Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Friday - June 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/3/1)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(4/1/6)-(2/1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(2/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(2/1/6/7)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-7   WIN (2/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/7)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/7)-(4/6/2)-(3/2/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(3/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(3/2/9/5)-(2/3/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-9   WIN (3/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/5)-(3/2/9/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/5)-(3/2/9/6/5)-(3/2/9/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/9/5)-(2/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-10   WIN (2/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   06/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMISE CODE Jun03 May13 Apr09 Dec02 Nov17 (offolter )DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
GREY STORM Jun03 May18 Mar26 Jan25 Jan11 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50    
ACTION SEEKER May27 Apr27 Apr07 Mar07 Feb16 (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 4.00 6% 16.20    
VALIANT WEST May12 Apr21 Mar31 Jan17 Dec23 (clay pat)BACON W 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
RABBIT HOUND Jun01 Apr21 Mar15 Feb23 Oct10 (gleason tyro)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
 
PRM-5   06/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26.078K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY B KEEN Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 Dec29 Dec08 (ramaekers eri)BACON W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAN'T BE CAUGHT May26 Aug21 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (mcshane david )WILLIAMS REY 118 15.00    
COUNTY JAIL May27 Sep30 Sep09 Sep01 Aug06 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 125 2.00 14% 6.40    
ROCKIN BOOTS May25 May11 Apr15 Mar20 Dec13 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 1.40 62% 0.60    
OXFORD OUTING May25 May11 Sep04     (compton jesse)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00    
TACTICAL REBEL Jun09 May07 Sep16 Aug06 Jul17 (green ger)MEDINA ANGEL 125 20.00    
EDGY LOVER Jun10 May11 Oct28 Oct07 Aug06 (murphy)FLETCHER D 125 3.00    
 
PRM-6   06/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.332K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASTY EXAGGERATOR Jun10 May25 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 (donlin d)MECHE COLE 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
SHUT UP MAN May19 Mar03 Jan27 Dec29 Dec15 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 125 4.50    
MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE May24 Sep09 Aug13 Jul16 Jun17 (martin e)BIRZER E 125 3.00    
ESPE'S GUY Mar04 Jan29 Dec05 Nov14 Sep24 (eikleberry kev)WILLIAMS REY 125 3.50 23% 3.40    
MILTON STREET May11 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Aug04 (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.50    
SHIP BOSS May27 May11 Apr07 Mar22 Mar09 (foley p)BACON W 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALLEN'S ROCKET Oct27 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep24 (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 123 8.00    
 
PRM-7   06/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($37.439K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARBO SPEAKS Jun03 May19 Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
TOMMY'S CRUE May27 May10 Aug21 Jul31   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
HARD SPIRITS Jun03 May19 Sep29 Sep18 Sep01 (von hemel)DE CRUZ 123 2.00    
ANNIEWAY U WANT IT Jun03 Sep23 Sep02 Aug11 Jul10 (mcshane david )WILLIAMS REY 123 20.00    
CONFETTI BETTY May19 Sep25 Aug28 Aug05 Jul21 (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00    
CEL'S STAR May27 May10 Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 (hicklin christin)TOHILL S 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
CLIMB TO GLORY May27 May18 Apr27 Mar30 Mar17 (pearson p)TRIANA JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-8   06/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.831K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFLY TROUBL'D Jun09 May31 May19 Sep30 Sep08 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 118 3.50    
DREAMIN IT UP Jun14 May31 May10 Sep30 Sep17 (schutz pa)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
KASA May31 Sep29 Aug28 Aug05 Jul21 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.00    
SHEZAWILDSTORM Sep30 Sep08 Aug21 Jul21 Jun19 (ashford tristan)BIRZER E 118 2.00 57% 0.80    
QUIET I'M NOT May24 Sep17 Sep04 Aug04 Jul21 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
INCA STROLL Jun09 May31 Sep30 Sep08 Jul29 (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 118 12.00 13% 6.60    
FIREBAUGH Jun03 May19 Sep25 Sep01 Aug18 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 125 3.00    
 
PRM-9   06/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Mamie Eisenhower Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKETS SISTER Jun01 Apr10 Mar02 Feb04 Dec03 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
  (by JAFMIL out of PULPINIT by PULPIT)
SHEMEANSBIZNESS Jun01 May12 Dec02 Sep29 Sep15 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by FED BIZ out of LEVIAN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
DEMIDANU Jun01 May17 Sep29 Sep10 Aug25 (martin e)TOHILL S 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by FORMIDABLE out of SOARING GODDESS by DESERT GOD)
ADDABABY May20 Sep29 Sep11 Aug14 Jul24 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 123 8.00    
  (by FORMIDABLE out of ADDEDUP NICELY by ADDED EDGE)
MY GOLDEN DAY May31 Sep29 Sep10 Aug25 Aug05 (tracy tanner)JORDAN R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of RICH MAN'S GIRL by TOUCH GOLD)
MISS PEACH Sep30 Sep03 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 (von kelly)CORBETT W 121 6.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of CAROLINA PEACH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
INTERSTELLA Jun01 May01 Sep30 Aug27 Aug11 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KRISTELLA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
OURPEPPERMINTCANDY Jun01 Aug27 Jul16 Jun09 May26 (anderson )DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RAINBOW SPARKLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
WON HAPPY MAMA May31 May17 Sep30 Sep08 Jul31 (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 5.00 6% 17.10    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VICARIOUS WON by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
PRM-10   06/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRIFTER Jun08 Apr04 Mar16 Feb17 Feb02 (martin e)BIRZER E 123 12.00    
FULL AUTHORITY May22 May04 Apr13 Feb09 Dec15 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
GRAND DESIGN Jun01 May19 Apr27 Apr07 Mar15 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
LODE OF BLARNEY Jun08 May19 Apr14 Mar23 Mar09 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Jun08 Sep18 Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 (green ger)MEDINA ANGEL 123 20.00    
CHARTER OAK Jun07 Apr12 Mar14 Feb10 Jan06 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 125 3.00    
LOVER BOY Jun01 Apr14 Mar09 Sep18 Sep01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00    
SAILOR CHOW Jun02 May19 Mar14 Mar03 Feb13 (anderson )TRIANA JR 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.