjamin)FLORIAN JOSE 119 15.00    
3  COMPLETE PROCESS         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
4  REACH FOR THE ACES Jun21 May30 Jun24     (ladner chad)QUILES ANTONIO 124 20.00    
5  STYLING HOOK May18 May02 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 (chatte)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00    
6  INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Jun21 May10 Apr19 Mar08   (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 10.00 ★    
7  COZY GEM Jun07 May09 Apr17 Dec13 Nov09 (landry ray)ROSIER R 124 12.00    
8  ROMANCING MS JUDY         (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
9  TAUREAN Jun20 May30 May02 Apr17 Mar10 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  HIT THE BULLSEYE Jun05 May15 May01 Mar13 Feb22 (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00    
11  GRAN CHICO Jun21 May09 Apr19 Mar22 Mar06 (pomier d)MCMAHON J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.